South America - Copa Sudamericana
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Club Libertad vs Cruzeiro Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Sudamericana
by Joseph King in Football Predictions
Paraguayan side Club Libertad play host to Brazilians Cruzeiro for the first leg of the Copa Sudamericana quarter-final on Thursday evening. Let’s break down the match statistics for this clash between Gumarelo Repollero and Raposa.
After a third-place finish in their Copa Libertadores group stage, Libertad dropped down into a round of 32 matchup with Universidad Catolica. A 2-0 home victory in the first leg was the base for a 3-1 aggregate win.
The round of 16 saw them come up against fellow Paraguayan side Sportivo Ameliano, who they edged on penalties after a tight 1-1 aggregate scoreline. Libertad are now into the quarter-finals of this competition for the first time since making the semis in 2020/21.
They come into this first leg fixture after a come-from-behind 2-1 home victory over Cerro Porteño on the weekend. The result marks the third win in a row for Libertad and means that they have only lost once in their last nine across all competitions.
Cruzeiro celebrate their return to the final eight of a CONMEBOL competition for the first time since making the final of the 2008/09 Copa Libertadores. It also marks their first ever quarter-final appearance in this competition.
They advanced to this stage after a first-place group finish set up a round of 16 meeting with storied Argentinian club Boca Juniors. Cruzeiro were able to overcome their opponents on penalties after a closely contested two legs finished in a 2-2 aggregate score.
The visitors are not in the best of form as they come into this matchup having recorded just a single win over their last four outings.
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The Best Betting Odds for Club Libertad v Cruzeiro Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.8 | 2.9 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.1 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.97 | 2.97 | 2.62 |
|
|
2.97 | 2.97 | 2.62 |
|
|
3.05 | 3.05 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.99 | 2.9 | 2.66 |
|
|
2.99 | 2.9 | 2.66 |
|
|
2.85 | 2.9 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.97 | 2.97 | 2.62 |
|
|
2.85 | 3 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.75 | 2.75 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.05 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.8 | 2.88 | 2.63 |
|
|
2.95 | 2.95 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.7 | 2.75 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.96 | 2.73 | 2.9 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Club Libertad and Cruzeiro?
Our prediction for the Club Libertad vs Cruzeiro match is: Under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/09/2024 between Club Libertad and Cruzeiro in Copa Sudamericana :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.79% for a win of Club Libertad against Cruzeiro with odds of 3.05 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Club Libertad vs Cruzeiro is 27.21% with odds of 3.1 at Ladbrokes.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Cruzeiro vs Club Libertad with odds of 2.9 at Vbet.
Club Libertad - Cruzeiro Prediction and Best Odds:
| Club Libertad Cruzeiro Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Club Libertad wins | 40.79% | 3.05 at Betobet |
| Under 2.5 | 60.88% | 1.89 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 40.48% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Cruzeiro / Full-time: Club Libertad | 16.87% | 51 at Betsson |
Club Libertad vs Cruzeiro Form
Club Libertad and Cruzeiro Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Primera Division
11 Sep 2024 - Primera Division
7 Sep 2024 - Copa Paraguay
31 Aug 2024 - Primera Division
28 Aug 2024 - Primera Division
25 Aug 2024 - Primera Division
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Primera Division
31 Aug 2024 - Primera Division
25 Aug 2024 - Primera Division
15 Aug 2024 - Copa Sudamericana
6 Aug 2024 - Primera Division
28 Jul 2024 - Primera Division
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Sep 2024 - Primera Division
7 Sep 2024 - Copa Paraguay
28 Aug 2024 - Primera Division
22 Aug 2024 - Copa Sudamericana
19 Aug 2024 - Primera Division
11 Aug 2024 - Primera Division
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Aug 2024 - Copa Sudamericana
19 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Sep 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Aug 2024 - Copa Sudamericana
10 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Aug 2024 - Copa Sudamericana
27 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
Club Libertad against Cruzeiro Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
Club Libertad
Cruzeiro
O. Cardozo
(12 Goals)
M. Pereira
(10 Goals)
L. Melgarejo
(2 Assists)
M. Pereira
(9 Assists)
Club Libertad - Cruzeiro Key Points
- Club Libertad’s last three consecutive matches in the Copa Sudamericana have seen under 2.5 goals.
- Cruzeiro have failed to find the net in three of their last four matches.
- The visitors have seen five of their eight Copa Sudamericana games finish with under 2.5 goals.
- Libertad have conceded just twice in four Sudamericana games while Cruzeiro have allowed just five in eight.
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Our Club Libertad vs Cruzeiro Prediction
If you’d like to take a shot at bigger odds, we suggest pairing under 2.5 goals with a draw – essentially betting on a 0-0 or 1-1 result. With six of Club Libertad’s last 14 across all competitions finishing in one of those two scorelines (42.9%), we think there is definitely some value with the current price implying a probability of 27%.
However, we’ll keep things simple for the main prediction and back this one to finish as a low-scoring game. Our Libertad vs Cruzeiro prediction: under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Club Libertad Cruzeiro
| Club Libertad vs Cruzeiro | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Club Libertad wins | 2.63 | 2.8 | +6.5% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 2.9 | -12.1% |
| Cruzeiro wins | 2.7 | 2.8 | +3.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Club Libertad is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 38.0% and is now 35.7% (-2.3%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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