England - League One
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Derby County vs Reading Prediction & Betting Tips - League One
by Ian John in League One Predictions
Second-placed Derby County host 18th position Reading at Pride Park on Tuesday Night (kick off 7.45pm) with the home team Rams five points behind league leaders Portsmouth, and just a point ahead of the chasing Bolton. Furthermore with Peterborough United and Barnsley just four and five points back, but both with a game in hand, this is very much a game that the home side will feel they need to win. Somewhat unusually, Derby have picked up more points away from home (38 from 19 games) than they have at home (34 from 18) this season. The Rams have won four, drawn one and lost one of their last six at Pride Park and since mid August, they have lost just twice, winning 10 and drawing four on home soil. It is the sixth best home record in League One, but the Rams do have the best away record in the division. They showed that at the weekend, with a comfortable 3-0 away win over Bristol Rovers thanks to goals from Dwight Gayle (55), Tom Barkhuizen (58) and Martyn Waghorn (89).
Their opponents Reading come into the game on the back of a second home defeat in successive matches at the Madejski Stadium, a 2-1 home loss to Wycombe Wanderers. That was their sixth home loss of the season, but on the road their performances are far poorer with 10 defeats, 5 draws and just 3 wins in their 18 games. Manager Ruben Selles will be aware that the Royals away form needs to improve, but also given that the team had a six-point deduction imposed at the start of the season, the fact that they are now out of the relegation zone is a positive. The Royals have drawn five of their last nine away games in League One, winning two and losing two.
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The Best Betting Odds for Derby County v Reading Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.62 | 3.75 | 6 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.6 | 5 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.8 | 5 |
|
|
1.56 | 4.01 | 6.02 |
|
|
1.56 | 4.01 | 6.02 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.94 | 5.15 |
|
|
1.61 | 3.8 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.87 | 5.3 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.75 | 5 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.8 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.63 | 4 | 5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Reading?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/03/2024 between Derby County and Reading in League One :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.88% for a win of Derby County against Reading with odds of 1.65 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Reading is 23.19% with odds of 4.01 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.93% chance ⭐ for a win of Reading vs Derby County with odds of 6.02 at Betwinner.
Derby County - Reading Prediction and Best Odds:
| Derby County Reading Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 51.88% | 1.65 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.06% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 64.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Derby County/Derby County | 22.5% | 2.6 at Bet365 |
Derby County vs Reading Form
Derby County and Reading's standings in the League One
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
92 | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 41 |
|
17
|
53 | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | -2 |
Derby County and Reading Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2024 - League One
2 Mar 2024 - League One
27 Feb 2024 - League One
24 Feb 2024 - League One
17 Feb 2024 - League One
13 Feb 2024 - League One
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2024 - League One
27 Feb 2024 - League One
17 Feb 2024 - League One
10 Feb 2024 - League One
27 Jan 2024 - League One
15 Jan 2024 - League One
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2024 - League One
24 Feb 2024 - League One
13 Feb 2024 - League One
3 Feb 2024 - League One
23 Jan 2024 - League One
20 Jan 2024 - League One
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2024 - League One
2 Mar 2024 - League One
24 Feb 2024 - League One
20 Feb 2024 - League One
17 Feb 2024 - League One
13 Feb 2024 - League One
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2024 - League One
24 Feb 2024 - League One
20 Feb 2024 - League One
10 Feb 2024 - League One
27 Jan 2024 - League One
23 Jan 2024 - League One
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2024 - League One
17 Feb 2024 - League One
13 Feb 2024 - League One
6 Feb 2024 - League One
3 Feb 2024 - League One
20 Jan 2024 - League One
Derby County vs Reading Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Jan 2024 - League One
3 Jan 2022 - Championship
3 Aug 2018 - Championship
Players list
J. Wildsmith
DefenderC. Nelson
K. Wilson
E. Cashin
MidfielderE. Adams
L. Sibley
C. Forsyth
K. Smith
C. Blackett-Taylor
ForwardM. Waghorn
T. Barkhuizen
J. Pereira
DefenderA. Yiadom
T. Bindon
MidfielderJ. Dorsett
C. Savage
J. Wareham
K. Abrefa
L. Wing
A. Mbengue
ForwardP. Mukairu
K. Ehibhatiomhan
Substitutes
S. Loach
DefenderC. Forsyth
K. Wilson
K. Smith
L. Thompson
ForwardM. Waghorn
C. Blackett-Taylor
C. Boyce-Clarke
DefenderK. Abrefa
T. Rushesha
J. Dorsett
P. Mukairu
J. Wareham
K. Ehibhatiomhan
Most goals and assists
Derby County
Reading
J. Collins
(14 Goals)
S. Smith
(15 Goals)
Derby County - Reading Key Points
- Derby have won 9 of their last 13 at home, drawing 2 and losing two. Both teams have scored in eight of those 13 games.
- Reading have the fifth worst away record in League One this season. Scoring 20 goals but conceding 34, the highest number of goals conceded on the road this season. They come into the game on the back of a run of two wins, one draw and three defeats in their last six games.
- There has been Over 2.5 Goals in five of Derby County's last six games.
- Reading's five most recent games have seen Over 2.5 Goals scored and both teams score in four of those matches. The only exception being a 2-0 home win over 23rd placed Port Vale.
- Reading were the 1-0 victors when the two met at the Madejski Stadium earlier on this year. Paul Omo Mukairu (54) scored the only goal of the game.
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Our Derby County vs Reading Prediction
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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