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Chile vs Bolivia Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
by Joseph King in World Cup Predictions
Ninth-place Chile will look to kick-start their 2026 World Cup qualifying campaign when they play host to eighth-placed Bolivia on Tuesday afternoon. Let’s get into the match prediction with La Roja and La Verde both in desperate need of three points.
It’s been a difficult year for Chile who crashed out of the Copa America without scoring a single goal over the summer. With only a single win to show from seven qualifying matches played, the 2015 and 2016 Copa America champions sit only two points above rock-bottom Peru.
Chile suffered a 3-0 away defeat to world champions Argentina in their last outing, with all three goals coming in the second 45 minutes. The loss extended Chile’s winless run to four games and moved them to a 1-2-4 record in qualifying.
A total of five points sees the Chileans trailing automatic qualification by three points and puts them one point behind Paraguay (seventh-place) for a spot in the intercontinental playoff.
Bolivia were able to capitalize on the thin air in the extreme altitude of El Alto in their last home outing. They battered Venezuela 4-0 to earn their second victory of the qualifying campaign, both coming on home soil. It was a much-needed result as it snapped a six-game losing streak for La Verde.
The win moved the Bolivians six points and has them even on points with Paraguay (trailing on goal differential) for a spot in the playoff.
Away from home has been a completely different story for Bolivia, as is the trend with their team over the years. They’ve lost all three away trips so far, scoring only once while conceding 10 goals.
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The Best Betting Odds for Chile v Bolivia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.25 | 6 | 12 |
|
|
1.28 | 5.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.26 | 5.98 | 11.4 |
|
|
1.26 | 5.98 | 11.4 |
|
|
1.22 | 6 | 12.5 |
|
|
1.25 | 5.95 | 11.5 |
|
|
1.25 | 5.95 | 11.5 |
|
|
1.28 | 5.4 | 11 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.4 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.28 | 5.4 | 11 |
|
|
1.17 | 5.5 | 13 |
|
|
1.24 | 6 | 15 |
|
|
1.24 | 6.4 | 13 |
|
|
1.22 | 5.75 | 13 |
|
|
1.22 | 6.6 | 14.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Chile and Bolivia?
Our prediction for the Chile vs Bolivia match is: Chile -1 European handicap
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/09/2024 between Chile and Bolivia in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 67.86% for a win of Chile against Bolivia with odds of 1.29 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chile vs Bolivia is 20.62% with odds of 6.6 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 11.52% chance ⭐ for a win of Bolivia vs Chile with odds of 15 at Betsson.
Chile - Bolivia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Chile Bolivia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chile wins | 67.86% | 1.29 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.25% | 1.95 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 22.08% | 2.5 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time : Chile/Chile | 35.01% | 1.83 at Ladbrokes |
Chile vs Bolivia Form
Chile and Bolivia's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
13 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -14 |
|
9
|
9 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -11 |
Chile and Bolivia Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - World Cup
29 Jun 2024 - Copa America
25 Jun 2024 - Copa America
21 Jun 2024 - Copa America
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jun 2024 - Copa America
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
16 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - World Cup
29 Jun 2024 - Copa America
21 Jun 2024 - Copa America
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - World Cup
1 Jul 2024 - Copa America
27 Jun 2024 - Copa America
23 Jun 2024 - Copa America
15 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
12 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - World Cup
1 Jul 2024 - Copa America
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jun 2024 - Copa America
23 Jun 2024 - Copa America
15 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
12 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
31 May 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
Chile vs Bolivia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
60 %
40 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
1 Feb 2022 - World Cup
18 Jun 2021 - Copa America
8 Jun 2021 - World Cup
26 Mar 2021 - International Friendlies
Players list
G. Arias
DefenderM. Isla
M. Catalan
G. Suazo
P. Diaz
MidfielderE. Pulgar
ForwardV. Davila
D. Osorio
E. Vargas
B. Brereton
C. Palacios
C. Lampe
DefenderR. Fernandez
D. Medina
J. Sagredo
L. Haquin
P. Vaca
M. Suarez
MidfielderG. Villamil
M. Terceros
R. Matheus
ForwardC. Algaranaz
Substitutes
L. Vigouroux
B. Cortes
DefenderG. Maripan
F. Loyola
B. Kuscevic
T. Galdames
MidfielderR. Echeverria
W. Alarcon
J. Meneses
C. Baeza
V. Pizarro
ForwardG. Tapia
G. Viscarra
B. Poveda
DefenderM. Torrez Contreras
L. Paz
Y. Rocha
MidfielderD. Camacho
J. Chura
E. Vaca Moreno
V. Cuellar
ForwardM. Paniagua
L. Chavez
E. Monteiro
Most goals and assists
Chile
Bolivia
E. Vargas
(3 Goals)
M. Terceros
(4 Goals)
Chile - Bolivia Key Points
- Bolivia have conceded 16 goals in their last five matches when not playing on home soil.
- The visitors have the worst defense in the CONMEBOL qualifying table with 13 goals allowed in seven games.
- In their last 12 WC qualifying matches, Bolivia has lost 10, drawn two and has a -30 goal differential.
- Chile are unbeaten at home in qualifying with one win and two draws from three matches.
- The hosts are also yet to concede a goal in their three home qualifying fixtures.
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Our Chile vs Bolivia Prediction
Bolivia very much relies on the advantage they gain when playing their home matches in high altitude. Their problems when taking to the road are well documented and have been on full display in these qualifying fixtures.
Chile have been firing blanks lately but that should change on Tuesday when they come up against the region’s worst defense. Back the hosts to record a multiple goal victory and thrust themselves back in the qualification picture. Our Chile vs Bolivia prediction: Chile -1 European handicap.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Chile Bolivia
| Chile vs Bolivia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chile wins | 1.29 | 1.25 | -3.1% |
| Draw | 5.5 | 6 | +9.1% |
| Bolivia wins | 10 | 12 | +20.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Chile is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 77.5% and is now 80.0% (2.5%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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