Costa Rica vs Paraguay Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa America
by Devesh Jaganath in Copa America Predictions
The final match of the 2024 Copa America group stage is here!
Costa Rica will be looking to make a late push for qualification when they take on Paraguay at the Q2 Stadium on Wednesday morning.
Los Ticos have to win to keep their quarter-final hopes alive, while Albirroja will be taking their final bow at this year’s competition in this match. Paraguay are one of the three teams in the competition that have failed to earn a single point in the group stage.
If Costa Rica edge Brazil to second place in Group D, they will move on to face the team that finishes as group winners in Group C.
Should two or more teams end level on points, the order of the tiebreakers to decide the final standings are: goal difference, goals scored, head-to-head record between the teams in the competition, and finally, disciplinary record.
Let’s break down the key stats and predictions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Costa Rica v Paraguay Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.33 | 3.5 | 1.85 |
|
|
4.2 | 2.3 | 2.2 |
|
|
4.01 | 3.36 | 2.07 |
|
|
4.01 | 3.36 | 2.07 |
|
|
4 | 3.25 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.92 | 3.28 | 2.03 |
|
|
4.1 | 3.5 | 1.96 |
|
|
3.92 | 3.28 | 2.03 |
|
|
4.1 | 3.15 | 1.86 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Costa Rica and Paraguay?
Our prediction for the Costa Rica vs Paraguay match is: Under 2.5!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 7/2/24 between Costa Rica and Paraguay in Copa America :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.17% for a win of Costa Rica against Paraguay with odds of 4.33 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Costa Rica vs Paraguay is 25.12% with odds of 3.5 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.7% chance ⭐ for a win of Paraguay vs Costa Rica with odds of 2.2 at Ladbrokes.
Costa Rica - Paraguay Prediction and Best Odds:
| Costa Rica Paraguay Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Costa Rica wins | 44.17% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 50.5% | 2.24 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 23.81% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Costa Rica/Costa Rica | 16.84% | 8.5 at Bet365 |
Costa Rica vs Paraguay Form
Costa Rica and Paraguay's standings in the Copa America
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 |
|
4
|
0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 |
Costa Rica and Paraguay Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jun 2024 - Copa America
24 Jun 2024 - Copa America
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
31 May 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jun 2024 - Copa America
24 Jun 2024 - Copa America
16 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
Costa Rica - Paraguay: Form Analysis
Costa Rica’s dream of reaching their first-ever Copa America quarter-final is hanging by a thread.
They have to win this match, hope that Brazil lose their matchup against Colombia, and need to overturn a whopping six-goal deficit of Selecao.
That looks a particularly challenging situation considering they have not scored a single goal in this year’s tournament.
Additionally, the last two encounters between Costa Rica and Paraguay have ended goalless!
Gustavo Alfaro’s side earned their spot at Copa America by beating Honduras 3-1 in their qualification playoff match.
Los Ticos made a promising start to the tournament by holding South American powerhouse Brazil to an unexpected goalless draw in their opening match.
However, they were unable to keep the momentum going in match two, which they lost 3-0 to Colombia. That was the only defeat Costa Rica conceded in their last five matches.
Aside from the last two matches between these teams ending level, the previous four were split two wins apiece.
Meanwhile, Paraguay will be playing this match as a formality and will be hoping to leave North America on a high note.
They have lost both matches so far. The first ended in a 2-1 defeat to Colombia, while the second saw them run into a determined Brazil, who smashed in four goals, including a brace from Real Madrid’s Vinícius Junior.
There is a case to be made that Paraguay’s poor performance in the competition has not been a major surprise given their recent record.
In their last 10 matches in all competitions, Albirroja have managed only two wins, along with two draws and six losses.
The last time Paraguay beat Costa Rica was in August 2010!
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Costa Rica against Paraguay Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
M. Ugalde
A. Cubas
Costa Rica & Paraguay Squad Analysis
Costa Rica will have to make do with the services of Spartak Moscow forward Manfred Ugalde, who was shown his second yellow in the group stage last time out and will have to serve a one-match suspension.
Joel Campbell and Josimar Alcocer are the most likely to replace Ugalde in starting 11.
Alfaro is expected to revert to a three-at-the-back formation likely featuring Francisco Calvo, Juan Pablo Vargas and Jeyland Mitchell.
For Paraguay - Andres Cubas was sent off late in the day in the side’s big loss to Brazil and he will watch their final match from the sideline.
Getafe defender Omar Alderete has scored Albirroja’s only goal in the last match. That was also his first-ever goal for the national side.
Costa Rica - Paraguay Key Points
- Costa Rica have failed to score a goal at the 2024 Copa America
- Costa Rica have kept four clean sheets in their last five matches in all competitions
- Seven of Paraguay’s last 10 matches have ended with under 2.5 goals
- Paraguay have failed to score in nine of their last 15 matches in all compeititons
- Each of the last five matches between these sides have ended with under 2.5 goals
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Our Costa Rica vs Paraguay Prediction
Costa Rica have it all to do, while Paraguay are playing for pride!
In fairness, though, both these sides have not been great in this competition. Additionally, Costa Rica are barely still in contention and have failed to score a single goal in the tournament.
Matches between these two are typically low-scoring affairs and we feel we’ll see something similar in this one. Our Costa Rica vs Paraguay prediction: Under 2.5!
Costa Rica vs Paraguay - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score (NO)
Costa Rica have failed to score in this competition. The last two matches between these teams also ended goalless.
Double Chance - Costa Rica or Draw
Costa Rica have to win this match to progress, therefore, they have more motivation to go all out. Additionally, they are unbeaten in their last three matches against this opponent.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Costa Rica Paraguay
| Costa Rica vs Paraguay | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Costa Rica wins | 3.6 | 4.33 | +20.3% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.5 | +6.1% |
| Paraguay wins | 2.05 | 1.85 | -9.8% |
A few minutes before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Costa Rica is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 20.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 27.8% and is now 23.1% (-4.7%)
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Costa Rica vs Paraguay match : Frequently asked questions
The 2024 Copa America match between Costa Rica and Paraguay will take place on July 3 at 02:00 GMT.
The 2024 Copa America match between Costa Rica and Paraguay will be played at the Q2 Stadium in Texas.
Premier Sports holds the rights to the Copa America tournament in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to date with all the Copa America Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
In 6 previous matches between these sides, Costa Rica have won 2, Paraguay have won 2 and 2 matches ended level.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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