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Derby County vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Derby County
08/04/2025 14:45
Burnley

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score - No

 
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 by Joseph King in Championship Predictions

Matchday 41 in the English Championship sees 21st-place Derby County face off against league-leaders Burnley on Tuesday. The surging Rams are involved in a relegation scrap while the Clarets are seeking to win the title. Read on for our match prediction!

Derby head back to Pride Park following a 1-0 away loss to Swansea over the weekend. The defeat snapped a four-match winning streak for John Eustace’s side as they attempt a late-season escape act to avoid relegation to League One.

The Rams currently find themselves just outside the bottom three owing to their superior goal differential as they are even on points with 22nd-place Cardiff.

Derby are on a fantastic run on their home patch, winning their last three on the trot. They’ve seen 30 of their 41 points come at this ground.

Burnley have taken advantage of the recent slip ups from their title-challenging rivals and have leapfrogged both Sheffield United and Leeds into first place. The visitors are on a three-match winning streak and have extended their Championship unbeaten run to 27 games (seven across all competitions).

They conceded a goal in their recent 2-1 away win over Coventry, something that has been a rare occurrence for Scott Parker’s side. In their 40 league fixtures, the Clarets have allowed only 12 goals.

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The Best Betting Odds for Derby County v Burnley Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
4.1 3.4 1.9
Betfred
4.6 3.2 1.9
Ladbrokes
4.4 2.2 2.3
1xbet
4.54 3.2 1.93
22bet
4.54 3.2 1.93
Check all Derby County vs Burnley odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Burnley?

Our prediction for the Derby County vs Burnley match is: both teams to score - No.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/04/2025 between Derby County and Burnley in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.87% for a win of Derby County against Burnley with odds of 4.67 at Betsson.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Burnley is 27.48% with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 46.65% chance ⭐ for a win of Burnley vs Derby County with odds of 2.3 at Ladbrokes.

Derby County vs Burnley Form

Derby County and Burnley's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Burnley
Burnley
84 40 23 15 2 43
21
Derby County
Derby County
41 40 11 8 21 -10

Derby County and Burnley Last Matches

Derby County
Derby County Last matches
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Apr 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  0
Derby County

2 Apr 2025 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  0
Preston North End

15 Mar 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
2 :  3
Derby County

11 Mar 2025 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  0
Coventry City

8 Mar 2025 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  1
Blackburn

1 Mar 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Derby County
L D L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

2 Apr 2025 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  0
Preston North End

11 Mar 2025 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  0
Coventry City

8 Mar 2025 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  1
Blackburn

22 Feb 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Millwall

11 Feb 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  0
Oxford United

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
Sheffield United
L D L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Apr 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  0
Derby County

15 Mar 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
2 :  3
Derby County

1 Mar 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Derby County

14 Feb 2025 - Championship

QPR
4 :  0
Derby County

8 Feb 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  1
Derby County

25 Jan 2025 - Championship

Cardiff
2 :  1
Derby County
Burnley
Burnley Last matches
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Apr 2025 - Championship

Coventry City
1 :  2
Burnley

4 Apr 2025 - Professional Development League

Burnley
1 :  2
Brentford

31 Mar 2025 - Professional Development League

Swansea City Reserves
2 :  0
Burnley

29 Mar 2025 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  0
Bristol City

28 Mar 2025 - Professional Development League

Birmingham City
0 :  2
Burnley

25 Mar 2025 - Professional Development League

Hull City
1 :  4
Burnley
W W D L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

4 Apr 2025 - Professional Development League

Burnley
1 :  2
Brentford

29 Mar 2025 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  0
Bristol City

18 Mar 2025 - Professional Development League

Burnley
0 :  2
Fleetwood Town

11 Mar 2025 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  1
West Brom

10 Mar 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup

Burnley
1 :  0
Sunderland

8 Mar 2025 - Championship

Burnley
4 :  0
Luton Town
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Apr 2025 - Championship

Coventry City
1 :  2
Burnley

31 Mar 2025 - Professional Development League

Swansea City Reserves
2 :  0
Burnley

28 Mar 2025 - Professional Development League

Birmingham City
0 :  2
Burnley

25 Mar 2025 - Professional Development League

Hull City
1 :  4
Burnley

15 Mar 2025 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  2
Burnley

4 Mar 2025 - Championship

Cardiff
1 :  2
Burnley

Derby County vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

10 Dec 2024 - Championship

Burnley
0 :  0
Derby County
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Derby County vs Burnley last Lineups

Derby County

Formation : 5 - 3 - 2

1
J. Widell Zetterstrom
2
K. Wilson
6
S. Langas
12
N. Phillips
25
M. Clarke
3
C. Forsyth
32
E. Adams
28
H. Armstrong
16
L. Thompson
18
M. Harness
19
K. Jackson
17
L. Foster
8
J. Brownhill
11
J. Anthony
29
J. Laurent
24
J. Cullen
22
M. Edwards
23
L. Pires
5
M. Esteve
6
C. Egan-Riley
14
C. Roberts
1
J. Trafford

Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1

Burnley

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Derby County
CD Huachipato Burnley
Top Goalscorer
England J. Yates (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England J. Brownhill (13 Goals)
Best assists
Guatemala N. Mendez (4 Assists)
England J. Yates (4 Assists)
Best assists
England J. Anthony (7 Assists)

Derby County and Burnley Stats in Championship

Derby County
Derby County
Burnley
Burnley
28%
Victories
58%
20%
Draw
38%
53%
Defeats
5%
2.35
Total goals per match
1.68
1.05
Goals scored per match
1.38
1.3
Goals conceded per match
0.3
40%
Over 2.5
25%
60%
Under 2.5
75%
48%
BTTS
25%
23%
No goals conceded
70%

Derby County - Burnley Key Points

  1. The reverse fixture ended in a 0-0 draw.
  2. Burnley have kept a clean sheet in 28 of their 40 league matches (70%).
  3. Derby have kept a clean sheet in three of their last five home matches, including the last two in a row.
  4. Seven of Derby’s last nine have seen at least one side keep a clean sheet.
  5. 17 of Burnley’s last 21 matches across all competitions have seen at least one team keep a clean sheet.
Up to $150 to bet on Derby County - Burnley! 

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Our Derby County vs Burnley Prediction

It can’t be overstated just how solid Burnley have been on the defensive side of the ball this season. Keep in mind that the record for fewest goals conceded in a Championship season is 30, while Burnley currently have allowed 12 with six games left.

Meanwhile, Derby have seen a dramatic uptick in form in recent weeks and could prove to be a handful for the visitors. Additionally, the hosts have improved defensively with clean sheets in back-to-back home games. Our Derby County vs Burnley prediction: both teams to score - No.

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score - No

 
Exclusive Offer
$150 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Derby County vs Burnley Prediction
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