England - League One
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Derby County vs Bolton Prediction & Betting Tips - League One
by Nella Wagah in League One Predictions
Bolton Wanderers will be out to leapfrog Derby County in the League One table when they visit Pride Park on Saturday. One point and a place separates these two sides, with Derby starting the game second and Bolton third. Derby County have banked 75 points and will look to open up a gap in their automatic promotion quest. Ahead of this game, the Rams head into this game with three straight wins and a great scoring run. In their most recent outing, they beat Reading 2-1, Dwight Gayle, the first goal scorer, netting his third in as many matches. With goal difference expected to play a key role later in the season, Derby would have wished to keep a third straight clean sheet in that win. However, they will take pride in their scoring run, having managed at least a goal in 10 straight games. Each of their last five have produced over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. Derby will be confident going into this game, with just a loss in seven home matches. They’ve won five of their last seven home games.
Bolton Wanderers did a great service to their automatic promotion hopes, beating Oxford United 5-0 in their last outing. That was their fourth unbeaten game, a run in which they have two wins. They come into this game having lost just twice in the last 11 matches. With 74 points so far, they are confident of leaping above Derby to second, with a win here. In the reverse fixture, they ended a three-game winless run against Derby in a 2-1 win and they’ve set sights on a double. All the four occasions Bolton failed to win in their last six matches were away from home. It means they have something to address ahead of this key game. In context, they can look at the last two away games with positivity. The Trotters drew in those two away matches, the most recent ending 2-2 against Exeter City. An outstanding stat in their matches has to do with the goals scored. Four of their last five away games had over 2.5 goals.
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The Best Betting Odds for Derby County v Bolton Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.25 | 3.3 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.3 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.4 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.5 | 3.47 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.5 | 3.47 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.48 | 3.44 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.48 | 3.44 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.36 | 3.03 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.4 | 3.35 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.25 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.07 | 3.35 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.4 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.5 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.3 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.32 | 3.32 | 2.95 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Bolton?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/03/2024 between Derby County and Bolton in League One :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.4% for a win of Derby County against Bolton with odds of 2.34 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Bolton is 29.92% with odds of 3.5 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Bolton vs Derby County with odds of 3.5 at Betfair.
Derby County - Bolton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Derby County Bolton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Derby County wins | 44.4% | 2.34 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.91% | 2.05 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 63.54% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Derby County/Derby County | 18.93% | 3.5 at Betsson |
Derby County vs Bolton Form
Derby County and Bolton's standings in the League One
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
92 | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 41 |
|
3
|
87 | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 35 |
Derby County and Bolton Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2024 - League One
9 Mar 2024 - League One
2 Mar 2024 - League One
27 Feb 2024 - League One
24 Feb 2024 - League One
17 Feb 2024 - League One
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2024 - League One
2 Mar 2024 - League One
27 Feb 2024 - League One
17 Feb 2024 - League One
10 Feb 2024 - League One
27 Jan 2024 - League One
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2024 - League One
24 Feb 2024 - League One
13 Feb 2024 - League One
3 Feb 2024 - League One
23 Jan 2024 - League One
20 Jan 2024 - League One
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2024 - League One
9 Mar 2024 - League One
5 Mar 2024 - League One
2 Mar 2024 - League One
27 Feb 2024 - League One
24 Feb 2024 - League One
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2024 - League One
2 Mar 2024 - League One
17 Feb 2024 - League One
13 Feb 2024 - League One
3 Feb 2024 - League One
23 Jan 2024 - League One
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2024 - League One
5 Mar 2024 - League One
27 Feb 2024 - League One
24 Feb 2024 - League One
20 Feb 2024 - League One
10 Feb 2024 - League One
Derby County vs Bolton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Dec 2022 - League One
13 Apr 2019 - Championship
29 Sep 2018 - Championship
Players list
J. Wildsmith
DefenderC. Forsyth
E. Cashin
C. Nelson
MidfielderN. Mendez Laing
E. Adams
C. Hourihane
J. Ward
L. Sibley
ForwardT. Barkhuizen
D. Gayle
J. Coleman
DefenderR. Santos
J. Dacres-Cogley
N. Ogbeta
E. Toal
G. Jones
MidfielderJ. Sheehan
E. Maghoma
G. Thomason
ForwardJ. Bodvarsson
A. Collins
Substitutes
S. Loach
DefenderK. Wilson
C. Elder
MidfielderL. Thompson
K. Smith
ForwardC. Blackett-Taylor
M. Waghorn
L. Hutchinson
DefenderJ. Iredale
W. Forrester
MidfielderR. Williams
K. Dempsey
A. Morley
ForwardC. Jerome
Most goals and assists
Derby County
Bolton
J. Collins
(14 Goals)
D. Charles
(17 Goals)
Derby County - Bolton Key Points
- Four of Bolton’s last five away matches had over 2.5 goals
- A total of 16 goals were scored in Bolton’s last five matches
- All of Derby County’s last five matches had over 2.5 goals
- At least three goals were scored in five of seven meetings between these two sides
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Our Derby County vs Bolton Prediction
This will be one of the top matches on a crucial weekend in League One. While these two may in the end finish in the top six, this game could determine who gets an automatic promotion slot. A key stat going into this game has to do with the goals. The two sides have been in prolific scoring form and their matches have been high scoring. Sticking with that, our prediction for Derby County v Bolton Wanderers is for the game to have over 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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