Africa - AFCON
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Congo Republic vs South Africa Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Devesh Jaganath in AFCON Predictions
Just four days since meeting in Gqeberha, Congo and South Africa head to Stade Alphonse Massamba-Debat this Tuesday to face off in week four of the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers. Ba Diabulu ya Mbwaki are in third place in Group K, while Bafana Bafana are in second, level on points with group leaders Uganda. Check out our match prediction below.
While historically matches between these two have been close-run affairs, last week's encounter at the Nelson Mandela Stadium was far from the norm. Indeed, South Africa looked a class above their opponents and had pretty much wrapped up the game by halftime en route to a crushing 5-0 victory.
Given the dominant performance Bafana Bafana delivered last week, it’s unsurprising they are showing up as the favourites again in this match. We were bang on the money with our prediction in the last match - let’s try to bag another winner in this one. To the key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Congo Republic v South Africa Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.6 | 2.4 | 2.05 |
|
|
4.99 | 3.52 | 1.72 |
|
|
4.99 | 3.52 | 1.72 |
|
|
5 | 3.3 | 1.7 |
|
|
4.99 | 3.52 | 1.72 |
|
|
4.99 | 3.52 | 1.72 |
|
|
5.2 | 3.55 | 1.66 |
|
|
4.62 | 3.25 | 1.72 |
|
|
4.9 | 3.45 | 1.71 |
|
|
5.4 | 3.58 | 1.71 |
|
|
5 | 3.4 | 1.65 |
|
|
5.6 | 3.45 | 1.65 |
|
|
5.5 | 3.3 | 1.53 |
|
|
5 | 3.6 | 1.68 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Congo Republic and South Africa?
Our prediction for the Congo Republic vs South Africa match is: South Africa wins!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/10/2024 between Congo Republic and South Africa in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 13.71% for a win of Congo Republic against South Africa with odds of 5.6 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Congo Republic vs South Africa is 34.22% with odds of 3.6 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 52.07% chance ⭐ for a win of South Africa vs Congo Republic with odds of 2.05 at Ladbrokes.
Congo Republic - South Africa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Congo Republic South Africa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| South Africa wins | 52.07% | 2.05 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 55.16% | 2.17 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 35.42% | 2.1 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time: South Africa/South Africa | 24.97% | 2.75 at Betsson |
Congo Republic vs South Africa Form
Congo Republic and South Africa's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
|
3
|
4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -8 |
Congo Republic and South Africa Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
18 Jun 2023 - AFCON
23 Mar 2023 - AFCON
20 Jan 2023 - African Nations Championship
8 Jun 2022 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
10 Sep 2023 - AFCON
27 Mar 2023 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
2 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
29 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
26 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
2 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
29 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
26 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Feb 2024 - AFCON
3 Feb 2024 - AFCON
30 Jan 2024 - AFCON
Congo Republic vs South Africa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
Congo Republic - South Africa: Form Analysis
Congo found themselves a goal down as early as the 12th minute last week, and it was all downhill from then on, as they went into the halftime break 3-0 behind and out of the contest.
The result has left them trailing the top two in the group standings by four points. That makes this match a must-win, or they could be out of the qualification equation if both South Africa and Uganda win their matches this week.
However, the Red Devils’ record at home suggests winning here will not be an easy task, as they have only earned a single victory in their last four matches on home soil.
With last week’s victory, South Africa are now unbeaten in their last 11 matches in all competitions!
Bafana Bafana’s performance in the last match was one we have not seen in a while from the side. In fact, the last time they scored five in a match was way back in June 2016 in a friendly against Eswatini.
That result has also taken South Africa to 10 goals in the competition, which is the joint-most alongside Morocco and Algeria.
The visitors now need one more win to secure their place in the 2025 AFCON, and their chances of getting it here look promising, given that they have avoided defeat in their last four matches on the road.
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Congo Republic & South Africa Squad Analysis
Despite the difficulties Congo have faced in recent times behind the scenes, which even led to the side arriving late for their match last week, credit has to be given to the manner in which Isaac N'Gata has handled it all.
The Red Devils’ head coach refused to make excuses for his side's performance, but he did single out goalkeeper Christoffer Mafoumbi, saying that he was not fully fit for the match.
Oswin Appollis has made five goal contributions in the last two matches for South Africa!
The Polokwane City midfielder was the creative spark for Bafana Bafana in the last match, setting up the first three goals of the evening, following a brace against South Sudan last month.
Teboho Mokoena, Bathusi Aubaas, Lyle Foster and Iqraam Rayners all got on the scoresheet in the last match. Given the side’s performance in Gqeberha, it would not come as a surprise if Hugo Broos goes unchanged on Tuesday afternoon.
Most goals and assists
Congo Republic
South Africa
T. Zwane
(2 Goals)
,
T. Mokoena
(2 Goals)
T. Morena
(1 Assists)
,
T. Mokoena
(1 Assists)
,
E. Makgopa
(1 Assists)
,
T. Zwane
(1 Assists)
Congo Republic - South Africa Key Points
- Congo have lost four of their last five matches in all competitions.
- Congo have only won one of their last nine matches.
- South Africa are unbeaten in their last 11 matches in all competitions.
- South Africa have scored two or more goals in all three AFCON qualifiers.
- South Africa are unbeaten in their last four away games.
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Our Congo Republic vs South Africa Prediction
Back on home soil, Congo will be looking to exact revenge for the hammering they received last week. However, there is no doubt that the side is in serious disarray at the moment, which does not bode well for their chances.
South Africa have been improving with each passing match in this competition, and with qualification now in sight, we feel that the bronze medalists at the last AFCON will make no mistake in this match. Our Congo vs South Africa prediction: South Africa wins!
Congo Republic vs South Africa - Other Interesting Predictions
South Africa Over 1.5
South Africa have scored two or more goals in each of their three matches in this competition. Additionally, Congo have conceded two or more in each of their last two games, as well as in seven of their last 10 across all competitions (including the walkover against Niger).
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Congo Republic South Africa
| Congo Republic vs South Africa | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Congo Republic wins | 4.5 | 4.6 | +2.2% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 2.4 | -27.3% |
| South Africa wins | 1.7 | 2.05 | +20.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- South Africa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 20.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 58.8% and is now 48.8% (-10.0%)
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Congo Republic vs South Africa match : Frequently asked questions
The AFCON qualification match between Congo and South Africa will be played on October 15 at 17:00 GMT.
The AFCON qualification match between Congo and South Africa will take place at Stade Alphonse Massamba-Debat in Brazzaville.
The AFCON qualification match between Congo and South Africa will be broadcast on DSTV’s Supersport.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the AFCON Qualifiers Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Mahmood Ismail will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Mohammed Ibrahim, Elmoiz Ahmed and Abdalaziz Ahmed as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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