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Derby County vs Cardiff Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Sridhar in Championship Predictions
Cardiff City faces an uphill battle in their effort to come off the bottom of the 2024-25 Championship standings as they travel to Derby County. This match will be played at the Pride Park Stadium in Derby on Saturday, with our prediction favoring the hosts to win.
The hosts are tenth in the standings with six points from two wins and losses apiece, while the visitors are bottom of the table with one point. Derby adjusted to the rigors of the championship in their first season back in the second tier with six points so far. They had wins over Middlesbrough (1-0) and Bristol City (3-0), while losses against Blackburn (4-2) and Watford (2-1) have set them back.
Interestingly, both the wins have come at home, and both were accompanied by a clean sheet—something which the Rams would be keen to emulate here. Cardiff is unlikely to put a spanner in those thoughts, at least on current form, as they travel here with shattered confidence. The Bluebirds are beaten 2-0 by Sunderland, 5-0 by Burnley, and 2-0 by Middlesbrough. The only saving grace is a 1-1 draw against local rivals Swansea, but that point wasn’t enough to lift them off the bottom of the standings.
That point came in their away match, so the visitors will hope to test Derby here. They have a strong record against Derby as well, winning the last three Championship matches against them, but those were back in the 2021/22 season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Derby County v Cardiff Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.3 | 3.4 | 3 |
|
|
2.6 | 2.37 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.42 | 3.34 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.42 | 3.34 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.25 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.43 | 3.32 | 2.93 |
|
|
2.43 | 3.32 | 2.93 |
|
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2.35 | 3.35 | 3 |
|
|
2.42 | 3.32 | 2.94 |
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|
2.35 | 3.35 | 3 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.3 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.27 | 3.07 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.2 | 3 |
|
|
2.33 | 3.31 | 3.29 |
|
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2.3 | 3.2 | 3 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.35 | 3.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Cardiff?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs Cardiff match is: Derby County to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/09/2024 between Derby County and Cardiff in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.2% for a win of Derby County against Cardiff with odds of 2.6 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Cardiff is 22.6% with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.2% chance ⭐ for a win of Cardiff vs Derby County with odds of 3.3 at Betfair.
Derby County - Cardiff Prediction and Best Odds:
Derby County Cardiff Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Derby County wins | 56.2% | 2.6 at Ladbrokes |
Under 2.5 | 50.18% | 1.97 at Stake |
Both Team To Score | 50% | |
Half-time / Full-time : Derby County/Derby County | 24.11% | 3.75 at Bet365 |
Derby County vs Cardiff Form
Derby County and Cardiff's standings in the Championship
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16
|
24 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -1 |
22
|
18 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -15 |
Derby County and Cardiff Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2024 - Championship
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Apr 2024 - League One
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
9 Aug 2024 - Championship
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
25 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Championship
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 May 2024 - Championship
Derby County vs Cardiff Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Sep 2019 - Championship
24 Apr 2018 - Championship
Derby County against Cardiff Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Derby County - Cardiff Key Points
- Derby won both their home matches in this league season
- Derby kept two clean sheets in their last three league matches
- Cardiff lost three of their last four matches in all competitions
- Cardiff failed to score in two of their last three Championship matches
- In the league season, Cardiff have lost three of their four matches this year
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Our Derby County vs Cardiff Prediction
Cardiff come into this matchday bottom of the standings and an uphill battle to move up the ladder. It’s too early in the season, but they are struggling to score, which has been setting them back. Derby, on the other hand, found form just at the right time, going into the break with a facile win. They are strong favorites to continue that momentum with another win here, and that’s why our prediction for Derby County vs Cardiff is a win for Derby County.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derby County Cardiff
Derby County vs Cardiff | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Derby County wins | 2.4 | 2.3 | -4.2% |
Draw | 3.4 | 3.4 | 0% |
Cardiff wins | 2.88 | 3 | +4.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Derby County is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 41.7% and is now 43.5% (1.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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