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Derby County vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Ian John in Championship Predictions
Our next Championship match prediction is a classic encounter with a rich history. Derby County host Leeds United in a game which would have been a top-of-the-league clash in the early 1970s. Can the Rams stop United’s relentless charge towards the Premier League?
A glance at the league table suggests maybe not, but dig a little deeper and the data reveals a more positive outlook for Derby County. Paul Warne’s team have a very good home record and have won their last two at home, scoring six goals and conceding just the one.
The Rams have six wins at home, with just three losses and they bounced back well from a 2-1 defeat away to Luton to beat West Bromwich Albion 2-1 on Boxing Day in their previous match.
Leeds recent form is outstanding and it is based on outstanding home form which sees them taking 31 points out of 36 possible at home this season. They have won all their last five at Elland Road and currently sit top of the Championship table.
Away from home though, they have just two wins in their last five games, losing two and drawing the other. On a more positive note, Daniel Farke’s team have won their last two, defeating Oxford 4-0 at home and then Stoke City 2-0 on the road on Boxing Day.
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The Best Betting Odds for Derby County v Leeds Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5 | 4.1 | 1.62 |
|
|
6 | 4 | 1.57 |
|
|
5.75 | 3.7 | 1.61 |
|
|
5.59 | 4.21 | 1.63 |
|
|
5.59 | 4.21 | 1.63 |
|
|
5.5 | 3.9 | 1.62 |
|
|
5.25 | 4.12 | 1.61 |
|
|
5.25 | 4.12 | 1.61 |
|
|
5.5 | 3.75 | 1.6 |
|
|
5.85 | 3.76 | 1.62 |
|
|
6 | 4.2 | 1.58 |
|
|
6 | 3.6 | 1.6 |
|
|
5.8 | 3.86 | 1.61 |
|
|
5.5 | 3.6 | 1.62 |
|
|
5.8 | 3.85 | 1.57 |
|
|
6 | 3.5 | 1.62 |
|
|
5.89 | 3.7 | 1.63 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Leeds?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs Leeds match is: A Draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/12/2024 between Derby County and Leeds in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.54% for a win of Derby County against Leeds with odds of 6 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Leeds is 28.9% with odds of 4.21 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.56% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs Derby County with odds of 1.63 at 1xbet.
Derby County - Leeds Prediction and Best Odds:
| Derby County Leeds Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins | 45.56% | 1.63 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 56.41% | 1.89 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 55.42% | |
| Half-time : Derby County / Full-time : Leeds | 17.29% | 29 at Betsson |
Derby County vs Leeds Form
Derby County and Leeds's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
72 | 33 | 21 | 9 | 3 | 48 |
|
23
|
29 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | -14 |
Derby County and Leeds Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
20 Dec 2024 - Championship
13 Dec 2024 - Championship
10 Dec 2024 - Championship
7 Dec 2024 - Championship
1 Dec 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
13 Dec 2024 - Championship
1 Dec 2024 - Championship
27 Nov 2024 - Championship
9 Nov 2024 - Championship
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2024 - Championship
10 Dec 2024 - Championship
7 Dec 2024 - Championship
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
6 Nov 2024 - Championship
2 Nov 2024 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
21 Dec 2024 - Championship
14 Dec 2024 - Championship
10 Dec 2024 - Championship
7 Dec 2024 - Championship
30 Nov 2024 - Championship
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2024 - Championship
10 Dec 2024 - Championship
7 Dec 2024 - Championship
27 Nov 2024 - Championship
9 Nov 2024 - Championship
2 Nov 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
14 Dec 2024 - Championship
30 Nov 2024 - Championship
24 Nov 2024 - Championship
6 Nov 2024 - Championship
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
Derby County vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Dec 2024 - Championship
19 Jul 2020 - Championship
21 Sep 2019 - Championship
15 May 2019 - Championship
11 May 2019 - Championship
11 Jan 2019 - Championship
Derby County against Leeds Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Derby County
Leeds
J. Yates
(7 Goals)
J. Piroe
(14 Goals)
N. Mendez Laing
(4 Assists)
M. Solomon
(7 Assists)
Derby County - Leeds Key Points
- Derby have lost just three of eleven home games this season (winning seven, drawing two).
- Leeds have drawn four of their last eight away league games.
- Derby's home record is the ninth-best in the Championship.
- Leeds have won just two of their last eight away from home.
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Our Derby County vs Leeds Prediction
Our prediction for the Derby County vs. Leeds United Championship match is: A Draw.
The bookmakers have Leeds United as the big favourites to win this one, given their recent form, but a lot of that has been based on their home performances. Away from home Leeds have been far less impressive, while Derby's home form is strong. Pride Park is not an easy place to get a result, even for the Championship leaders, so the data overall suggests that this may well be a very close contest between the two.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derby County Leeds
| Derby County vs Leeds | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 5.5 | 5 | -9.1% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 4.1 | -8.9% |
| Leeds wins | 1.5 | 1.62 | +8.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Leeds is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 61.7% (-4.9%)
Use £30 free bets for the Derby County vs. Leeds game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Derby County and Leeds? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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