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Derby County vs Swansea Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Steve Ashfield in Championship Predictions
11th placed Derby County are home to Swansea City who are three places below them in the Championship table. Only a single point separates these two clubs after 16 games. Read our match prediction below.
Derby have been struggling for wins in recent weeks. They have only had one victory in their last seven league games and two in the last 11. Their last two league fixtures have both ended in 1-1 draws, most recently at Preston after going behind.
Home form has seen The Rams win four out of seven with only one loss to Norwich in September. Three goals were conceded in that loss but only two in their other six home league fixtures.
Swansea City lost a seven-goal thriller at home to Leeds on Sunday. They led twice and lost to a 91st minute goal. That was a rare high-scoring match for The Swans. Their other 15 league games have only seen 21 goals scored.
Only seven points have been earned from their eight away league fixtures. Those eight games have seen just 11 goals scored and 12 of their last 15 matches have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
We go for under 2.5 goals to be scored in this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Derby County v Swansea Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.38 | 3.4 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.75 | 2.3 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.48 | 3.25 | 2.94 |
|
|
2.48 | 3.25 | 2.94 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.25 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.41 | 3.35 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.28 | 2.94 |
|
|
2.41 | 3.35 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.54 | 3.21 | 3.04 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.1 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.2 | 3 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.3 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.47 | 3.21 | 2.97 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Swansea?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs Swansea match is: Under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/11/2024 between Derby County and Swansea in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.45% for a win of Derby County against Swansea with odds of 2.75 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Swansea is 32.61% with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.94% chance ⭐ for a win of Swansea vs Derby County with odds of 3.1 at Ladbrokes.
Derby County vs Swansea Form
Derby County and Swansea's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
20 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
|
14
|
19 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
Derby County and Swansea Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
9 Nov 2024 - Championship
6 Nov 2024 - Championship
2 Nov 2024 - Championship
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
22 Oct 2024 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2024 - Championship
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
6 Nov 2024 - Championship
2 Nov 2024 - Championship
22 Oct 2024 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
1 Oct 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Nov 2024 - Championship
10 Nov 2024 - Championship
5 Nov 2024 - Championship
2 Nov 2024 - Championship
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
22 Oct 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Nov 2024 - Championship
5 Nov 2024 - Championship
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
29 Sep 2024 - Championship
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Nov 2024 - Championship
2 Nov 2024 - Championship
22 Oct 2024 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
2 Oct 2024 - Championship
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
Derby County vs Swansea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
1 May 2019 - Championship
Derby County vs Swansea last Lineups
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Derby County
Swansea
J. Yates
(4 Goals)
L. Cullen
(4 Goals)
N. Mendez Laing
(2 Assists)
,
K. Jackson
(2 Assists)
,
J. Yates
(2 Assists)
G. Franco
(2 Assists)
, 
R. Pereira Martins
(2 Assists)
Derby County and Swansea Stats in Championship
Derby County - Swansea Key Points
- Six of the last eight Derby home matches have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
- Eight away Swansea league games have only seen 11 goals scored.
- 12 of the last 15 Swansea games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in seven of the last nine Derby matches.
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Our Derby County vs Swansea Prediction
It's an important time of the season for both these clubs. Some good results can see them become promotion play-off contenders. A few bad results though would see them in a relegation battle. They both lack consistency and at times struggle to score goals.
Swansea may have scored three on Sunday but that's a rarity with only 11 goals in their other 15 games. Derby have a good home defensive record so our Derby v Swansea prediction is under 2.5 goals to be scored.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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