England - Carabao Cup
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Chelsea vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
by Ian John | in Carabao Cup Predictions
Championship Middlesbrough will take a narrow 1-0 lead into the second leg of their Carabao Cup semi final away to Chelsea. The Londoners should feel confident however having won the previous nine games between the two ahead of their defeat in the first leg.Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Chelsea v Middlesbrough Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.18 | 8 | 13 |
|
|
1.18 | 6.75 | 12.5 |
|
|
1.2 | 8.17 | 13.3 |
|
|
1.2 | 8.17 | 13.3 |
|
|
1.23 | 6.6 | 11.5 |
|
|
1.23 | 6.6 | 11.5 |
|
|
1.17 | 7.6 | 13 |
|
|
1.18 | 7.8 | 12.5 |
|
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1.19 | 7.2 | 12 |
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1.21 | 8.3 | 14 |
|
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1.2 | 6.5 | 12 |
|
|
1.17 | 8 | 15 |
|
|
1.19 | 7.5 | 15 |
|
|
1.18 | 5.8 | 12 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Middlesbrough?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/01/2024 between Chelsea and Middlesbrough in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.83% for a win of Chelsea against Middlesbrough with odds of 1.23 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Middlesbrough is 9.33% with odds of 8.3 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.83% chance ⭐ for a win of Middlesbrough vs Chelsea with odds of 15 at Unibet.
Chelsea - Middlesbrough Prediction and Best Odds:
| Chelsea Middlesbrough Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 61.83% | 1.23 at Betwinner |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.21% | 1.41 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Chelsea | 26.97% | 12 at Betsson |
Chelsea vs Middlesbrough Form
Chelsea and Middlesbrough Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Jan 2024 - Premier League
9 Jan 2024 - Carabao Cup
6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
30 Dec 2023 - Premier League
27 Dec 2023 - Premier League
24 Dec 2023 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Jan 2024 - Premier League
6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
27 Dec 2023 - Premier League
19 Dec 2023 - Carabao Cup
16 Dec 2023 - Premier League
3 Dec 2023 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jan 2024 - Carabao Cup
30 Dec 2023 - Premier League
24 Dec 2023 - Premier League
10 Dec 2023 - Premier League
6 Dec 2023 - Premier League
25 Nov 2023 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2024 - Championship
13 Jan 2024 - Championship
9 Jan 2024 - Carabao Cup
6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2024 - Championship
29 Dec 2023 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2024 - Championship
9 Jan 2024 - Carabao Cup
6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2024 - Championship
23 Dec 2023 - Championship
13 Dec 2023 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Jan 2024 - Championship
29 Dec 2023 - Championship
26 Dec 2023 - Championship
19 Dec 2023 - Carabao Cup
16 Dec 2023 - Championship
2 Dec 2023 - Championship
Chelsea vs Middlesbrough Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
0 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Jan 2024 - Carabao Cup
19 Mar 2022 - FA Cup
8 May 2017 - Premier League
20 Nov 2016 - Premier League
Chelsea - Middlesbrough: Form Analysis
Chelsea may trail 1-0 from the first leg, but their current form across all competitions is good. That defeat at the Riverside was their only loss in the last five games and they have won all the other four including a 1-0 local derby victory over Fulham in the Premier League last time out. They are unbeaten in their last five League Cup games at Stamford Bridge, winning four of those and drawing one. While Chelsea's away form has proven problematic (they have lost four of their last five on the road), they have not lost any of their last seven games at home, winning six (one on penalties in the quarter final of this competition against Newcastle) . Their only draw in that run at home came in the 4-4 epic against Manchester City in the Premier League. The Blues have won the EFL Cup five times, most recently in 2015. They have also been runner-up on four occasions, last time in 2022 when they lost on penalties to Liverpool. In fact, one of Chelsea's Final successes in this competition was a 2-0 win over Middlesbrough in 1998 when extra time goals from Frank Sinclair and Roberto Di Matteo handed them the trophy.
After losing at home to Coventry in the league and then in the FA Cup third round to Aston Villa, Middlesbrough boss Michael Carrick will be pleased with how his team responded. A battling 1-0 victory over Chelsea gave them something to hang onto in the second leg and they followed that with an excellent 3-1 win on the road against Millwall at the weekend. That win keeps 'Boro in the playoff hunt in the Championship but their focus will be on securing a Wembley place in this game. The problem Boro have is that their record at Stamford Bridge is dismal. Their last win at Stamford Bridge was a 2-1 win back in 1975. It is not surprising to see that Middlesbrough are the rank outsiders to progress from the second leg but given the up and down nature of Chelsea's season so far, the home fans will still be nervous about whether they can mount a comeback and reach Wembley once again.
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Chelsea against Middlesbrough Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
R. Sanchez
DefenderW. Fofana
M. Cucurella
R. James
MidfielderR. Lavia
Chelsea & Middlesbrough Squad Analysis
There is some positive news for Chelsea on the injury front. Carney Chukwumeka and Ben Chilwell returned to first team action as substitutes in the weekend win over Fulham, while Benoit Badiashile made the bench, although did not make it onto the field in that game. Christopher Nkunku is also expected to be fit after his hip injury sustained against Luton proved to be a minor issue. Despite that, the home side will still be without several players for the game including long-term absentees Marc Cucurella, Wesley Fofana, plus club captain Reece James, 'keeper Robert Sanchez, defenders Trevor Chalobah and Lesley Ugochukwu and midfielder Romeo Lavia will all be out. Cole Palmer will start and he continues to be the brightest spark for Chelsea this season, contributing nine goals in the Premier League from midfield, though he will want to put his misses from the first leg of this tie out of his mind before the second leg kicks off.
Middlesbrough boss Michael Carrick received a boost when striker Josh Coburn made a return from injury as a substitute in the 1-1 draw with Rotherham at the weekend. However Emmanuel Latte Lath did not feature and is unlikely to do so in the second leg. Marcus Forss made his second substitute appearance in the week as he recovered from injury and could be in line for a place in the team. The visitors will also be without Sammy Silvera and Riley McGree who are both away on international duty, while Alex Bangura is not expected to play after being injured in the first leg of this tie. Morgan Rogers has served his suspension in the first leg and should be available for the second leg while new signings Finn Azaz and Luke Ayling could also be in contention.
The game promises to be an intriguing one with both sides heading into the game knowing they are just a solid performance and 90 minutes away from a Wembley final. Middlesbrough have been bullish about their chances of success in the run up to the game but Chelsea, having spent over a billion pounds on players in the tenure of new CEO Todd Boehly, will be hoping for at least some kind of return on that investment with an appearance in the finale in February.
Most goals and assists
Chelsea
Middlesbrough
C. Palmer
(24 Goals)
E. Latte Lath
(18 Goals)
C. Palmer
(12 Assists)
F. Azaz
(9 Assists)
Chelsea - Middlesbrough Key Points
- Both teams have scored in none of the last 10 games between the two and in just one of the last 16. However, there was only one 0-0 draw in that run of 16 fixtures.
- Middlesbrough have drawn just one of their last 25 games in all competitions (3-3 v Plymouth Argyle (A) in November)
- It is 49 years since Middlesbrough last won a game against Chelsea at Stamford Bridge (a 2-1 win back in 1975).
- Both teams have failed to score in 5 of Middlesbrough's last 8 games and in all of Chelsea;s last three matches.
- Chelsea have reached the final nine times from 15 semi-final appearances in the League Cup. Middlesbrough have reached the final 3 times from 5 previous semi-final appearances in the competition.
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Our Chelsea vs Middlesbrough Prediction
Chelsea vs Middlesbrough - Other Interesting Predictions
Raheem Sterling (Chelsea) to score at any time
Chelsea to win and both teams to score - No
Chelsea vs Middlesbrough match : Frequently asked questions
John Brooks has been appointed as the referee for the Chelsea v Middlesbrough Carabao Cup Semi Final 2nd Leg.
Lee Betts and Nick Greenhalgh are the assistant referees while Michael Salisbury will be the fourth official.
The Chelsea v Middlesbrough Carabao Cup Final second leg will kick off at 8pm UK Time (9pm CET) on Tuesday 23rd January at Stamford Bridge, London.
Middlesbrough lead the tie 1-0 from the first leg played at the Riverside a couple of weeks ago.
Customers in the UK can watch the second leg of the Carabao Cup semi final between Chelsea and Middlesbrough on Sky Sports Football and Sky Sports Main Event. The game will be available in HD and UHD.
In the United States, the match will be shown live on ESPN+ (kick off 3pm ET).
Viewers in Canada, Italy, Germany, Austria, Switzerland, Japan and Spain can catch the action live on DAZN.
Customers in Africa can watch the game live on beIN Sports, SuperSport and DStv Now.
Those interested in the key moments and eventual outcome of the game can always keep up with the latest action via the SportyTrader LiveScore page too.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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