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Derby County vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Nella Wagah in Championship Predictions
Two former Premier League teams, Derby County and Middlesbrough will meet at Pride Park on the second weekend of the Championship. The two had contrasting outings in the first week, The Rams losing as Boro won. Here’s our preview and prediction for their coming match.
Derby’s return to the Championship didn’t start on a high, as they lost 4-2 at Blackburn Rovers. They recovered with a 2-1 win against Chesterfield in the League Cup and will hope to make it two straight wins when they welcome Middlesbrough.
In both their opening matches, Derby conceded first, an area Paul Warne will want to address before Saturday. As they come here on seven straight wins at home, the hosts have reason to stay positive. They will, however, be aware that this is a different kind of opposition.
Middlesbrough learnt tough lessons from their poor start last season, and Michael Carrick is keen to avoid a repeat. That slow start in the end cost them a playoff spot as they narrowly missed out.
This time, they’ve started well, and come here with two wins in as many games. After their opening 1-0 win against Swansea, they followed it up with a 3-0 thumping of Leeds United in the League Cup.
A new dimension about their game has been the defensive discipline seen in the opening two matches. They will need this against this Derby team that scored four times in the first two games.
Middlesbrough are unbeaten in two matches against Derby and only lost once in the last five meetings. However, they have no win at Derby in the last four visits. With four straight wins in competitive action, Middlesbrough won’t be faulted for being confident ahead of this game.
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The Best Betting Odds for Derby County v Middlesbrough Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.04 | 13 | 401 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.6 | 2.05 |
|
|
1.03 | 15 | 501 |
|
|
1.03 | 15 | 501 |
|
|
3.45 | 3.45 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.52 | 3.58 | 2.04 |
|
|
3.52 | 3.58 | 2.04 |
|
|
1.15 | 5 | 47 |
|
|
3.46 | 3.58 | 2.06 |
|
|
3.45 | 3.6 | 2.04 |
|
|
1.2 | 4.5 | 56 |
|
|
1.05 | 9 | 81 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.65 | 1.97 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.5 | 2 |
|
|
3.72 | 3.57 | 1.99 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.6 | 2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Middlesbrough?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs Middlesbrough match is: Middlesbrough to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/08/2024 between Derby County and Middlesbrough in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.25% for a win of Derby County against Middlesbrough with odds of 3.72 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Middlesbrough is 25.28% with odds of 15 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.47% chance ⭐ for a win of Middlesbrough vs Derby County with odds of 501 at 1xbet.
Derby County - Middlesbrough Prediction and Best Odds:
| Derby County Middlesbrough Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough wins | 39.47% | 501 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 53.33% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Middlesbrough | 17.75% | 5.1 at Unibet |
Derby County vs Middlesbrough Form
Derby County and Middlesbrough's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
24 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
|
12
|
19 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
Derby County and Middlesbrough Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2024 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Apr 2024 - League One
13 Apr 2024 - League One
29 Mar 2024 - League One
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2024 - Championship
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Apr 2024 - League One
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 May 2024 - Championship
22 Apr 2024 - Championship
6 Apr 2024 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Apr 2024 - Championship
13 Apr 2024 - Championship
Derby County vs Middlesbrough Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Jan 2019 - Championship
27 Oct 2018 - Championship
Derby County against Middlesbrough Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Derby County
Middlesbrough
K. Jackson
(3 Goals)
,
J. Yates
(3 Goals)
T. Conway
(5 Goals)
N. Mendez Laing
(2 Assists)
,
K. Jackson
(2 Assists)
,
J. Yates
(2 Assists)
F. Azaz
(5 Assists)
Derby County - Middlesbrough Key Points
- Middlesbrough have three straight wins in the Championship.
- Derby County lost their opening league match of the season.
- Middlesbrough are unbeaten in the last six away league matches.
- Middlesbrough have two wins in their first two matches this season.
- Derby County have one win only in five meetings with Middlesbrough.
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Our Derby County vs Middlesbrough Prediction
Middlesbrough have had a positive start to the season, extending their good finish last season and positive run in preseason. With two wins in their opening two matches, they will be confident of making it three matches undefeated against Derby County.
Their hosts had a false start on their Championship return and facing one of the promotion favorites counts for a tough game. Having only beaten Boro once in five meetings, Derby will be the underdogs here. Our prediction for Derby County v Middlesbrough is for Middlesbrough to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derby County Middlesbrough
| Derby County vs Middlesbrough | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 3 | 1.04 | -65.3% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 13 | +282.4% |
| Middlesbrough wins | 2.3 | 401 | +17,334.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Middlesbrough is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 17,334.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 43.5% and is now 0.2% (-43.2%)
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