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19 September 2024 - 20:30 

- QF

South America - Copa Sudamericana

Club Libertad
VS
Cruzeiro

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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Club Libertad vs Cruzeiro Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Sudamericana

 by Joseph King | in Football Predictions

Paraguayan side Club Libertad play host to Brazilians Cruzeiro for the first leg of the Copa Sudamericana quarter-final on Thursday evening. Let’s break down the match statistics for this clash between Gumarelo Repollero and Raposa.

After a third-place finish in their Copa Libertadores group stage, Libertad dropped down into a round of 32 matchup with Universidad Catolica. A 2-0 home victory in the first leg was the base for a 3-1 aggregate win.

The round of 16 saw them come up against fellow Paraguayan side Sportivo Ameliano, who they edged on penalties after a tight 1-1 aggregate scoreline. Libertad are now into the quarter-finals of this competition for the first time since making the semis in 2020/21.

They come into this first leg fixture after a come-from-behind 2-1 home victory over Cerro Porteño on the weekend. The result marks the third win in a row for Libertad and means that they have only lost once in their last nine across all competitions.

Cruzeiro celebrate their return to the final eight of a CONMEBOL competition for the first time since making the final of the 2008/09 Copa Libertadores. It also marks their first ever quarter-final appearance in this competition.

They advanced to this stage after a first-place group finish set up a round of 16 meeting with storied Argentinian club Boca Juniors. Cruzeiro were able to overcome their opponents on penalties after a closely contested two legs finished in a 2-2 aggregate score.

The visitors are not in the best of form as they come into this matchup having recorded just a single win over their last four outings.

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The Best Betting Odds for Club Libertad v Cruzeiro Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.9 3 2.63
Ladbrokes
2.5 3.1 2.5
1xbet
2.97 2.97 2.62
22bet
2.97 2.97 2.62
Betobet
2.85 3.05 2.55
Betwinner
2.89 3.13 2.57
Stake
2.85 2.9 2.55
Melbet
2.97 2.97 2.62
Tonybet
2.85 3 2.55
Check all Club Libertad vs Cruzeiro odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Club Libertad and Cruzeiro?

Our prediction for the Club Libertad vs Cruzeiro match is: Under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/09/2024 between Club Libertad and Cruzeiro in Copa Sudamericana :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.79% for a win of Club Libertad against Cruzeiro with odds of 2.97 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Club Libertad vs Cruzeiro is 27.21% with odds of 3.13 at Betwinner.
  • Our prediction model gives a 32.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Cruzeiro vs Club Libertad with odds of 2.63 at Bet365.

Club Libertad vs Cruzeiro Form

Club Libertad and Cruzeiro Last Matches

Club Libertad
Club Libertad Last matches
W D L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
1.67
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
0.5
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%

14 Sep 2024 - Primera Division

Club Libertad
2 :  1
Cerro Porteno

11 Sep 2024 - Primera Division

Sol De America Villa Elisa
0 :  1
Club Libertad

7 Sep 2024 - Copa Paraguay

Deportivo Santani
0 :  1
Club Libertad

31 Aug 2024 - Primera Division

Club Libertad
0 :  1
Club General Caballero Jlm

28 Aug 2024 - Primera Division

Sportivo Luqueno
1 :  1
Club Libertad

25 Aug 2024 - Primera Division

Club Libertad
2 :  0
CS 2 De Mayo
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro Last matches
D W L D W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.17
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
1
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

15 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Cruzeiro
0 :  1
SAO Paulo

1 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Cruzeiro
3 :  1
Atletico GO

28 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Cruzeiro
0 :  0
Internacional

25 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Internacional
1 :  0
Cruzeiro

22 Aug 2024 - Copa Sudamericana

Cruzeiro
2 :  1
Boca Juniors

19 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vitoria
2 :  2
Cruzeiro
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Club Libertad and Cruzeiro Stats in Copa Sudamericana

Club Libertad
Club Libertad
Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro
25%
Victories
50%
75%
Draw
38%
0%
Defeats
13%
1.5
Total goals per match
1.88
1
Goals scored per match
1.25
0.5
Goals conceded per match
0.63
0%
Over 2.5
38%
100%
Under 2.5
63%
50%
BTTS
25%
50%
No goals conceded
63%

Club Libertad - Cruzeiro Key Points

  1. Club Libertad’s last three consecutive matches in the Copa Sudamericana have seen under 2.5 goals.
  2. Cruzeiro have failed to find the net in three of their last four matches.
  3. The visitors have seen five of their eight Copa Sudamericana games finish with under 2.5 goals.
  4. Libertad have conceded just twice in four Sudamericana games while Cruzeiro have allowed just five in eight.
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Our Club Libertad vs Cruzeiro Prediction

If you’d like to take a shot at bigger odds, we suggest pairing under 2.5 goals with a draw – essentially betting on a 0-0 or 1-1 result. With six of Club Libertad’s last 14 across all competitions finishing in one of those two scorelines (42.9%), we think there is definitely some value with the current price implying a probability of 27%. 

However, we’ll keep things simple for the main prediction and back this one to finish as a low-scoring game. Our Libertad vs Cruzeiro prediction: under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Club Libertad vs Cruzeiro Prediction
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