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Derby County vs Millwall Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Derby County
22/02/2025 07:30
Millwall

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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 by Steve Ashfield in Championship Predictions

Despite a change of coach, Derby County remain in the relegation zone. They only have Luton below them in the table and this weekend are home to 14th placed Millwall. Can the Rams escape the bottom three? Read our match prediction.

Derby are a point from safety and have played a game more than their rivals. County began life under new coach John Eustace with a 4-0 loss at QPR. They have now gone 11 games without a win and have not scored in their last five home league matches.

Under 2.5 goals have been scored in each of those five matches with just one point being earned. That was in their most recent home league fixture when they were held to a goalless draw by Oxford United. Just two goals have been scored in their last eight league fixtures. 

Millwall are 14th but only six points behind the final promotion play-off position. Midweek saw them draw 1-1 at Preston after taking a first-half lead. They have gone three league games without a win with one point from their last two away matches. 15 of their last 19 away league games have seen under 2.5 goals scored. With Derby struggling for goals, we go for that stat to come up again.

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The Best Betting Odds for Derby County v Millwall Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.55 2.88 3.2
Betfred
2.5 2.88 3.2
Ladbrokes
2.8 2.05 3.5
1xbet
2.47 2.95 3.25
22bet
2.47 2.95 3.25
Check all Derby County vs Millwall odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Millwall?

Our prediction for the Derby County vs Millwall match is: under 2.5 goals to be scored.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/02/2025 between Derby County and Millwall in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 17.48% for a win of Derby County against Millwall with odds of 2.8 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Millwall is 29.88% with odds of 2.95 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 52.65% chance ⭐ for a win of Millwall vs Derby County with odds of 3.5 at Ladbrokes.

Derby County - Millwall Prediction and Best Odds:

Derby County Millwall Prediction Probability Odds
Millwall wins 52.65% 3.5 at Ladbrokes
Under 2.5 67.9% 1.36 at William Hill
Both Team To Score 43.75%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Millwall 22% 7 at Betsson

Derby County vs Millwall Form

Derby County and Millwall's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
13
Millwall
Millwall
51 39 13 12 14 -3
22
Derby County
Derby County
38 38 10 8 20 -11

Derby County and Millwall Last Matches

Derby County
Derby County Last matches
L L L D D L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

14 Feb 2025 - Championship

QPR
4 :  0
Derby County

11 Feb 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  0
Oxford United

8 Feb 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  1
Derby County

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Sheffield United

25 Jan 2025 - Championship

Cardiff
2 :  1
Derby County

21 Jan 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Sunderland
W L L L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

11 Feb 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  0
Oxford United

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Sheffield United

21 Jan 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Sunderland

18 Jan 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  2
Watford

29 Dec 2024 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Leeds

26 Dec 2024 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  1
West Brom
L L D L D L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Feb 2025 - Championship

QPR
4 :  0
Derby County

8 Feb 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  1
Derby County

25 Jan 2025 - Championship

Cardiff
2 :  1
Derby County

14 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Leyton Orient London
1 :  1
Derby County

4 Jan 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
1 :  0
Derby County

1 Jan 2025 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
4 :  2
Derby County
Millwall
Millwall Last matches
W W W L D D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

18 Feb 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  1
Millwall

15 Feb 2025 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  1
West Brom

12 Feb 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
5 :  1
Millwall

8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup

Leeds
0 :  2
Millwall

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Millwall
2 :  1
QPR

28 Jan 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  1
Millwall
L W L D W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Feb 2025 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  1
West Brom

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Millwall
2 :  1
QPR

21 Jan 2025 - Championship

Millwall
2 :  2
Cardiff

18 Jan 2025 - Championship

Millwall
0 :  1
Hull

13 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Millwall
3 :  0
Dagenham And Redbridge FC

1 Jan 2025 - Championship

Millwall
0 :  1
Oxford United
D W W W L D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

18 Feb 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  1
Millwall

12 Feb 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
5 :  1
Millwall

8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup

Leeds
0 :  2
Millwall

28 Jan 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  1
Millwall

25 Jan 2025 - Championship

Luton Town
0 :  1
Millwall

4 Jan 2025 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
2 :  2
Millwall

Derby County vs Millwall Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Derby County

0 %

Draw

33 %

Millwall

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
67%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

19 Oct 2024 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  1
Derby County

20 Feb 2019 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Millwall

18 Aug 2018 - Championship

Millwall
2 :  1
Derby County
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Derby County against Millwall Lineups: Starting 11

Derby County

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
J. Widell Zetterstrom
24
R. Nyambe
6
S. Langas
25
M. Clarke
8
B. Osborn
32
E. Adams
4
D. Ozoh
17
K. Goudmijn
10
J. Yates
19
K. Jackson
15
L. Salvesen
26
M. Ivanovic
11
F. Azeez
25
L. Cundle
56
C. Neghli
23
G. Saville
24
C. De Norre
15
J. Bryan
5
J. Cooper
6
J. Tanganga
52
T. Crama
1
L. Jensen

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Millwall

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Derby County
CD Huachipato Millwall
Top Goalscorer
England J. Yates (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Serbia M. Ivanovic (6 Goals)
Best assists
Guatemala N. Mendez Laing (4 Assists)
England J. Yates (4 Assists)
Best assists
England F. Azeez (5 Assists)

Derby County - Millwall Key Points

  1. Six of the last eight games between these two sides have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
  2. Derby have failed to score in their last five home league games, all having under 2.5 goals scored in them.
  3. Under 2.5 goals have been scored in 15 of Millwall's last 19 away league matches.
  4. Seven of the last ten Derby league fixtures have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
Up to $150 to bet on Derby County - Millwall! 

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Our Derby County vs Millwall Prediction

Derby County may have a new coach but they are still struggling to avoid relegation. New coach John Eustace must solve the problem that his side has scoring goals. They haven't scored a home goal since Boxing Day and that was an own goal by West Brom!

Millwall are still in with a chance of making it into the play-offs. Their away form isn't great though and only 14 league goals have been scored this year on the road. Just 19 have been conceded though. Our Derby v Millwall prediction is under 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derby County Millwall

Derby County vs Millwall Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Derby County wins 2.45 2.55 +4.1%
Draw 3.4 2.88 -15.3%
Millwall wins 2.75 3.2 +16.4%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Millwall is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 16.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 36.4% and is now 31.3% (-5.1%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Derby County vs Millwall Prediction
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