Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Devesh Jaganath in UEFA Nations League Predictions
The first leg of Quarter-final 3 in the UEFA Nations League will see Denmark face off against Portugal at Parken on Thursday evening. The winner of this tie between De Rod-Hvide and A Selecao will move on to face either Italy or Germany in the next round of the competition. Check out our match prediction below!
Brian Reimer experienced a tough start to life as head coach of Denmark, failing to win either of his first two matches - a 2-1 loss to Spain and a goalless draw against Serbia back in November. The former Anderlecht boss will be hoping to secure his first victory here in Copenhagen, but his side have lost each of their last three matches against this opponent and failed to score in the last two.
As a result, bookmakers have installed the hosts as the underdogs in this match. Let’s take a look at the key stats at play in this one.
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The Best Betting Odds for Denmark v Portugal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.4 | 3.2 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.3 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.4 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.63 | 3.61 | 2.16 |
|
|
3.63 | 3.61 | 2.16 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Denmark and Portugal?
Our prediction for the Denmark vs Portugal match is: Portugal draw no bet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/03/2025 between Denmark and Portugal in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.93% for a win of Denmark against Portugal with odds of 3.63 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Denmark vs Portugal is 32.16% with odds of 3.61 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.91% chance ⭐ for a win of Portugal vs Denmark with odds of 2.25 at Bet365.
Denmark vs Portugal Form
Denmark and Portugal Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
20 Jun 2024 - Euro
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
29 Jun 2024 - Euro
16 Jun 2024 - Euro
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jul 2024 - Euro
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
18 Jun 2024 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
22 Jun 2024 - Euro
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
Denmark - Portugal: Form Analysis
Denmark made an excellent start to their Nations League campaign, notching up back-to-back 2-0 victories in the first two rounds, both on home soil, over Switzerland and Serbia respectively.
Since then, the Red and Whites have not tasted victory in the competition, losing home and away to Spain and drawing in the reverse fixtures against the Swiss and the Serbians.
Notably, the hosts only scored seven goals in their six group-stage matches, which was the fewest of any of the eight teams that qualified for the quarter-final of this season’s Nations League.
Portugal came through the group stage of the competition unbeaten (W4 D2 L0)!
Indeed, Portugal are one of only three teams yet to taste defeat in the competition to date, though they were held by Scotland and Croatia to draws in two of their three matches on the road.
Looking further back, A Selecao have now only lost two of their last 12 matches across all competitions (W6 D3 L0), both in the European Championship last year against Georgia and France.
Notably, while the visitors scored a total of 13 goals during the group stage - the joining second-most across League A - only four of those came in away games, including three in one match.
Still, Portugal have only lost one of their last 11 Nations League games outside of their homeland (W5 D5 L1) - a 1-0 defeat against Switzerland in 2022.
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Denmark vs Portugal last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Denmark & Portugal Squad Analysis
Denmark’s squad selection for this match raised a few eyebrows with Mika Biereth, Lucas Hogsberg, Conrad Harder and Victor Froholdt all receiving their first call-ups to the national team.
Among those who will not feature for the Red and Whites this week are Alexander Bah, Kasper Dolberg, Yussuf Poulsen and Andreas Christensen, all of whom are sidelined due to injury.
Gustav Isaksen scored in two of his last three appearances for the Danes and will likely partner Manchester United forward Rasmus Hojlund in attack in this match.
Cristiano Ronaldo is the leading scorer in this competition with five goals!
The Portuguese captain has been in stellar form for his club this season as well, currently leading the race for the Golden Boot in the Saudi Pro League with 19 goals in 24 matches.
Manchester City centre-back Ruben Dias returns to the visitors' squad for the quarter-final having recovered from a muscle issue, while Geovany Quenda earned his first national team call-up.
Man United midfielder Bruno Fernandes is one to watch in this match. The Red Devils' skipper has four goal contributions in this competition and six goal contributions in his last four Premier League matches.
Most goals and assists
Denmark
Portugal
G. Isaksen
(2 Goals)
Cristiano Ronaldo
(5 Goals)
A. Skov Olsen
(2 Assists)
N. Mendes
(3 Assists)
,
Vitinha
(3 Assists)
Denmark and Portugal Stats in UEFA Nations League
Denmark - Portugal Key Points
- Denmark are winless in their last four Nations League matches.
- Denmark have lost their last three games against this opponent.
- Portugal are unbeaten in this season’s Nations League.
- Portugal have only lost three of their last 24 Nations League matches.
- Portugal have only lost one of their last 11 Nations League away games.
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Our Denmark vs Portugal Prediction
While Denmark have managed to get to the quarter-final of this competition, their journey has been fairly unimpressive. They have only won two matches, one of which came with their opponents reduced to nine men by the final whistle.
The hosts are also missing several key players due to injury, which does not bode well for their chances against a Portugal side that are still unbeaten and have maintained the core of their team. We fancy the visitors to get the win here, but with favourable odds available, we will opt for the safety of our money back in the event of a draw. Our Denmark vs Portugal prediction is Portugal draw no bet.
Denmark vs Portugal - Other Interesting Predictions
Under 2.5
Denmark have kept seven clean sheets in their last 11 Nations League home games, including in two of three in this season’s group stage. Portugal only scored two or more goals in one of their away games in this competition. Additionally, the last two matches between these sides ended in a 1-0 scoreline.
Get up to £30 to bet on the Denmark vs. Portugal game
You can get yourself a £30 matched bet for the battle between Denmark and Portugal when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins then you won't get the free bet but you'll have your winnings for further fun on UEFA Nations League!
Denmark vs Portugal match : Frequently asked questions
The UEFA Nations League match between Denmark and Portugal will be played on March 20 at 19:45 GMT.
The Nations League match between Denmark and Portugal will take place at Parken in Copenhagen.
The UEFA Nations League match between Denmark and Portugal will be broadcast on ITV in the UK. Danish viewers can tune in to TV2 Denmark, while RTP Portugal will broadcast the match to Portuguese viewers.
Alternatively, you can keep up to the minute with all the action using our UEFA Nations League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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