Colombia vs Costa Rica Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa America
by Daniel Ngulu in Copa America Predictions
After their conquest of Paraguay in Houston, Texas on Monday night, Colombia will pack up their bags for a trip to Arizona. Here they will face Costa Rica in Group D as they continue with their quest for Copa America glory.
Beating Paraguay 2-1 on Match Day 1 catapulted Colombia to the top of the group while Costa Rica are third. A ninth meeting between the two nations, this one finds Colombia with a massive head to head advantage, having won six of the earlier eight.
Just as it was in Houston, we expect los Cafeteros to be roared on by a huge sea of yellow-clad partisan crowds. The big question ahead of this game is whether they can make it two wins out of two matches to secure their place in the Copa America knockout stages.
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The Best Betting Odds for Colombia v Costa Rica Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1 | 41 | 301 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.25 | 10 |
|
|
1.39 | 3.9 | 7 |
|
|
1 | 41 | 301 |
|
|
1 | 41 | 301 |
|
|
1.31 | 5.25 | 11.5 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.4 | 7.4 |
|
|
1.06 | 11.5 | 100 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.8 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.31 | 4.6 | 8.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Colombia and Costa Rica?
Our prediction for the Colombia vs Costa Rica match is: Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 6/28/24 between Colombia and Costa Rica in Copa America :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.74% for a win of Colombia against Costa Rica with odds of 1.45 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Colombia vs Costa Rica is 24.55% with odds of 41 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.72% chance ⭐ for a win of Costa Rica vs Colombia with odds of 301 at Bet365.
Colombia - Costa Rica Prediction and Best Odds:
| Colombia Costa Rica Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Colombia wins | 55.74% | 1.45 at Betwinner |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.54% | 2.05 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Colombia/Colombia | 21.24% | 1.95 at Ladbrokes |
Colombia vs Costa Rica Form
Colombia and Costa Rica's standings in the Copa America
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
|
3
|
1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 |
Colombia and Costa Rica Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jun 2024 - Copa America
15 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Dec 2023 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jun 2024 - Copa America
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
31 May 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
Colombia - Costa Rica: Form Analysis
Goals in the first half from Crystal Palace’s Daniel Munoz and Jefferson Lerma led a dominant Colombia to a 2-1 win over Paraguay on Monday. On a day that Premier League stars shone, Brighton’s Julio Enciso scored Paraguay’s consolation, a reminder of Colombia’s defensive failings.
While this marked Colombia’s ninth straight win, they have just two clean sheets in the last six matches. Nestor Lorenzo’s charges are however living to the billing as one of the Copa America favorites.
To this game they carry a 24-match unbeaten run, which dates back to February of 2022, when they lost to Argentina. In that 24-match run, they only failed to win five times. Will this be the year Colombia add to their only Copa America title, won in 2001 when they hosted the competition?
Costa Rica will be looking to stop Colombia’s lengthy 24-match undefeated run
Costa Rica will be looking to stop Colombia’s lengthy undefeated run. They have much to bank on, having put up a great fight to draw Brazil 0-0 in their opening game.
This was a result of an effective low block that frustrated Brazil, who had 19 shots without breaching their defence. In their last competitive meeting with Colombia, they did win. That was in the 2016 Copa America but can they repeat the same here?
Costa Rica embody belief, going by the line-up sent out against Brazil. They had a 19-year-old in defence and a keeper who has never played top flight football.
After facing one South American giant they will be fired up for another and come here having kept four straight clean sheets. A 3-1 loss to Argentina is their only defeat in the last seven matches and in eight matches, they only failed to score twice.
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Colombia against Costa Rica Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
J. Lucumi
A. Lassister
Colombia & Costa Rica Squad Analysis
In the context of their attack, James Rodriguez has been a major player for Colombia. He may not have scored in the opening game but had two assists.
The Colombia skipper comes as a great asset with his passing ability, positioning and creativity but not really in defensive duties. Liverpool’s Luis Diaz will add to that attacking threat and the two scorers from the first game should keep their places.
Defender Jhon Lucumi, an early sub off against Paraguay, could sit out this game.
Colombia's James Rodriguez had two assists against Paraguay
For Costa Rica, there is a sense they are still trying to find the perfect combinations. Ibiza’s Patrick Sequeira did well in goal against Brazil but the reward for that is an even tougher outing.
As they are expected to line out defensively again, Francisco Calvo’s experience will be really crucial.
A previous star of the team, Joel Campbell will be among the players looked upon to light up the Costa Rica attack. The former Arsenal man came on with 20 minutes to go and should be key after the team managed just two shots against Brazil.
Colombia - Costa Rica Key Points
- All of Colombia’s last four matches had at least three goals scored
- An average of 2.9 goals were scored in Costa Rica’s last nine matches
- Three of Costa Rica’s last five Copa America matches had over 2.5 goals
- Colombia’s last five Copa America matches had a total 13 goals (2.6 per game)
- The last two meetings between Colombia and Costa Rica had a total of nine goals
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Our Colombia vs Costa Rica Prediction
Our prediction for Colombia v Costa Rica is for the game to have over 2.5 goals.
The last two meetings between Colombia and Costa Rica had nine goals in total. In the goals market, Colombia will have an edge, coming from an impressive scoring run.
They scored at least twice in each of their last four matches, all which ended with over 2.5 goals. Three of Costa Rica’s last five matches also produced over 2.5 goals. Backing this game therefore to have at least three goals makes sense.
Colombia vs Costa Rica - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
Colombia have impressed on the attacking side of the ball, netting 17 goals in their last six appearances. However, they haven't looked entirely convincing at the back, something that Costa Rica can potentially exploit. Colombia have conceded in four of their last six matches, with those four also resulting in both teams to score.
Costa Rica held on for a 0-0 draw against Brazil but should be able to have more success here. They scored seven in their two warm-up matches prior to the Copa America as well as finding the net against world champions Argentina in March of this year.
Colombia half time/full time
After an impressive showing against Brazil, Costa Rica’s youthful team will come here a bit stretched. Their last Copa America win may have been against Colombia but here they meet a different Colombia side.
Despite shutting out Brazil, Costa Rica didn’t create much themselves. It will take more to end Colombia’s current streak.
Not only have Colombia dominated meetings with Costa Rica, they are also a strong attacking side. They've scored nine first half goals in their last four matches, as well as finding the net first in each of the last five outings. Therefore, we think the Colombians can get off to a fast start and be leading at the break as well as at the end of 90 minutes.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Colombia Costa Rica
| Colombia vs Costa Rica | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colombia wins | 1.45 | 1 | -31.0% |
| Draw | 4 | 41 | +925.0% |
| Costa Rica wins | 7.5 | 301 | +3,913.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Colombia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 31.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 69.0% and is now 100.0% (31.0%)
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Colombia vs Costa Rica match : Frequently asked questions
The Copa America game between Colombia and Costa Rica will be played on Friday June 28th at 2300hrs GMT
The Copa America game between Colombia and Costa Rica will be staged at the University of Phoenix Stadium
In Colombia you can catch the Copa America game between Colombia and Costa Rica on Caracol TV, RCN, DirecTV and Win Sports. In Costa Rica, Teletica, Repretel, TDMAX and TD+ will air the game. You may also follow the Copa America Livescores on SportyTrader!
Colombia have the head to head advantage over Costa Rica, having won six of their eight meetings.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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