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14 September 2024 - 10:00 

- Day 5

England - Championship

Derby County
VS
Cardiff

Prediction :

Derby County wins the match

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Derby County vs Cardiff Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

 by Sridhar in Championship Predictions

Cardiff City faces an uphill battle in their effort to come off the bottom of the 2024-25 Championship standings as they travel to Derby County. This match will be played at the Pride Park Stadium in Derby on Saturday, with our prediction favoring the hosts to win.

The hosts are tenth in the standings with six points from two wins and losses apiece, while the visitors are bottom of the table with one point. Derby adjusted to the rigors of the championship in their first season back in the second tier with six points so far. They had wins over Middlesbrough (1-0) and Bristol City (3-0), while losses against Blackburn (4-2) and Watford (2-1) have set them back.

Interestingly, both the wins have come at home, and both were accompanied by a clean sheet—something which the Rams would be keen to emulate here. Cardiff is unlikely to put a spanner in those thoughts, at least on current form, as they travel here with shattered confidence. The Bluebirds are beaten 2-0 by Sunderland, 5-0 by Burnley, and 2-0 by Middlesbrough. The only saving grace is a 1-1 draw against local rivals Swansea, but that point wasn’t enough to lift them off the bottom of the standings.

That point came in their away match, so the visitors will hope to test Derby here. They have a strong record against Derby as well, winning the last three Championship matches against them, but those were back in the 2021/22 season.

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The Best Betting Odds for Derby County v Cardiff Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.3 3.4 3
Ladbrokes
2.6 2.37 3.2
1xbet
2.42 3.34 2.95
22bet
2.42 3.34 2.95
Betobet
2.3 3.25 3.2
Betwinner
2.43 3.32 2.93
Stake
2.35 3.35 3
Melbet
2.42 3.32 2.94
Tonybet
2.35 3.35 3
Check all Derby County vs Cardiff odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Cardiff?

Our prediction for the Derby County vs Cardiff match is: Derby County to win.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/09/2024 between Derby County and Cardiff in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.2% for a win of Derby County against Cardiff with odds of 2.6 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Cardiff is 22.6% with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 21.2% chance ⭐ for a win of Cardiff vs Derby County with odds of 3.2 at Ladbrokes.

Derby County - Cardiff Prediction and Best Odds:

Derby County Cardiff Prediction Probability Odds
Derby County wins 56.2% 2.6 at Ladbrokes
Under 2.5 50.18% 1.97 at Stake
Both Team To Score 50% 1.83 at Bet365
Half-time / Full-time : Derby County/Derby County 24.11% 3.75 at Bet365

Derby County vs Cardiff Form

Derby County and Cardiff's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8
Derby County
Derby County
9 5 3 0 2 2
24
Cardiff
Cardiff
1 5 0 1 4 -10

Derby County and Cardiff Last Matches

Derby County
Derby County Last matches
L W W L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.67
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
1.17
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

31 Aug 2024 - Championship

Derby County
3 :  0
Bristol City

27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Barrow
0 :  0
Derby County

24 Aug 2024 - Championship

Watford
2 :  1
Derby County

17 Aug 2024 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
Middlesbrough

13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Derby County
2 :  1
Chesterfield

9 Aug 2024 - Championship

Blackburn
4 :  2
Derby County
Cardiff
Cardiff Last matches
L W L D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.5
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
2.5
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

31 Aug 2024 - Championship

Cardiff
0 :  2
Middlesbrough

28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Cardiff
3 :  5
Southampton

25 Aug 2024 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  1
Cardiff

17 Aug 2024 - Championship

Burnley
5 :  0
Cardiff

13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Cardiff
2 :  0
Bristol Rovers

10 Aug 2024 - Championship

Cardiff
0 :  2
Sunderland

Derby County against Cardiff : Head to Head (H2H)

Derby County

50 %

Draw

50 %

Cardiff

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
3
BTTS
100%
Goals scored (Team 1)
2
Goals scored (Team 2)
1
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

13 Sep 2019 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  1
Cardiff

24 Apr 2018 - Championship

Derby County
3 :  1
Cardiff
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Derby County against Cardiff Lineups: Starting 11

Derby County

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
J. Widell Zetterstrom
24
R. Nyambe
35
C. Nelson
6
E. Cashin
20
C. Elder
17
K. Goudmijn
4
D. Ozoh
32
E. Adams
19
K. Jackson
10
J. Yates
11
N. Mendez Laing
15
W. Kanga
11
C. O'Dowda
27
R. Colwill
20
A. El Ghazi
8
J. Ralls
3
M. Siopis
23
J. Bagan
4
D. Goutas
12
C. Chambers
38
P. Ng
21
J. Alnwick

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Cardiff

Derby County - Cardiff Key Points

  1. Derby won both their home matches in this league season
  2. Derby kept two clean sheets in their last three league matches
  3. Cardiff lost three of their last four matches in all competitions
  4. Cardiff failed to score in two of their last three Championship matches
  5. In the league season, Cardiff have lost three of their four matches this year
Up to $250 to bet on Derby County - Cardiff! 

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Our Derby County vs Cardiff Prediction

Cardiff come into this matchday bottom of the standings and an uphill battle to move up the ladder. It’s too early in the season, but they are struggling to score, which has been setting them back. Derby, on the other hand, found form just at the right time, going into the break with a facile win. They are strong favorites to continue that momentum with another win here, and that’s why our prediction for Derby County vs Cardiff is a win for Derby County.

Prediction :

Derby County wins the match

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derby County Cardiff

Derby County vs Cardiff Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Derby County wins 2.4 2.3 -4.2%
Draw 3.4 3.4 0%
Cardiff wins 2.88 3 +4.2%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Derby County is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.2% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 41.7% and is now 43.5% (1.8%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Derby County vs Cardiff Prediction
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