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Paraguay vs Colombia Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
by Joseph King in World Cup Predictions
The sixth of 18 matchdays in the South American CONMEBOL World Cup 2026 qualifying group sees seventh-place Paraguay hosting third-placed Colombia in Asuncion. The expanded format of the 2026 World Cup means that qualifying places in this region have increased. Now, the top six teams in the CONMEBOL group automatically punch their tickets while seventh-place enters into an intercontinental playoff to determine their fate. Paraguay have certainly had their struggles to start their qualifying campaign, managing just one point from the first three fixtures. However, there are signs that the tides may be shifting as La Albirroja have now gathered four points from their last two after a 1-0 home win over Bolivia and a 0-0 away draw with Chile in their most recent outing. It’s been on the attacking side that Paraguay have stumbled the most. Their goal against Bolivia stands as the only time they have found the net in the last 450 minutes of play.
The Colombians will be in incredibly high spirits ahead of this match after picking up a famous 2-1 come-from-behind win over Brazil on Thursday. Luis Diaz was the hero of the day as he bagged a brace in the final 15 minutes of play to snap Colombia’s three match winless run. Los Cafeteros now move up to third in the standings with nine points from their first five games. The good times continue to roll under manager Nestor Lorenzo, who remains undefeated with Colombia after taking over in June of this year. The Argentine has now overseen 14 matches in charge, nine of which have resulted in victories and the other five in draws. Despite these two teams being on opposite sides of the form spectrum, Paraguay will present a stiff challenge for Colombia. The visitors have yet to win on the road, something that is notoriously difficult on this continent. A low-scoring match certainly looks to be on the cards here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Paraguay v Colombia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.5 | 3 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.35 | 2.85 | 2.17 |
|
|
3.59 | 3.16 | 2.24 |
|
|
3.59 | 3.16 | 2.24 |
|
|
3.45 | 2.8 | 2.24 |
|
|
3.54 | 3.13 | 2.22 |
|
|
3.44 | 3.06 | 2.26 |
|
|
3.65 | 3.07 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.4 | 3 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.6 | 3 | 2.28 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.1 | 2.3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Paraguay and Colombia?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/11/2023 between Paraguay and Colombia in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.51% for a win of Paraguay against Colombia with odds of 3.65 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Paraguay vs Colombia is 43.62% with odds of 3.16 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Colombia vs Paraguay with odds of 2.3 at Vbet.
Paraguay - Colombia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Paraguay Colombia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 43.62% | 3.16 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 77.41% | 1.53 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 27.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 29.95% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Paraguay vs Colombia Form
Paraguay and Colombia's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
19 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
|
6
|
17 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
Paraguay and Colombia Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Oct 2023 - World Cup
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
7 Sep 2023 - World Cup
18 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2023 - World Cup
7 Sep 2023 - World Cup
18 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
27 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies
23 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2022 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
27 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Oct 2023 - World Cup
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
7 Sep 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
7 Sep 2023 - World Cup
16 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2022 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2023 - World Cup
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies
27 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies
Paraguay vs Colombia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2021 - World Cup
5 Sep 2021 - World Cup
23 Jun 2019 - Copa America
Players list
C. Coronel
DefenderJ. Caceres
G. Gomez
O. Alderete
M. Espinoza
MidfielderA. Cubas
M. Villasanti
M. Rojas
ForwardA. Bareiro
A. Sanabria
R. Sosa
C. Vargas
DefenderC. Borja
Y. Mina
J. Lucumi
D. Munoz
MidfielderJ. Rodriguez
K. Castano
J. Lerma
ForwardJ. Arias
R. Borre
L. Diaz
Substitutes
J. Espinola
S. Rojas
DefenderI. Ramirez
F. Balbuena
J. Alonso
MidfielderA. Romero Gamarra
I. Leguizamon
D. Gomez
H. Caballero
A. Campuzano
ForwardO. Cardozo
G. Avalos
K. Mier
A. Montero
DefenderC. Cuesta
W. Ditta
Y. Mosquera
MidfielderM. Uribe
R. Rios
J. Carrascal
J. Campaz
ForwardY. Asprilla
J. Cordoba
L. Sinisterra
Most goals and assists
Paraguay
Colombia
A. Sanabria
(4 Goals)
L. Diaz
(4 Goals)
Paraguay - Colombia Key Points
- 11 of Paraguay’s last 12 matches across all competitions have finished with under 2.5 goals, including all of their qualifiers so far.
- Games involving Paraguay have averaged a total of just 0.60 goals in qualifying, with all five seeing one goal or fewer.
- The hosts have failed to score in four of their last five and have netted just five goals total in their last 10 appearances.
- Colombia have seen five of their last seven fixtures stay under 2.5 goals.
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Our Paraguay vs Colombia Prediction
These are two sides that have shown defensive solidity to start the qualifying campaign, with only five total goals conceded between the two of them. Colombia impressed against Brazil but have been shutout in two of their three away trips so far. Paraguay, meanwhile, have yet to concede in Asuncion with two clean sheets in their first two home appearances. Back this one to finish with only a goal or two with 1-1 a likely scoreline. Our Paraguay vs Colombia prediction is for under 2.5 goals.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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