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England - Premier League

Chelsea
25/02/2025 15:15
Southampton

Prediction :

 

Half Time: Chelsea, Full Time: Chelsea

 
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Chelsea vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

 by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions

Chelsea have lost their last three matches and really need a win. They are seventh in the Premier League and on Tuesday are home to Southampton who are rock bottom of the table. Can the Blues get back into winning ways? Read our match prediction.

Those three defeats were all on the road but this game is being played at Stamford Bridge. Chelsea are only a point behind the top five, so a return to the Champions League is still a possibility for the London club. Following this match, their next Premier League game is at home to Leicester City. A couple of home wins over the bottom two in the table should be possible for them.

Southampton are on their way back to the Championship. Just nine points have been earned by them this season and there seems little chance of them avoiding finishing bottom, let alone escaping the bottom three. Could they get a shock win at Stamford Bridge?

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The Best Betting Odds for Chelsea v Southampton Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.22 7 9.5
Betfred
1.22 7 12
Ladbrokes
1.22 6.5 11
1xbet
1.24 7.27 12
22bet
1.24 7.27 12
Betobet
1.23 6.75 10.5
Betwinner
1.21 7 11.5
LSbet
1.21 7 11.5
Stake
1.24 7.2 11
Melbet
1.22 6.95 11.5
Tonybet
1.24 7.2 11
Betsson
1.23 7.4 12
William Hill
1.22 6.5 11
Vbet
1.23 7.4 12
Betway
1.22 7 10
Unibet
1.19 7 14
Betfair
1.2 7 12
Check all Chelsea vs Southampton odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Southampton?

Our prediction for the Chelsea vs Southampton match is: Chelsea to win and lead at half and full time.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/02/2025 between Chelsea and Southampton in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 65.03% for a win of Chelsea against Southampton with odds of 1.24 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Southampton is 14.54% with odds of 7.4 at Betsson.
  • Our prediction model gives a 20.43% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Chelsea with odds of 14 at Unibet.

Chelsea vs Southampton Form

Chelsea and Southampton's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7
Chelsea
Chelsea
43 26 12 7 7 12
20
Southampton
Southampton
9 26 2 3 21 -42

Chelsea and Southampton Last Matches

Chelsea
Chelsea Last matches
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Chelsea

14 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Chelsea

8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup

Brighton
2 :  1
Chelsea

3 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
West Ham

25 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Chelsea

20 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  1
Wolves
W L W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

3 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
West Ham

20 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  1
Wolves

14 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Bournemouth

11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Chelsea
5 :  0
Morecambe

26 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  2
Fulham

19 Dec 2024 - Conference League

Chelsea
5 :  1
Shamrock Rovers
L D L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Chelsea

14 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Chelsea

8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup

Brighton
2 :  1
Chelsea

25 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Chelsea

4 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  1
Chelsea

30 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
2 :  0
Chelsea
Southampton
Southampton Last matches
L L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  4
Brighton

15 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  3
Bournemouth

8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup

Southampton
0 :  1
Burnley

1 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
1 :  2
Southampton

25 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  3
Newcastle

19 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
3 :  2
Southampton
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  4
Brighton

15 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  3
Bournemouth

8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup

Southampton
0 :  1
Burnley

25 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  3
Newcastle

12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Southampton
3 :  0
Swansea

4 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  5
Brentford
L D L L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
1 :  2
Southampton

19 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
3 :  2
Southampton

16 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  1
Southampton

29 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
2 :  1
Southampton

22 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Fulham
0 :  0
Southampton

7 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Southampton

Chelsea vs Southampton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Chelsea

50 %

Draw

17 %

Southampton

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.67
Total goals
67%
BTTS
2.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

4 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  5
Chelsea

18 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  1
Southampton

30 Aug 2022 - Premier League

Southampton
2 :  1
Chelsea

9 Apr 2022 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  6
Chelsea

26 Oct 2021 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
1 :  1
Southampton

2 Oct 2021 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  1
Southampton
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Chelsea - Southampton: Form Analysis

What better way to rid yourself of poor form than playing Southampton at home?  Chelsea have been a strange side to follow this season. All those transfers, a spell in which they looked like title challengers and now down to seventh in the table.

Their last three games have been on the road and all ended in defeat. Home form is stronger with only one of their last 11 home league games being lost. Seven points have been earned from their last three home league fixtures with wins over Wolves and West Ham in the last two.

A bleak time for Southampton.

It's looking beyond bleak for the Saints. The weekend saw them lose 4-0 at home to Brighton and Hove Albion. That was their 21st league defeat of a miserable season with just two matches won.

Southampton have lost eight of their last nine Premier League games. They have had 24 goals put past them in their last eight games. The reverse fixture between these two sides saw Chelsea win 5-1. 

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Chelsea vs Southampton last Lineups

Chelsea

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

12
F. Jorgensen
24
R. James
23
T. Chalobah
6
L. Colwill
27
M. Gusto
25
M. Caicedo
8
E. Fernandez
3
M. Cucurella
20
C. Palmer
18
C. Nkunku
7
P. Neto
20
K. Sulemana
19
C. Archer
33
T. Dibling
34
Welington
18
M. Fernandes
26
L. Ugochukwu
2
K. Walker-Peters
7
J. Aribo
35
J. Bednarek
14
J. Bree
30
A. Ramsdale

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Southampton

Missing players

Chelsea
Chelsea
Defender

W. Fofana

B. Badiashile

Midfielder

R. Lavia

Forward

M. Mudryk

O. Kellyman

N. Jackson

N. Madueke

M. Guiu

Southampton
Southampton
Defender

T. Harwood-Bellis

Midfielder

A. Lallana

Forward

R. Stewart

Chelsea & Southampton Squad Analysis

Chelsea have one point from their last five away league games. With that stat hanging over them, getting a home win here is so important for them. They have a doubt over the fitness of Trevoh Chalobah who only played the first eight minutes of their game at Villa on Saturday.

The home side are expected to rotate their squad for this game with there being a busy schedule. Tosin Adarabioyo may come into the side to replace Challobah. Reece James may be given a rest or relegated to the subs bench.

How can the Saints cure their defensive woes?

Southampton have a multitude of problems as they try to avoid relegation. Their big task is somehow stemming the flow of goals that they keep conceding. Five of the last six Chelsea home league games have seen the Blues score at least twice, so how can the Saints stop that?

Only one away clean sheet has been kept by them this season. Bad news for them is that Jan Bednarek went off against Brighton and is doubtful for this match. Another problem is the fitness of Taylor-Harwood Bellis with Jack Stephens also doubtful.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Chelsea
CD Huachipato Southampton
Top Goalscorer
England C. Palmer (14 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England C. Archer (5 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina E. Fernandez (7 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal M. Fernandes (5 Assists)

Chelsea and Southampton Stats in Premier League

Chelsea
Chelsea
Southampton
Southampton
46%
Victories
8%
27%
Draw
12%
27%
Defeats
81%
3.23
Total goals per match
3.08
1.85
Goals scored per match
0.73
1.38
Goals conceded per match
2.35
65%
Over 2.5
62%
35%
Under 2.5
38%
73%
BTTS
54%
15%
No goals conceded
8%

Chelsea - Southampton Key Points

  1. Chelsea won the reverse fixture 5-1.
  2. Southampton have lost nine of their last ten league games.
  3. Chelsea have earned seven points from their last three home league matches.
  4. Southampton have lost 21 league games this season.
  5. Southampton have been behind at half and full time in seven away league games this season.
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Our Chelsea vs Southampton Prediction

Chelsea have a golden chance to rise up the Premier League table. They have successive home games against Southampton and then Leicester City, both in the relegation zone. The Blues lost at Aston VIlla on Saturday, despite taking an early lead.

Home games have produced six league wins this season and they beat Southampton 5-1 in the reverse fixture. The Saints just can't stop conceding goals and it'll be a miracle if they avoid relegation. Our main Southampton v Chelsea prediction is Chelsea to win and lead at half and full time.

Prediction :

 

Half Time: Chelsea, Full Time: Chelsea

 
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Chelsea vs Southampton - Other Interesting Predictions

Second half to have the most goals scored

Odds 1.86
Five of the last seven Chelsea home league and cup games have seen more goals in the second than first half.
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Chelsea vs Southampton match : Frequently asked questions

This match between Chelsea and Southampton is being played on Tuesday February 25. It has a scheduled start of 20:15 UK time.

Chelsea are the home side in this Premier League game. Therefore, the game will be played at Stamford Bridge in West London.

This Premier League fixture is being shown live on TNT Sports and a subscription is required. You can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore. There you’ll find updated statistics and live text commentary to help you with your in-play bets.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Chelsea vs Southampton Prediction
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