France - French Cup
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by Nella Wagah in French Cup Predictions
French Ligue 2 side Dunkerque have their biggest match of the season when they host PSG in the French Cup semi-finals this Tuesday. They will host the Ligue 1 champions at the Decathlon Arena in Lille. Here’s our preview and prediction for the match.
Dunkerque are facing PSG at the worst possible time for the second tier side. They are not only coming from three straight defeats but are also seeking to be the first French team to beat PSG this season.
It is quite a daunting task after their 2-0 loss at Bastia on Friday. Dunkerque have conceded at least twice in four of their last five matches.
PSG will be aware that Dunkerque have eliminated three Ligue 1 sides in their four matches in the French Cup. That, however, should not give Les Parisiens sleepless nights, coming from four straight wins.
The latest of those was a comeback, thrashing relegation-threatened Saint-Etienne 6-1 in Ligue 1. That marked the third of four games that they scored more than two goals.
Domestically this season, PSG are unbeaten, and are on the brink of winning their 10th league title in 12 seasons. The last time PSG lost a French Cup game was in February 2023 and they are unbeaten in 10, drawing once.
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The Best Betting Odds for USL Dunkerque v PSG Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
23 | 9.5 | 1.08 |
|
|
19 | 8.5 | 1.06 |
|
|
11 | 4.6 | 1.25 |
|
|
23 | 9.52 | 1.09 |
|
|
23 | 9.52 | 1.09 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between USL Dunkerque and PSG?
Our prediction for the USL Dunkerque vs PSG match is: PSG to win and over 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/04/2025 between USL Dunkerque and PSG in French Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 21.23% for a win of USL Dunkerque against PSG with odds of 34 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between USL Dunkerque vs PSG is 2.18% with odds of 12 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 76.59% chance ⭐ for a win of PSG vs USL Dunkerque with odds of 1.25 at Ladbrokes.
USL Dunkerque - PSG Prediction and Best Odds:
| USL Dunkerque PSG Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 76.59% | 1.25 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.96% | |
| Both Team To Score | 45.24% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: PSG/PSG | 37.19% | 1.44 at Ladbrokes |
USL Dunkerque vs PSG Form
USL Dunkerque and PSG Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Mar 2025 - Ligue 2
15 Mar 2025 - Ligue 2
10 Mar 2025 - Ligue 2
3 Mar 2025 - Ligue 2
26 Feb 2025 - French Cup
21 Feb 2025 - Ligue 2
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Ligue 2
21 Feb 2025 - Ligue 2
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 2
31 Jan 2025 - Ligue 2
18 Jan 2025 - Ligue 2
16 Dec 2024 - Ligue 2
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Mar 2025 - Ligue 2
10 Mar 2025 - Ligue 2
3 Mar 2025 - Ligue 2
26 Feb 2025 - French Cup
10 Feb 2025 - Ligue 2
4 Feb 2025 - French Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
8 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
7 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
8 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Feb 2025 - French Cup
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
USL Dunkerque against PSG Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
USL Dunkerque
PSG
N. Skytta
(7 Goals)
O. Dembele
(28 Goals)
B. Barcola
(13 Assists)
USL Dunkerque - PSG Key Points
- 21 goals were scored in Dunkerque’s last five matches.
- PSG’s last five away matches saw a total of 25 goals scored.
- PSG posted wins in each of their last 12 matches on the road.
- Two of Dunkerque’s last three French Cup matches had over 3.5 goals.
- PSG scored an average 3.5 goals in their four French Cup games this season.
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Our USL Dunkerque vs PSG Prediction
This match represents the first ever meeting between these teams. With Dunkerque still in the Ligue 2 promotion equation, it could be the first of many. For now, though, PSG will arrive as heavy favorites, not just to win here but to lift the cup.
The French heavyweight haven't lost domestically this season and a second tier side will have very low odds at upsetting that. That is in spite of Dunkerque’s efforts in this competition this season, having eliminated some top tier teams. Their scoring run is commendable, that’s why our prediction for Dunkerque v PSG is: PSG to win and over 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis USL Dunkerque PSG
| USL Dunkerque vs PSG | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| USL Dunkerque wins | 17 | 23 | +35.3% |
| Draw | 6.25 | 9.5 | +52.0% |
| PSG wins | 1.18 | 1.08 | -8.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 84.7% and is now 92.6% (7.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the USL Dunkerque vs. PSG game!
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Try your luck on this year's French Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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