England - Championship
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Steve Ashfield in Championship Predictions
Derby County host Luton Town in a crucial relegation battle in the Championship. The home side are 21st in the table with the visitors two places and three points below them. WIll it be a Good Friday for the Rams or the Hatters? Read our match prediction.
County are just a place and a point above the relegation zone with four matches remaining. Their most recent match saw them draw 2-2 at Portsmouth. They led twice in that match and conceded a 91st minute equalizer.
That was their second successive league draw but three have been played without a win. Home form has produced nine league wins this season and three of the last four have been won. The last three played have all seen clean sheets kept.
Luton Town are in danger of a second successive relegation. The Hatters will draw level on points with Derby if they win this match but have an inferior goal difference. They only have two points from their last three league fixtures
Last time out saw them lose 1-0 at home to Blackburn. Away form has been a big problem this season for Luton with 15 defeats. There has been recent improvement with seven points earned from the last three fixtures.
We go for under 2.5 goals in this match.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Derby County v Luton Town Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.5 | 2.9 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.4 | 2.88 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.37 | 3 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.32 | 2.75 | 3 |
|
|
2.49 | 2.98 | 3.42 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Luton Town?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs Luton Town match is: under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/04/2025 between Derby County and Luton Town in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.35% for a win of Derby County against Luton Town with odds of 2.55 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Luton Town is 26.26% with odds of 3 at Ladbrokes.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.39% chance ⭐ for a win of Luton Town vs Derby County with odds of 3.42 at 1xbet.
Derby County - Luton Town Prediction and Best Odds:
| Derby County Luton Town Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 41.35% | 2.55 at Betobet |
| Under 2.5 | 64.39% | 1.81 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 37.5% | 2.3 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Derby County | 26.16% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Derby County vs Luton Town Form
Derby County and Luton Town's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
21
|
43 | 43 | 11 | 10 | 22 | -11 |
|
22
|
43 | 43 | 11 | 10 | 22 | -25 |
Derby County and Luton Town Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - Championship
8 Apr 2025 - Championship
5 Apr 2025 - Championship
2 Apr 2025 - Championship
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Apr 2025 - Championship
2 Apr 2025 - Championship
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
11 Feb 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - Championship
5 Apr 2025 - Championship
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
14 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - Championship
8 Apr 2025 - Championship
5 Apr 2025 - Championship
29 Mar 2025 - Championship
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - Championship
5 Apr 2025 - Championship
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
19 Feb 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Apr 2025 - Championship
29 Mar 2025 - Championship
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
23 Feb 2025 - Championship
12 Feb 2025 - Championship
Derby County vs Luton Town Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 Dec 2024 - Championship
Derby County against Luton Town Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Most goals and assists
Derby County
Luton Town
J. Yates
(9 Goals)
C. Morris
(7 Goals)
N. Mendez Laing
(4 Assists)
,
J. Yates
(4 Assists)
T. Krauss
(4 Assists)
,
J. Clark
(4 Assists)
Derby County - Luton Town Key Points
- The last five Luton Town games have all had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in four of the last six Luton Town away league matches.
- Three of the last four Derby County league games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in nine of Derby County's last ten home league fixtures.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Derby County vs Luton Town Prediction
A loss for Luton Town in this match would be a disaster for them. This time last year they were in the Premier League but a second relegation in a row is a real possibility. They have improved their away form of late though so will present Derby with plenty of problems.
County really should have won at Portsmouth on Saturday. They have gone three league games without a win and can't afford to lose this. Our Derby County v Luton Town prediction is under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derby County Luton Town
| Derby County vs Luton Town | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 2.45 | 2.5 | +2.0% |
| Draw | 3 | 2.9 | -3.3% |
| Luton Town wins | 3.1 | 3.2 | +3.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Derby County is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.8% and is now 40.0% (-0.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Derby County vs. Luton Town game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Derby County and Luton Town? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
