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Chelsea vs Morecambe Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
by Devesh Jaganath in FA Cup Predictions
League Two outfit Morecambe will make the trip to the capital to face English giants Chelsea at Stamford Bridge in the third round of the FA Cup on Saturday afternoon. The Shrimps and the Blues met in this very round of the FA Cup in 2021 and it was the Premier League side that came away with a commanding 4-0 victory. Check out our match prediction below!
Chelsea have come out on top in 35 of their last 36 FA Cup matches against teams from lower divisions, including each of their last 20 ties since a 4-2 loss to Bradford City back in 2015. Morecambe, on the other hand, have lost all three of their previous FA Cup games against Premier League opponents and were outscored 10-1 across that period.
Given the gulf in class between these sides, it is unsurprising that the hosts are installed as the shortest-priced favourites on the card in round three of this competition. Let’s dive into some key stats.
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The Best Betting Odds for Chelsea v Morecambe Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.04 | 19 | 34 |
|
|
1.02 | 17 | 51 |
|
|
1.12 | 6.5 | 21 |
|
|
1.01 | 23 | 50 |
|
|
1.01 | 23 | 50 |
|
|
1.01 | 18 | 30 |
|
|
1.01 | 23 | 50 |
|
|
1.01 | 23 | 50 |
|
|
1.03 | 20 | 40 |
|
|
1.01 | 23 | 50 |
|
|
1.03 | 19 | 50 |
|
|
1.03 | 26 | 41 |
|
|
1.03 | 17 | 34 |
|
|
1.01 | 23 | 56 |
|
|
1.03 | 21 | 76 |
|
|
1.02 | 23 | 67 |
|
|
1.02 | 17 | 61 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Morecambe?
Our prediction for the Chelsea vs Morecambe match is: Chelsea wins the match and BTTS (NO).
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/01/2025 between Chelsea and Morecambe in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.41% for a win of Chelsea against Morecambe with odds of 1.12 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Morecambe is 14.02% with odds of 26 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Morecambe vs Chelsea with odds of 76 at Betfair.
Chelsea vs Morecambe Form
Chelsea and Morecambe Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
19 Dec 2024 - Conference League
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
19 Dec 2024 - Conference League
15 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
10 Nov 2024 - Premier League
7 Nov 2024 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
30 Dec 2024 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
12 Dec 2024 - Conference League
8 Dec 2024 - Premier League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2025 - League Two
29 Dec 2024 - League Two
26 Dec 2024 - League Two
21 Dec 2024 - League Two
14 Dec 2024 - League Two
10 Dec 2024 - EFL Trophy
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2025 - League Two
21 Dec 2024 - League Two
10 Dec 2024 - EFL Trophy
7 Dec 2024 - League Two
30 Nov 2024 - FA Cup
16 Nov 2024 - League Two
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - League Two
26 Dec 2024 - League Two
14 Dec 2024 - League Two
3 Dec 2024 - League Two
23 Nov 2024 - League Two
9 Nov 2024 - League Two
Chelsea vs Morecambe Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
10 Jan 2021 - FA Cup
Chelsea - Morecambe: Form Analysis
Chelsea have only failed to progress beyond the third round of the FA Cup once in the last 26 seasons. During that time they reached the final 11 times and lifted the trophy on six occasions.
The Blues have not been in the best form leading up to this match though, having drawn their first league game of the New Year 1-1 against Crystal Palace. That was their fourth consecutive match without a victory.
However, the hosts have been formidable at home this season, conceding only two defeats in 14 matches across all competitions, which came against Manchester City and Fulham.
Chelsea have scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 home games across all competitions!
Meanwhile, this will be Morecambe’s seventh FA Cup third-round appearance but they have lost all six of their previous matches at this stage of the competition.
The Shrimps beat Worthing and Bradford City in the two preceding rounds of the competition, but they have struggled mightily in their domestic league, currently the first side below the dotted line.
The visitors have a mixed away record this term, with five wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 10 games on the road, but have scored two or more in four of their last seven.
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Missing players
W. Fofana
MidfielderR. Lavia
C. Chukwuemeka
ForwardO. Kellyman
Chelsea & Morecambe Squad Analysis
Plenty of changes are expected for Chelsea in this match, and Enzo Maresca has suggested that the midfield duo of Romeo Lavia and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall could make their returns from injury in this one.
However, the same cannot be said for Omari Kellyman, Benoit Badiashile and Wesley Fofana, all of whom are still working their way back to full fitness and will remain sidelined for the foreseeable future.
Marc Guiu and Christopher Nkunku could make the starting lineup for the Blues this weekend!
For the visitors, midfielder Yann Songo'o was deployed in a more advanced role and got the opening goal against Tranmere in their last match which should see him continue in the number 10 role this weekend.
Jamie Stott and Rhys Williams have been ever-present in central defence this season and they should be joined by Luke Hendrie and David Tutonda in front of Harry Burgoyne between the sticks.
Most goals and assists
Chelsea
Morecambe
C. Palmer
(13 Goals)
B. Tollitt
(6 Goals)
E. Fernandez
(7 Assists)
Chelsea - Morecambe Key Points
- Chelsea have won eight of their last 10 home games across all competitions.
- Chelsea have scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 home games.
- Morecambe have lost five of their last seven games across all competitions.
- Morecambe also failed to score in five of their last seven matches.
- Morecambe have only scored once in their last three matches against Premier League opposition.
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Our Chelsea vs Morecambe Prediction
As is usually the case when Premier League sides face lower-division opponents in the FA Cup, the top-flight team find themselves installed as massive favourites which makes it difficult to find value on most betting markets.
However, given Chelsea’s impressive record at home, a commanding performance is expected and we feel that their opponents will struggle to carve out any clear cut chances in this one. Therefore, our Chelsea vs Morecambe prediction is Chelsea wins the match and BTTS (NO).
Chelsea vs Morecambe - Other Interesting Predictions
Christopher Nkunku to score anytime
Christopher Nkunku has been excellent for Chelsea in the cup competitions this season, having netted five goals in five Conference League games and three in two Carabao Cup matches.
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Chelsea vs Morecambe match : Frequently asked questions
The FA Cup match between Chelsea and Morecambe will be played on January 11 at 15:00 GMT.
The FA Cup match between Chelsea and Morecambe will take place at Stamford Bridge in London.
The FA Cup match between Chelsea and Morecambe will not be broadcast on TV in the UK.
However, you can stay up to the minute with all the FA Cup Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Andrew Kitchen will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Daniel Robathan, Shaun Hudson and Oliver Mackey as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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