Denmark vs England Prediction & Betting Tips - Euro
by Ian John in Euro Predictions
The Three Lions are back in action Thursday evening, with England fans hoping their team will finally roar into action against Denmark.
Following on from an insipid 1-0 victory over Serbia in their opening match, England will be hoping for a better display but a similarly positive result against the Danes. A win would certainly qualify them for the knockout phase.
Jude Bellingham's masterful midfield display and game-winning header was the bright point for England in an otherwise unimaginative performance against the Serbs.
Denmark were held 1-1 by Slovenia in their opening match. Head coach Kasper Hjulmand will know that one win from their remaining two games should be enough to qualify for the knockout phase. Even if it's as one of the best third-placed teams in the group stages.
Kickoff is at 5 pm, so tune in to find out whether the Three Lions will roar for the first time at Euro 2024!
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Denmark v England Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13 | 1.14 | 9.5 |
|
|
4.6 | 2.4 | 2.05 |
|
|
5.3 | 3.65 | 1.55 |
|
|
13.6 | 1.18 | 8.86 |
|
|
13.6 | 1.18 | 8.86 |
|
|
6.2 | 3.48 | 1.65 |
|
|
11.5 | 1.12 | 8 |
|
|
5.55 | 3.76 | 1.65 |
|
|
5.8 | 3.7 | 1.67 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
What is the prediction for the football match between Denmark and England?
Our prediction for the Denmark vs England match is: England win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/06/2024 between Denmark and England in Euro :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.88% for a win of Denmark against England with odds of 13.6 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Denmark vs England is 26.82% with odds of 3.76 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.29% chance ⭐ for a win of England vs Denmark with odds of 9.5 at Bet365.
Denmark - England Prediction and Best Odds:
| Denmark England Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| England wins | 38.29% | 9.5 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.44% | 5.67 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 60.42% | 2.1 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: England | 14.86% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Denmark vs England Form
Denmark and England's standings in the Euro
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
|
2
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Denmark and England Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jun 2024 - Euro
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jun 2024 - Euro
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
Denmark against England : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Jul 2021 - Euro
14 Oct 2020 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2020 - UEFA Nations League
Denmark - England: Form Analysis
While England drew plaudits for their defensive work in the 1-0 win over Serbia, their attacking tactics and shape were criticized. So too their ability to break up the Serbian possession in the second half. Could that tempt Gareth Southgate into making a change or two?
That's doubtful. The win over Serbia was just England's second win in their last six games (2 draws, 2 defeats). The victory should have given the players a boost in confidence, despite the fact that the team faded after a solid first-half display.
Manager Southgate has shown he tends not to change winning teams too often in major tournaments.
Even with a fully fit and booking-free squad to pick from. He'll need to see much more from his attacking players though against tricky opponents in the shape of Denmark.
While England may not be ready to change things of yet, Danish boss Kasper Hjulmand may decide to.
A 1-1 draw against Slovenia, perceived to be the weakest team in the group, was not the start the Danes wanted to their Euro 2024 campaign.
Despite the draw with Slovenia, the Danes come into this game unbeaten in their last five, having won three and drawn two. In fact, they have lost just once in the past two years, a 2-0 defeat last November away to Northern Ireland.
Denmark also has a good recent record against England. In the last seven matches between the two teams, the Danes have won three, England three, and one game has been drawn. They also pushed England very hard in the semi-finals in Euro 2020, forcing extra-time before losing to a penalty from Harry Kane that Kasper Schmeichel saved, only for Kane to score the rebound.
You can be assured the Danes will want to avenge that loss here!
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Denmark against England Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
M. Hjulmand
K. Trippier
L. Shaw
Denmark & England Squad Analysis
England full-back Kieran Trippier picked up a slight knock in the game with Serbia but appeared to recover during the game. However, Luke Shaw is back in full training and could be considered for that role.
It also remains to be seen whether Trent Alexander-Arnold will remain in central midfield or if Conor Gallagher will get the nod. Southgate has proven to be loyal to his first-choice players in past tournaments, so any changes to the team will likely be minimal.
That means the growing clamour for the exciting Cole Palmer to start will likely fall on deaf ears.
Harry Kane, Phil Foden, Bukayo Saka, and the outstanding Jude Bellingham are likely to keep their places as the attacking quartet.
Denmark has the option to make several changes for this game.
Experienced defender and captain Simon Kjaer, who sat out the opening 1-1 draw with Slovakia, is likely to return in the heart of defense.
Coach Hjulmand could also call upon Brentford duo Mikkel Damsgaard and Christian Norgaard for the game against the nation where they play their club football. At the same time, talented left-sided wingback Joakim Maehle could also earn a spot in the first XI.
Another potential change could see Kasper Dollberg handed the start in place of Jonas Wind, with Manchester United striker Rasmus Hojlund likely to keep his place in the team.
Denmark - England Key Points
- Denmark has scored just three goals in their last five matches against England.
- England has won three of the last five matches against Denmark. Including both the last two games at the World Cup and European Championships.
- England has never lost to Denmark in the Finals of a major tournament, winning two games and drawing the other.
- In 22 games between the two teams, Denmark have just four wins, with five draws. England have won the other 13 matches.
- Denmark has conceded a goal in six of their last nine games, including all their last three.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Denmark vs England Prediction
After a slow start against Serbia, Gareth Southgate's team should have gained confidence from that win over what is likely to be their most difficult opponents in this group.
Denmark, while solid defensively like Serbia, don't offer anywhere near as much attacking threat as the Serbs and England's back line coped well with what Serbia conjured up in that game. Similarly, if the Danes struggled to keep Slovenia out in their opener, they should find it much tougher against Harry Kane, Phil Foden and Jude Bellingham.
A win for England would qualify them and allow Southgate to remain players for the final group game with Slovenia. That's an enticing prospect and added incentive for England to get the job done here. Our prediction for England v Denmark Euro 2024 Group C: England win.
Denmark vs England - Other Interesting Predictions
Under 2.5 Goals
Only one of the last four games between England and Denmark has seen over 2.5 goals scored, and it required extra time for that to be the case when the teams put last in the semi-finals of Euro 2020.
Both team's opening fixtures were tight affairs, and this game doesn't look likely to be any different. Especially with both managers knowing that the really decisive action in this group will come in the final group games.
While data suggests England will win the game, it also suggests it will be another narrow victory, so our first secondary prediction is for under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Harry Kane (England) to score at any time.
Having seen his header brilliantly saved by the Serbian goalkeeper Predrag Rajkovic in England's opening win over Serbia, striker Harry Kane will hope to break his goalscoring duck in the tournament against the Danes on Thursday night.
The England skipper was shepherded very well by the Serbian centre-backs, minimizing his influence in the game, but he will expect to play a bigger part against the Danes.
If England are to go deep in this tournament, they will need their captain to start scoring goals and he is a good bet to do so against Denmark, the team he scored the winner against in the 2020 Euro Semi-Finals.
So our other secondary prediction is for Harry Kane to score at any time.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Denmark England
| Denmark vs England | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denmark wins | 6 | 13 | +116.7% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 1.14 | -68.3% |
| England wins | 1.65 | 9.5 | +475.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- England is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 475.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 60.6% and is now 10.5% (-50.1%)
bet365 Welcome Offer - Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bet Credits
The welcome offer for bet365 customers is a simple Bet £10 Get £30 in free bet credits. You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
The £30 in bet credits have seven days of expiry on them and can be used on any sports market bar Tote markets. You are not able to use the free bet credits on acca boosts. Your qualifying bet cannot be cashed out and none of the free bet credits will be returned to you when your bet is settled. You are able to cash out the free bets as the stake will be removed from any offer given.
Denmark vs England match : Frequently asked questions
Denmark will face England in both team's second fixture in Group C of Euro 2024, The game kicks off at 5 pm UK Time on Thursday 20th June and will be played at the Frankfurt Arena, home of Bundesliga side Eintracht Frankfurt.
England currently lead Group C having beaten Serbia 1-0 in their opening game. Jude Bellingham scoring the goal. A win for England assures them of a place in the knockout phase.
Denmark are joint-second in Group C having drawn 1-1 in their opener against Slovenia. Christian Eriksen scoring the goal for the Danes.
England and Denmark have met a total of 22 times in their history. The first game coming in 1948 finished in a 0-0 draw.
Of those 22 games, England have won the majority with 13 victories, including a 2-1 win after extra time in their last match, the Euro 2020 semi-final at Wembley.
Denmark have won just four times against England, with five games finishing as a draw. That includes their only previous Euro Finals match up, which finished as a 0-0 draw when the teams met in Sweden in 1992.
Their only other major finals fixture came in the 2002 World Cup in South Korea and Japan, with England running out comfortable 3-0 winners.
However, the Danes have drawn and beaten England in the UEFA Nations League, drawing 0-0 in Copenhagen, before managing a 1-0 win at Wembley in October 2020.
BBC One will be showing full live coverage of the Denmark v England game in Group C of Euro 2024 on Thursday 20th June, 5pm Kickoff UK Time.
Ultra HD coverage will be available on the Red Button on BBC iPlayer.
If you would like to keep track of the key stats for the game, especially if you are betting in play, then check out the Euro 2024 Livescore page at Sportytrader for real-time updates and even customizable text commentary on the game.
Portuguese official Artur Soares Dias will referee the Denmark v England match in Euro 2024 Group C on Thursday evening.
Soares Dias refereed the game between Poland and Netherlands at Euro 2024, awarding just a single yellow card. He has also refereed 16 club games this season, awarding 71 yellow cards and six red.
Paulo Soares and Pedro Ribeiro will be his assistant referees, with Mykola Balakin of Ukraine as the fourth official. Tiago Martins will lead the team of officials responsible for VAR.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
