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Derby County vs Bristol City Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Ian John | in Championship Predictions
Can Derby County inflict a first defeat of the Championship season on Bristol City this weekend? Or will the Robins fly away to victory over the sheepish Rams? We've analyzed the data for this match to come up with our considered prediction for the game.
Paul Warne's Derby County have struggled on the road in the Championship this season, losing both away matches so far; 4-2 at Blackburn Rovers and then last weekend 2-1 at Watford. At home, they picked up their sole win of the campaign, a 1-0 win over Middlesbrough sandwiched between the two defeats.
After losing out to Barrow on penalties in the Carabao Cup in midweek, the home side will be desperate to put on a better performance here. Especially against a team against whom they do not enjoy a good recent record against.
Bristol City lie seventh in the table after three games, eight places higher than Derby. Liam Manning will be delighted with the positive start made by his team and he will hope to continue that here against a team the Robins enjoy a very good recent record against.
City have beaten Derby on five of the last six occasions that they have met, including two of the last three fixtures played at Pride Park. They have drawn twice in the league this season, including their last game at home to Coventry and their season opener at Hull, both 1-1. Their sole win coming in a dramatic 4-3 victory over Millwall, where they led 2-0, then trailed 3-2 before landing a nailbiting 4-3 victory with an 88th-minute winner from Scott Twine.
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The Best Betting Odds for Derby County v Bristol City Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.01 | 29 | 101 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.3 | 2.45 |
|
|
1.01 | 18.4 | 72 |
|
|
1.01 | 18.4 | 72 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.2 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.87 | 3.36 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.87 | 3.36 | 2.45 |
|
|
1.01 | 23 | 100 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.38 | 2.46 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.3 | 2.43 |
|
|
1.01 | 15 | 81 |
|
|
1 | 26 | 101 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.35 | 2.48 |
|
|
1.01 | 76 | 501 |
|
|
2.87 | 3.26 | 2.52 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.2 | 2.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Bristol City?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs Bristol City match is: Both Teams to Score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/08/2024 between Derby County and Bristol City in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.29% for a win of Derby County against Bristol City with odds of 2.9 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Bristol City is 24.09% with odds of 76 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.61% chance ⭐ for a win of Bristol City vs Derby County with odds of 501 at Betfair.
Derby County - Bristol City Prediction and Best Odds:
Derby County Bristol City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Derby County wins | 48.29% | 2.9 at Betobet |
Under 2.5 | 54.93% | 1.81 at Tonybet |
Both Team To Score | 39.58% | |
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Derby County | 18.72% | 21 at Betfair |
Derby County vs Bristol City Form
Derby County and Bristol City's standings in the Championship
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10
|
22 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 |
12
|
19 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
Derby County and Bristol City Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2024 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Apr 2024 - League One
13 Apr 2024 - League One
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
9 Aug 2024 - Championship
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
26 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 May 2024 - Championship
20 Apr 2024 - Championship
6 Apr 2024 - Championship
Derby County vs Bristol City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Feb 2020 - Championship
27 Apr 2019 - Championship
Derby County against Bristol City Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Derby County - Bristol City Key Points
- Two of Derby's three league games this season have seen both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in all Bristol City's league matches this season.
- Both teams have found the net in eight of the last 13 games between Derby and Bristol City.
- Bristol City is one of just three teams that have seen both teams score in every league game in the Championship this season.
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Our Derby County vs Bristol City Prediction
Our prediction for Derby County vs. Bristol City in the Championship is: Both Teams to Score.
The data for this game does not paint a picture of a clear winner. Bristol City have the best historic form and better recent form too. But Derby are unbeaten at home in the Championship, albeit having played one game. Across all games played though, the data suggests that both teams can score goals, but are also liable to concede. Persuasively, this trend is reflected in many of the most recent matches between the two.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Derby County Bristol City
Derby County vs Bristol City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Derby County wins | 2.25 | 1.01 | -55.1% |
Draw | 3.4 | 29 | +752.9% |
Bristol City wins | 3.1 | 101 | +3,158.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Derby County is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 55.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.4% and is now 99.0% (54.6%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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