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Croatia vs Scotland Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Steve Ashfield in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Croatia are home to Scotland in their third match in this Nations League group. This is a match in League A with Croatia second in the table and Scotland in bottom place. Croatia are three points behind the leaders Portugal, who they will host in their final match of this group in mid-November.
The Blazers had a crucial home win over Poland in their last group match. They travel to the third-placed Poles in their next group fixture next Tuesday and are currently ahead of them on head-to-head results.
Scotland are in deep trouble already in this Nations League group. The Tartan Army won't surrender yet but have lost both of their matches in this group. After playing this match, they are home to leaders Portugal on Tuesday so definitely need some points from these two games.
Their current form is disappointing though and they are in real danger of being relegated to League B. Can they improve their situation in this group? Read our match prediction below.
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The Best Betting Odds for Croatia v Scotland Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.53 | 4.2 | 6 |
|
|
1.57 | 4 | 5.25 |
|
|
15 | 10 | 1 |
|
|
15 | 10 | 1 |
|
|
1.57 | 4 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.56 | 4.16 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.56 | 4.16 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.5 | 6.8 |
|
|
1.59 | 4.06 | 5.6 |
|
|
1.61 | 4.2 | 5.6 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.1 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.58 | 4.2 | 6 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.75 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.33 | 6.3 |
|
|
1.5 | 4 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.2 | 6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Croatia and Scotland?
Our prediction for the Croatia vs Scotland match is: Croatia to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/10/2024 between Croatia and Scotland in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.13% for a win of Croatia against Scotland with odds of 15 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Croatia vs Scotland is 22.86% with odds of 10 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Scotland vs Croatia with odds of 6.8 at Stake.
Croatia - Scotland Prediction and Best Odds:
| Croatia Scotland Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Croatia wins | 54.13% | 15 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.97% | 1.93 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 58.33% | 1.92 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time : Croatia/Croatia | 22.81% | 2.45 at Betsson |
Croatia vs Scotland Form
Croatia and Scotland's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
|
3
|
7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 |
Croatia and Scotland Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
24 Jun 2024 - Euro
19 Jun 2024 - Euro
15 Jun 2024 - Euro
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
24 Jun 2024 - Euro
19 Jun 2024 - Euro
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
12 Oct 2023 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Jun 2024 - Euro
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2023 - Euro
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
23 Jun 2024 - Euro
19 Jun 2024 - Euro
14 Jun 2024 - Euro
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
23 Jun 2024 - Euro
19 Jun 2024 - Euro
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Jun 2024 - Euro
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
17 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies
Croatia vs Scotland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
22 Jun 2021 - Euro
Croatia - Scotland: Form Analysis
Second-placed Croatia had gone four games without a win before beating Poland in their most recent Nations League match. They failed to get any wins in this summer's Euros and then lost their opening Nations League match 2-1 away in Portugal.
Their poor run of form ended when they got a 1-0 home win over Poland with Luca Modric scoring the winner early in the second half. That was their third successive home win and no goals have been conceded in those victories.
Scotland are still looking for their first point.
Scotland are yet to earn a point in this Nations League group. Their opening fixture saw them lose 3-2 at home to Poland. They trailed 2-0 in that match, pulled it back level but lost to a 97th minute penalty.
Their woes continued with a 2-1 away loss to Portugal. That was even more disappointing as they led 1-0 and didn't concede the winner until the 88th minute. Scotland have now gone six games without a win with only one victory over Gibraltar in the last 14.
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Croatia against Scotland Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Croatia & Scotland Squad Analysis
Martin Erlic is back in the Croatian squad an the defender may well start this match against Scotland. They do have some injury problems though with both Lovro Majer and Marin Pongracic unavailable for this match. Croatia had already had to deal with the international retirements of Marcelo Brozovic and Domagoj Vida. Expected to play his 99th match for Croatia is striker Andrej Kramaric.
There are three players in the squad who have already reached the 100 cap mark - Luka Modric, Ivan Perisic and Mateo Kovacic - so there is still tons of experience in the Croatian squad for this match. That's compared to Igor Matanovic who made his debut last month and could play against Scotland.
Plenty of injury problems for Scotland.
Scotland will be hoping for more goals from Scott McTominay who has scored in both of their matches in this Nations League group. Che Adams is back in Scotland's squad but they will not be able to name the same starting line-up for the third successive match.
Angus Gunn is injured and that means 41-year-old Craig Gordon (the oldest player to play for Scotland) will be between the sticks. Celtic's Greg Taylor is out injured as is Lawrence Shankland. Jack MacKenzie and Kevin Nisbet have replaced them. Also out injured are key players such as Kieran Tierney, Nathan Patterson, Aaron Hickey and John McGinn.
Most goals and assists
Croatia
Scotland
M. Baturina
(1 Goals)
,
P. Sucic
(1 Goals)
,
J. Gvardiol
(1 Goals)
,
L. Modric
(1 Goals)
,
A. Kramaric
(1 Goals)
,
I. Matanovic
(1 Goals)
,
B. Sosa
(1 Goals)
J. McGinn
(2 Goals)
,
S. McTominay
(2 Goals)
P. Sucic
(1 Assists)
,
K. Jakic
(1 Assists)
,
M. Baturina
(1 Assists)
T. Ralston
(1 Assists)
,
K. McLean
(1 Assists)
,
B. Doak
(1 Assists)
Croatia - Scotland Key Points
- Croatia have won their last three home games to nil.
- Only Gibraltar have been beaten in Scotland's last 14 internationals.
- Scotland have lost their first two matches in this group.
- Scotland have only won one of their last six Nations League away matches.
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Our Croatia vs Scotland Prediction
Croatia will be going all-out to get the win in this match. They have a tricky away match against Poland in their next fixture in this Nations League group. At present, they are second in the table and three points behind leaders Portugal.
They did not have a good European Championships in the summer but are a difficult side to beat on home soil. Already, they have beaten Poland at home in this group and have won their last three home matches to nil.
Scotland made a great start in their Euro 2024 qualifying group but have struggled since then. Only one of their last 14 games has been won and they are yet to earn a point in this group. Our main Croatia v Scotland prediction is Croatia to win.
Croatia vs Scotland - Other Interesting Predictions
Croatia to lead at half and full time
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Croatia Scotland
| Croatia vs Scotland | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia wins | 1.57 | 1.53 | -2.5% |
| Draw | 4.1 | 4.2 | +2.4% |
| Scotland wins | 5.5 | 6 | +9.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Croatia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 63.7% and is now 65.4% (1.7%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
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Croatia vs Scotland match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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