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Derby County vs Norwich Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Ian John in Championship Predictions
The Rams of Derby County will take on the Canaries of Norwich City in the Championship in one of Saturday’s early kick-offs. Paul Warne’s Derby have contrasting form at home and on the road and will certainly be glad to be playing this game at Pride Park. Will our prediction back the home team or visitors for the win in this eagerly-anticipated match?
Derby come into this game lying 10th in the Championship table, two places above their opponents. They have won three games this season (all at home), losing three (all away from home). Last weekend’s 1-0 defeat away to Sheffield United ended a run of three games unbeaten in which Derby had not conceded a goal.
Defensively, the Rams have been superb at Pride Park, but two of their three wins in the league have been by a single goal (1-0 wins over Middlesbrough and Cardiff). But they did also despatch Bristol City 3-0 at the end of August.
Norwich’s inconsistent form this season will annoy manager Johannes Hoff Thorup and their fans. Their away form has been problematic with defeats at Oxford (2-0) and Swansea (1-0) alongside a narrow 1-0 win away to Coventry City.
At home, they have drawn twice (2-2 with Blackburn and 1-1 with Sheffield United) but saved their best performance of the season for the visit of Watford last weekend, where the Canaries won 4-1 at Carrow Road.
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The Best Betting Odds for Derby County v Norwich Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.7 | 3.5 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.3 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.73 | 3.42 | 2.52 |
|
|
2.73 | 3.42 | 2.52 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.4 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.44 | 2.46 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.44 | 2.46 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.5 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.73 | 3.42 | 2.52 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.5 | 2.44 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.45 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.4 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.76 | 3.34 | 2.56 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.3 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.87 | 3.45 | 2.52 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.25 | 2.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Norwich?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs Norwich match is: Derby County to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/09/2024 between Derby County and Norwich in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.31% for a win of Derby County against Norwich with odds of 2.87 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Norwich is 23.8% with odds of 3.5 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.9% chance ⭐ for a win of Norwich vs Derby County with odds of 2.6 at Ladbrokes.
Derby County - Norwich Prediction and Best Odds:
| Derby County Norwich Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 55.31% | 2.87 at Vbet |
| Under 2.5 | 59.74% | 1.9 at Betfair |
| Both Team To Score | 37.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Derby County/Derby County | 23.36% | 4.75 at Betsson |
Derby County vs Norwich Form
Derby County and Norwich's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
20 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
|
13
|
19 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 1 |
Derby County and Norwich Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
9 Aug 2024 - Championship
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Championship
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Championship
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Derby County vs Norwich Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Apr 2021 - Championship
3 Oct 2018 - Championship
26 Nov 2016 - Championship
Players list
J. Widell Zetterstrom
DefenderK. Wilson
C. Nelson
E. Cashin
C. Forsyth
MidfielderK. Goudmijn
T. Chirewa
C. Blackett Taylor
M. Harness
ForwardK. Jackson
J. Collins
A. Gunn
DefenderJ. Stacey
S. Duffy
J. Cordoba
G. Hanley
MidfielderM. Nunez
K. McLean
F. Amankwah
ForwardB. Chrisene
A. Ben Slimane
J. Sargent
Substitutes
J. Vickers
DefenderK. Wilson
N. Phillips
S. Bradley
MidfielderT. Chirewa
J. Collins
M. Harness
C. Blackett Taylor
D. Brown
G. Long
DefenderJ. Stacey
G. Hanley
B. Chrisene
B. Hills
MidfielderA. Ben Slimane
G. Forsyth
ForwardK. Gordon
F. Amankwah
Most goals and assists
Derby County
Norwich
J. Yates
(4 Goals)
B. Sainz
(12 Goals)
N. Mendez Laing
(2 Assists)
,
K. Jackson
(2 Assists)
,
J. Yates
(2 Assists)
J. Sargent
(5 Assists)
,
C. Doyle
(5 Assists)
Derby County - Norwich Key Points
- Derby have won all of their three home league games this season.
- Norwich have lost three of their four away games this season, winning just one.
- Derby have not conceded a goal at home in the league this season, scoring five.
- Norwich have scored one goal in three games away from home in the league this season.
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Our Derby County vs Norwich Prediction
Our prediction for Derby County vs. Norwich City in the Championship is: Derby County to win.
Derby boss Paul Warne has made Pride Park a fortress for the Rams so far this season and with four wins from four games in all competitions, the data suggests that they stand a great chance of a victory here. Norwich's form, especially away from home, isn't great with a significant lack of goals. This game may be a close one, but the data strongly suggests Derby should take the victory.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derby County Norwich
| Derby County vs Norwich | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 2.45 | 2.7 | +10.2% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.5 | -2.8% |
| Norwich wins | 2.5 | 2.45 | -2.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Derby County is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 10.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.8% and is now 37.0% (-3.8%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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