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Derby County vs Oxford United Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Sridhar in Championship Predictions
A struggling Derby County may provide a pathway to winning points when Oxford United visits them in a matchday 32 meeting in the EFL Championship. This match at the Pride Park Stadium between the 22nd-placed Rams and the 17th-placed U’s on Tuesday comes with our prediction of a point for the away side.
Derby have 28 points from 31 matches and one point from safety, having played a game more than the teams around them. Oxford’s 37 points from 31 matches give them a nine-point buffer to their hosts in the last relegation spot.
The hosts are searching for a permanent manager after Paul Warne has been axed, but things on the field are grim. Eight defeats and a draw in all competitions since their last win on Boxing Day don’t give confidence of avoiding the drop.
The challenge is to improve at this venue, where they lost four home games in a row, each without scoring. Oxford lost 1-0 away at Burnley last week, but that was their first defeat in ten matches. In this sequence, they won five and drew four games.
That defeat was also their first in five away league games, where a win and three draws in that sequence make Oxford a difficult side to beat on current form.
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The Best Betting Odds for Derby County v Oxford United Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
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2.15 | 3.1 | 3.7 |
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2.2 | 3.1 | 3.6 |
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2.25 | 3 | 3.5 |
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2.21 | 3.18 | 3.8 |
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2.21 | 3.18 | 3.8 |
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2.2 | 3.1 | 3.7 |
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2.35 | 3.06 | 3.32 |
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2.35 | 3.06 | 3.32 |
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2.23 | 3.05 | 3.55 |
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2.35 | 3.06 | 3.32 |
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2.26 | 3.1 | 3.65 |
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2.15 | 3 | 3.5 |
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2.23 | 3.05 | 3.5 |
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2.3 | 3 | 3.4 |
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2.13 | 3.21 | 3.7 |
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2.2 | 3 | 3.7 |
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2.16 | 3.14 | 3.72 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Oxford United?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs Oxford United match is: draw or Oxford United wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/02/2025 between Derby County and Oxford United in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.77% for a win of Derby County against Oxford United with odds of 2.35 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Oxford United is 36.57% with odds of 3.21 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Oxford United vs Derby County with odds of 3.8 at 1xbet.
Derby County - Oxford United Prediction and Best Odds:
Derby County Oxford United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Draw | 36.57% | 3.21 at Betsson |
Under 2.5 | 73.59% | 1.92 at Tonybet |
Both Team To Score | 47.92% | |
Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 13.93% | 4.33 at Betsson |
Derby County vs Oxford United Form
Derby County and Oxford United's standings in the Championship
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20
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39 | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | -17 |
22
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35 | 37 | 9 | 8 | 20 | -12 |
Derby County and Oxford United Last Matches

0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2025 - Championship
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
25 Jan 2025 - Championship
21 Jan 2025 - Championship
18 Jan 2025 - Championship
14 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
21 Jan 2025 - Championship
18 Jan 2025 - Championship
29 Dec 2024 - Championship
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
13 Dec 2024 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Feb 2025 - Championship
25 Jan 2025 - Championship
14 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Championship
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2024 - Championship

2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Feb 2025 - Championship
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
25 Jan 2025 - Championship
21 Jan 2025 - Championship
18 Jan 2025 - Championship
14 Jan 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
21 Jan 2025 - Championship
18 Jan 2025 - Championship
29 Dec 2024 - Championship
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
14 Dec 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Feb 2025 - Championship
25 Jan 2025 - Championship
14 Jan 2025 - Championship
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Championship
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
Derby County vs Oxford United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
22 Oct 2024 - Championship
Derby County against Oxford United Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists








Derby County - Oxford United Key Points
- Derby lost eight and drew one of their last nine matches in all competitions.
- At home, Derby lost their last four Championship matches, all without scoring.
- Home and away, Oxford avoided defeat in nine of their last ten league matches, winning five and drawing four.
- Oxford United avoided defeat in four of their last five away league matches, drawing three and winning one.
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Our Derby County vs Oxford United Prediction
The buzz around Derby County is the formal approach made to appoint the Blackburn Rovers manager John Eustace as their new coach to succeed Paul Warne. The Rams could win only one point from their last nine matches in all competitions. Oxford are in a slightly better position, both in terms of stability and safety from the relegation zone. The visitors have struggled on the road but were a tough team to beat. That could come to their rescue here, and our Derby County v Oxford United prediction is draw or Oxford United wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derby County Oxford United
Derby County vs Oxford United | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Derby County wins | 1.9 | 2.15 | +13.2% |
Draw | 3.5 | 3.1 | -11.4% |
Oxford United wins | 4 | 3.7 | -7.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 28.6% and is now 32.3% (3.7%)
Get up to £30 to bet on the Derby County vs. Oxford United game
You can get yourself a £30 matched bet for the battle between Derby County and Oxford United when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins then you won't get the free bet but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Championship!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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