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Chelsea vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions
The new Premier League season begins with a blockbuster of a match at Stamford Bridge. Chelsea host reigning champions Manchester City which gives their new coach Enzo Maresca the toughest possible start.
Chelsea finished sixth in the Premier League last season, 28 points behind City. They did well to finish in that position with seven of their last ten league fixtures being won. Despite that they still changed their coach at the end of the season.
Plenty more players have been bought during the summer and knowing the Blues, they'll sign more before the transfer window closes. Just how Maresca is supposed to work out his best 11 is anyone's guess at present.
Manchester City are bidding to win the Premier League for the fifth season in a row. They have lost Julian Alvarez during the summer and their only major signing has been Savinho from Troyes. The Citizens have already won the Community Shield this year.
Can they start the new season with a win? Read our match prediction.
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The Best Betting Odds for Chelsea v Manchester City Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
41 | 5.5 | 1.17 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.8 | 1.83 |
|
|
373 | 41 | 1 |
|
|
373 | 41 | 1 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.9 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.94 | 3.8 | 1.86 |
|
|
3.94 | 3.8 | 1.86 |
|
|
30 | 5.5 | 1.18 |
|
|
3.74 | 4 | 1.86 |
|
|
3.95 | 4.1 | 1.85 |
|
|
301 | 29 | 1 |
|
|
151 | 34 | 1 |
|
|
34 | 5.3 | 1.19 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.9 | 1.9 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.95 | 1.98 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.7 | 1.95 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Manchester City?
Our prediction for the Chelsea vs Manchester City match is: Manchester City to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/08/2024 between Chelsea and Manchester City in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 14.93% for a win of Chelsea against Manchester City with odds of 373 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Manchester City is 28.91% with odds of 41 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 56.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs Chelsea with odds of 1.98 at Betsson.
Chelsea - Manchester City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Chelsea Manchester City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 56.16% | 1.98 at Betsson |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.78% | 3.95 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 63.75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Manchester City/Manchester City | 29.27% | 3.2 at Bet365 |
Chelsea vs Manchester City Form
Chelsea and Manchester City's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
23 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
|
3
|
19 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
Chelsea and Manchester City Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 May 2024 - Premier League
11 May 2024 - Premier League
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
23 Apr 2024 - Premier League
20 Apr 2024 - FA Cup
7 Apr 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Community Shield
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2024 - FA Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Community Shield
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2024 - FA Cup
19 May 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
14 May 2024 - Premier League
11 May 2024 - Premier League
28 Apr 2024 - Premier League
25 Apr 2024 - Premier League
9 Apr 2024 - Champions League
Chelsea vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Apr 2024 - FA Cup
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
12 Nov 2023 - Premier League
21 May 2023 - Premier League
8 Jan 2023 - FA Cup
Chelsea - Manchester City: Form Analysis
Chelsea had an inconsistent 2023/24 season and spent a lot of it outside the top ten. They had a storming finish though and won each of their last five Premier League fixtures. That secured sixth place and European football this season.
Several new players
Even so, they have a change of coach (again) and of course several new players with probably more on the way. Key signings have included Pedro Neto, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Fliip Jorgensen and Estevao Willian Can they turn Chelsea into title winners though, unlikely.
Chelsea have only lost one of their last 13 home league games. They memorably drew 4--4 at home with Manchester City last season but have gone nine games against them without a win. Seven of those nine games have ended in defeat.
Nine successive league wins
Manchester City begin their bid to win a fifth successive Premier League title. They had to go to the final day of the 2023/24 season to clinch the title and another battle with Arsenal is exepected this time around. They won their last nine league games to pip Arsenal.
Pep Guardiola's side have gone 23 league games without defeat. Their last loss being to Aston VIlla back in early December 2023. They have won ten out of 11 away league games since that defeat.
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Chelsea against Manchester City Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
O. Kellyman
J. Sancho
O. Bobb
Rodri
Chelsea & Manchester City Squad Analysis
Chelsea will be without their captain Reece James for this match against Manchester City. He has a hamstring injury but was never going to play this weekend due to suspension. Nicholas Jackson has been struggling with an ankle injury but could play some part this weekend.
Among those who could make their league debut are Neto, Dewsbury-Hall and Guiu. Omari Kellyman is doubtful due to injury.
No Grealish and Rodri?
Jack Grealish is unlikely to play this weekend. He was injured in training and played no part in the Community Shield win over Manchester United last weekend. Savinho could make his debut , Rodri is not in the squad for this match.
Definitely out is Oscar Bobb who could be out for three to four months.
Most goals and assists
Chelsea
Manchester City
C. Nkunku
(8 Goals)
E. Haaland
(15 Goals)
C. Palmer
(5 Assists)
Savinho
(4 Assists)
,
R. Lewis
(4 Assists)
, 
M. Nunes
(4 Assists)
Chelsea - Manchester City Key Points
- Manchester City are unbeaten in their last 23 league games.
- Manchester City have won their last nine league fixtures.
- Chelsea have gone nine games without a win against Manchester City.
- Manchester City have won ten of their last 11 away league matches.
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Our Chelsea vs Manchester City Prediction
As is often the case, Chelsea fans begin the season having to get used to a new coach and additions galore to the squad. It doesn't make life easy for Chelsea as it's a case of trying to find a line-up that will produce results.
That might take a while and they really could have done without having to face Manchester City in their opening match. City haven't had too many changes and Haaland is fit. Our main Chelsea v Manchester City prediction is Manchester City to win.
Chelsea vs Manchester City - Other Interesting Predictions
Manchester City and both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Chelsea Manchester City
| Chelsea vs Manchester City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 4.5 | 41 | +811.1% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 5.5 | +48.6% |
| Manchester City wins | 1.75 | 1.17 | -33.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 33.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.1% and is now 85.5% (28.3%)
Chelsea vs Manchester City match : Frequently asked questions
This Premier League match between Chelsea and Manchester City is being shown live on Sky Sports. A monthly subscription or NOW TV Day Pass is required. Alternatively, you can follow the match on our Premier League livescore with updated stats and live text commentary.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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