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Croatia vs Portugal Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Devesh Jaganath in UEFA Nations League Predictions
League A Group 1 at the UEFA Nations League will be decided this week when Croatia take on Portugal at Stadion Poljud on Monday night. Kockasti are in second place in the group standings heading into the final round of matches, while A Selecao are leading the pack. Check out our match prediction below.
Portugal have been the best team in this group by some distance and with 13 points to their name, their qualification to the quarter-final is guaranteed, regardless of the outcome of this match. Croatia currently have a three-point advantage over the other two teams in this group, meaning they need a point or better here to secure their place in the knockout rounds.
The Blazers will also progress if Poland and Scotland end level; however, if they lose and Scotland beat Poland, the second place in the group will be decided on goal difference. Let’s dive into the key stats in this one!
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The Best Betting Odds for Croatia v Portugal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.45 | 3.1 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.75 | 2.3 | 3.4 |
|
|
3.13 | 3.61 | 2.39 |
|
|
3.13 | 3.61 | 2.39 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.2 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.35 | 2.49 |
|
|
3.02 | 3.46 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.15 | 3.4 | 2.33 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.1 | 3 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.25 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.4 | 2.9 | 3 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.15 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.2 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.44 | 3.21 | 3.32 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Croatia and Portugal?
Our prediction for the Croatia vs Portugal match is: Both teams to score!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/11/2024 between Croatia and Portugal in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.93% for a win of Croatia against Portugal with odds of 3.15 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Croatia vs Portugal is 24.82% with odds of 3.61 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.25% chance ⭐ for a win of Portugal vs Croatia with odds of 3.4 at Ladbrokes.
Croatia - Portugal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Croatia Portugal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Croatia wins | 38.93% | 3.15 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.12% | 2.07 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 47.92% | 1.75 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Croatia | 17.2% | 6.2 at Betsson |
Croatia vs Portugal Form
Croatia and Portugal's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
|
2
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Croatia and Portugal Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
24 Jun 2024 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
24 Jun 2024 - Euro
19 Jun 2024 - Euro
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Jun 2024 - Euro
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jul 2024 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jul 2024 - Euro
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
18 Jun 2024 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
22 Jun 2024 - Euro
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
Croatia vs Portugal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
20 %
60 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2020 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2020 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2018 - International Friendlies
Croatia - Portugal: Form Analysis
Croatia were in a position to secure their place in the quarter-final last week but suffered a 1-0 loss to Scotland on the road, which kept the Tartan Army in the running for a top-two finish.
That result came after two wins and a draw in this competition for the Blazers, following an opening round 2-1 defeat to Portugal back in September.
The Chequered Ones have won both their home games in this competition so far, and are on a four-match winning streak on home soil. They also maintained clean sheets in three games during that period.
Notably, last week’s defeat marked the first time Croatia failed to score in this competition!
Meanwhile, Portugal have been excellent in these qualifiers and enter this match following a commanding 5-1 victory over Poland at home on Friday night.
That result marked A Selecao’s fourth victory in five in this competition, while the only points they dropped to date was in a goalless draw with Scotland on the road last month.
Portugal’s five goals in the last match took their tally in this competition to 12, which is the joint-most of any side in League A of the Nations League, alongside Group 2 winners Italy.
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Croatia against Portugal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Croatia & Portugal Squad Analysis
Croatia will have to make do without the services of attacking midfielder Petar Sucic for this match after he was sent off for two bookable offences against Scotland last time out.
Mario Pasalic or Nikola Vlasic are the most likely to replace the Dinamo Zagreb man in attack, while Hoffenheim’s Andrej Kramaric is expected to continue to lead the line in this one.
Dominik Livakovic and Ante Budimir will be eligible to return to action here having served their bans, and the former will almost certainly slot straight back between the posts in place of Dominik Kotarski.
With qualification secure, Roberto Martinez has allowed several big-hitters to return to their clubs!
Naturally, the most notable of players that have departed the national team is Cristiano Ronaldo, who has scored five goals in the five matches he’s played in this competition, including a brace last time out.
Joining CR7 on the bus back to the airport are Pedro Neto and Bruno Fernandes, both of whom were also on the scoresheet last week, as well as Manchester City midfielder Bernardo Silva.
Most goals and assists
Croatia
Portugal
J. Gvardiol
(1 Goals)
,
L. Modric
(1 Goals)
,
A. Kramaric
(1 Goals)
,
I. Matanovic
(1 Goals)
,
B. Sosa
(1 Goals)
,
M. Baturina
(1 Goals)
,
P. Sucic
(1 Goals)
Cristiano Ronaldo
(5 Goals)
M. Baturina
(1 Assists)
,
P. Sucic
(1 Assists)
,
K. Jakic
(1 Assists)
N. Mendes
(3 Assists)
,
Vitinha
(3 Assists)
Croatia - Portugal Key Points
- Three of Croatia’s five matches in this competition have ended with both teams scoring.
- Croatia have scored in four consecutive home games across all competitions.
- Four of Portugal’s five matches in this competition have ended with both teams scoring.
- Portugal have scored two or more goals in four of their last five games.
- Both teams have scored in each of the last five matches between these sides.
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Our Croatia vs Portugal Prediction
While Portugal have allowed several of their best players to return to their respective clubs ahead of this match, they still have more than enough firepower in their squad to break down any defence.
However, with the changes made by Martinez, Croatia would have grown in confidence, and they will know that getting the first goal in this contest will be crucial to keeping their qualification fate in their own hands. Our Croatia vs Portugal prediction: Both teams to score!
Croatia vs Portugal - Other Interesting Predictions
Double Chance - Croatia or Draw
As mentioned, Portugal are set to be without four of their starting players for this match, three of which were on the scoresheet for them in the victory over Poland last week. Additionally, Croatia have won both their home games in this competition and are unbeaten in their last four on home soil.
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Try your luck on this year's UEFA Nations League! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Croatia vs Portugal match : Frequently asked questions
The UEFA Nations League match between Croatia and Portugal will be played on November 18 at 19:45 GMT.
The UEFA Nations League match between Croatia and Portugal will take place at Stadion Poljud in Split, Croatia.
The UEFA Nations League match between Croatia and Portugal will be broadcast on ITV in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the UEFA Nations League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Davide Massa will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Filippo Meli, Stefano Alassio and Daniele Doveri as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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