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World - World Cup

Ecuador

21 Nov 2023 18:30

Chile

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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Ecuador vs Chile Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup

Prediction published on 21/11/2023, 10:00 by Joseph King in World Cup Predictions

Sixth-place Ecuador host a struggling eighth-placed Chile in Quito for the sixth of the 18-match CONMEBOL World Cup 2026 qualifying campaign. Ecuador has been facing an uphill battle from the very start of qualifying after having three points deducted for falsifying a player’s birth documents. Luckily for them, the expanded format of the 2026 World Cup means that the top six teams out of 10 in this region earn an automatic entry to the finals. The team that finishes seventh will contest an intercontinental playoff to determine their fate. Despite the early hole, La Tri have been able to dig themselves out fairly quickly with two wins, two draws and one defeat in their five games so far. Ecuador kicked things off with a 1-0 defeat to defending champions Argentina but have since gone on a four match unbeaten run. Wins over Uruguay and Bolivia were followed up with two consecutive 0-0 draws in their last two outings, the most recent of which came against Venezuela.

Chile are passing through a difficult stretch at the moment. After missing out on both the 2018 and 2022 World Cups, failure to qualify for the world’s biggest tournament a third consecutive time would be an unmitigated disaster. Things aren’t looking good to start out as La Roja have managed just a single win in their first five fixtures. A 0-0 home draw against Paraguay in their last match resulted in former manager Eduardo Berizzo handing in his resignation. It was a particularly ugly result given that Chile had played nearly the entire second half with a man advantage but couldn’t break through. They’ve now failed to score in three of their last four, with their only goals during that stretch coming against rock-bottom Peru. Fans will be hoping for the ‘new manager bounce’ as caretaker Nicolas Cordova takes the reins. However, Chile are heavy underdogs against an Ecuador side that hasn’t lost on home soil in over two years.

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The Best Betting Odds for Ecuador v Chile Match

1	X	2
1.53	4	6.5
1.47	3.65	6.3
1.56	3.93	6.77
1.56	3.93	6.77
1.53	3.55	6.4
1.55	3.88	6.7
1.54	3.93	6.44

Check all Ecuador vs Chile odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Ecuador and Chile?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/11/2023 between Ecuador and Chile in World Cup :

The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.1% for a win of Ecuador against Chile with odds of 1.56 at 1xbet.
The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ecuador vs Chile is 31.91% with odds of 4 at Bet365.
Our prediction model gives a 14.99% chance ⭐ for a win of Chile vs Ecuador with odds of 6.77 at 1xbet.

Ecuador - Chile Prediction and Best Odds:

Ecuador Chile Prediction	Probability	Odds
Ecuador wins	53.1%	1.56 at 1xbet
Under 2.5	69.19%	1.67 at Betwinner
Both Team To Score	25.83%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Ecuador	32.38%	4 at Bet365

Ecuador vs Chile Form

Ecuador and Chile's standings in the World Cup

Teams	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
5 Ecuador	13	10	4	4	2	2
10 Chile	5	10	1	2	7	-13

Ecuador and Chile Last Matches

Ecuador Last matches

All Home Away

W L W W D D

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals

50% BTTS

1.17 Goals scored

0.67 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

16 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Venezuela

0 : 0

Ecuador

17 Oct 2023 - World Cup

Ecuador

0 : 0

Colombia

12 Oct 2023 - World Cup

Bolivia

1 : 2

Ecuador

12 Sep 2023 - World Cup

Ecuador

2 : 1

Uruguay

7 Sep 2023 - World Cup

Argentina

1 : 0

Ecuador

20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies

Costa Rica

1 : 3

Ecuador

W D L W W D

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals

33% BTTS

0.83 Goals scored

0.5 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

17 Oct 2023 - World Cup

Ecuador

0 : 0

Colombia

12 Sep 2023 - World Cup

Ecuador

2 : 1

Uruguay

17 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies

Ecuador

1 : 0

Bolivia

29 Nov 2022 - World Cup

Ecuador

1 : 2

Senegal

23 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies

Ecuador

0 : 0

Saudi Arabia

2 Jun 2022 - International Friendlies

Ecuador

1 : 0

Nigeria

L W W L W D

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.33 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

16 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Venezuela

0 : 0

Ecuador

12 Oct 2023 - World Cup

Bolivia

1 : 2

Ecuador

7 Sep 2023 - World Cup

Argentina

1 : 0

Ecuador

20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies

Costa Rica

1 : 3

Ecuador

28 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies

Australia

1 : 2

Ecuador

24 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies

Australia

3 : 1

Ecuador

Chile Last matches

All Home Away

D L D W L D

Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals

17% BTTS

0.5 Goals scored

1 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

16 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Chile

0 : 0

Paraguay

17 Oct 2023 - World Cup

Venezuela

3 : 0

Chile

12 Oct 2023 - World Cup

Chile

2 : 0

Peru

12 Sep 2023 - World Cup

Chile

0 : 0

Colombia

8 Sep 2023 - World Cup

Uruguay

3 : 1

Chile

20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies

Bolivia

0 : 0

Chile

W W W D W D

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals

33% BTTS

2 Goals scored

0.67 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

16 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Chile

0 : 0

Paraguay

12 Oct 2023 - World Cup

Chile

2 : 0

Peru

12 Sep 2023 - World Cup

Chile

0 : 0

Colombia

16 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies

Chile

5 : 0

Dominican Republic

27 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies

Chile

3 : 2

Paraguay

27 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies

Chile

2 : 2

Qatar

L L D D L L

Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals

17% BTTS

0.17 Goals scored

1.5 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

17 Oct 2023 - World Cup

Venezuela

3 : 0

Chile

8 Sep 2023 - World Cup

Uruguay

3 : 1

Chile

20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies

Bolivia

0 : 0

Chile

20 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies

Slovakia

0 : 0

Chile

16 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies

Poland

1 : 0

Chile

23 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies

Morocco

2 : 0

Chile

Ecuador against Chile : Head to Head (H2H)

Ecuador

33 %

Draw

33 %

Chile

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.67

Total goals

33%

BTTS

Goals scored (Team 1)

0.67

Goals scored (Team 2)

33%

Over 2.5

67%

Under 2.5

16 Nov 2021 - World Cup

Chile

0 : 2

Ecuador

5 Sep 2021 - World Cup

Ecuador

0 : 0

Chile

21 Jun 2019 - Copa America

Ecuador

1 : 2

Chile

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Players list

Ecuador

Goalkeeper

A. Dominguez

Defender

R. Arboleda

A. Preciado

F. Torres

W. Pacho

Midfielder

J. Sornoza

C. Gruezo

K. Paez

A. Mena

M. Caicedo

Forward

K. Rodriguez

Chile

Goalkeeper

B. Cortes

Defender

M. Catalan

G. Maripan

P. Diaz

G. Suazo

F. Loyola

Midfielder

M. Nunez

E. Pulgar

R. Echeverria

Forward

A. Aravena

A. Sanchez

Substitutes

Ecuador

Goalkeeper

J. Burrai

H. Galindez

Defender

L. Realpe

A. Chala

L. Quinonez

J. Hurtado

Midfielder

A. Franco

O. Zambrano

J. Ortiz

Forward

J. Julio

L. Campana

J. Caicedo

Chile

Goalkeeper

G. Arias

F. De Paul

Defender

M. Zaldivia

J. Villagra

T. Galdames

Midfielder

V. Pizarro

C. Perez

A. Canales

Forward

V. Davila

M. Guerrero

B. Brereton

D. Osorio

Most goals and assists

Ecuador

Chile

Top Goalscorer

F. Torres (2 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

E. Vargas (2 Goals)

Ecuador - Chile Key Points

Ecuador have played out two straight 0-0 draws.
Both Chile and Ecuador have seen under 2.5 goals scored in three of the their last five.
The hosts have kept a clean sheet in five of their last eight when playing in Ecuador.
Both sides have had their struggles on the attacking side of the ball and have each failed to find the net in three of their five qualifying matches.

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Our Ecuador vs Chile Prediction

Ecuador have seemingly rediscovered their defensive form with two consecutive clean sheets after conceding in their first three matches of the campaign. They should fancy their chances against a Chilean side passing through somewhat of a crisis. The visitors are struggling to find the net and won't find things any easier against this stingy La Tri defense. We have the under pegged at closer to 1.50 odds, meaning we see a good bit of value in jumping in at this price. Our Ecuador vs Chile prediction is for under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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