England - Championship
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by Steve Ashfield in Championship Predictions
Despite a change of coach, Derby County remain in the relegation zone. They only have Luton below them in the table and this weekend are home to 14th placed Millwall. Can the Rams escape the bottom three? Read our match prediction.
Derby are a point from safety and have played a game more than their rivals. County began life under new coach John Eustace with a 4-0 loss at QPR. They have now gone 11 games without a win and have not scored in their last five home league matches.
Under 2.5 goals have been scored in each of those five matches with just one point being earned. That was in their most recent home league fixture when they were held to a goalless draw by Oxford United. Just two goals have been scored in their last eight league fixtures.
Millwall are 14th but only six points behind the final promotion play-off position. Midweek saw them draw 1-1 at Preston after taking a first-half lead. They have gone three league games without a win with one point from their last two away matches. 15 of their last 19 away league games have seen under 2.5 goals scored. With Derby struggling for goals, we go for that stat to come up again.
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The Best Betting Odds for Derby County v Millwall Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.55 | 2.88 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.5 | 2.88 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.8 | 2.05 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.47 | 2.95 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.47 | 2.95 | 3.25 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Millwall?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs Millwall match is: under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/02/2025 between Derby County and Millwall in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 17.48% for a win of Derby County against Millwall with odds of 2.8 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Millwall is 29.88% with odds of 2.95 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 52.65% chance ⭐ for a win of Millwall vs Derby County with odds of 3.5 at Ladbrokes.
Derby County - Millwall Prediction and Best Odds:
| Derby County Millwall Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall wins | 52.65% | 3.5 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 67.9% | 1.36 at William Hill |
| Both Team To Score | 43.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Millwall | 22% | 7 at Betfair |
Derby County vs Millwall Form
Derby County and Millwall's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
63 | 44 | 17 | 12 | 15 | -1 |
|
21
|
46 | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | -9 |
Derby County and Millwall Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2025 - Championship
11 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - Championship
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
25 Jan 2025 - Championship
21 Jan 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Feb 2025 - Championship
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
21 Jan 2025 - Championship
18 Jan 2025 - Championship
29 Dec 2024 - Championship
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - Championship
25 Jan 2025 - Championship
14 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Championship
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Feb 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
12 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
28 Jan 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
21 Jan 2025 - Championship
18 Jan 2025 - Championship
13 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Feb 2025 - Championship
12 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
28 Jan 2025 - Championship
25 Jan 2025 - Championship
4 Jan 2025 - Championship
Derby County vs Millwall Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
20 Feb 2019 - Championship
18 Aug 2018 - Championship
Players list
J. Widell Zetterstrom
DefenderR. Nyambe
S. Langas
C. Forsyth
MidfielderB. Osborn
E. Adams
K. Roofe
M. Harness
ForwardJ. Yates
T. Barkhuizen
N. Mendez
L. Jensen
DefenderJ. Tanganga
J. Cooper
Z. Sturge
B. Mitchell
MidfielderT. Crama
G. Saville
C. Neghli
G. Honeyman
A. Emakhu
ForwardJ. Coburn
Substitutes
J. Vickers
DefenderC. Forsyth
J. Rooney
MidfielderL. Thompson
N. Mendez
H. Armstrong
K. Roofe
T. Barkhuizen
M. Harness
L. Roberts
DefenderZ. Sturge
W. Harding
M. Wallace
MidfielderG. Honeyman
R. Wintle
B. Mitchell
J. Coburn
A. Emakhu
Most goals and assists
Derby County
Millwall
J. Yates
(10 Goals)
M. Ivanovic
(11 Goals)
N. Mendez
(4 Assists)
,
J. Yates
(4 Assists)
F. Azeez
(6 Assists)
Derby County - Millwall Key Points
- Six of the last eight games between these two sides have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
- Derby have failed to score in their last five home league games, all having under 2.5 goals scored in them.
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in 15 of Millwall's last 19 away league matches.
- Seven of the last ten Derby league fixtures have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
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Our Derby County vs Millwall Prediction
Derby County may have a new coach but they are still struggling to avoid relegation. New coach John Eustace must solve the problem that his side has scoring goals. They haven't scored a home goal since Boxing Day and that was an own goal by West Brom!
Millwall are still in with a chance of making it into the play-offs. Their away form isn't great though and only 14 league goals have been scored this year on the road. Just 19 have been conceded though. Our Derby v Millwall prediction is under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derby County Millwall
| Derby County vs Millwall | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 2.45 | 2.55 | +4.1% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 2.88 | -15.3% |
| Millwall wins | 2.75 | 3.2 | +16.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Millwall is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 16.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 36.4% and is now 31.3% (-5.1%)
Use the Derby County vs. Millwall game in an acca to gain up to a 100% bonus!
Are you looking to use the match between Derby County and Millwall in an upcoming accumulator bet? If so, you'll want to join Vbet to place that acca. There is an odds bonus of up to 100% when you place accumulators which contain at least three selections that are all odds of 1.3 or bigger. Look at the other games in the Championship and start to build those accas!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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