England - Carabao Cup
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Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
by Ian John in Carabao Cup Predictions
Sunday afternoon at 3pm sees Chelsea face Liverpool in the Carabao Cup Final. It will be the second League Cup Final between the two teams in the past three years and the third domestic final in that period. Liverpool won both previous encounters in these finals on penalties after a 0-0 draw. The Reds currently top the Premier League and beat Chelsea 4-1 recently at Anfield, but injuries have hit Jurgen Klopp's squad hard in recent matches. Chelsea have been hot and cold this season but as they showed in drawing away from home at Man City last weekend, the Blues can up their game against anybody on their day.Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Chelsea v Liverpool Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.88 | 3.6 | 2.38 |
|
|
3 | 3.3 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.6 | 2.35 |
|
|
2.82 | 3.6 | 2.35 |
|
|
2.92 | 3.65 | 2.41 |
|
|
2.92 | 3.65 | 2.41 |
|
|
2.98 | 3.54 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.98 | 3.54 | 2.3 |
|
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2.95 | 3.75 | 2.21 |
|
|
2.98 | 3.56 | 2.29 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.7 | 2.26 |
|
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2.85 | 3.63 | 2.44 |
|
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2.75 | 3.5 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.8 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.5 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.6 | 2.45 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.3 | 2.05 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Liverpool?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/02/2024 between Chelsea and Liverpool in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.96% for a win of Chelsea against Liverpool with odds of 3.25 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Liverpool is 25.29% with odds of 3.8 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.76% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs Chelsea with odds of 2.45 at Betsson.
Chelsea - Liverpool Prediction and Best Odds:
| Chelsea Liverpool Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 40.76% | 2.45 at Betsson |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.1% | 1.68 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 55% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Liverpool | 19.29% | 6 at Bet365 |
Chelsea vs Liverpool Form
Chelsea and Liverpool Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
12 Feb 2024 - Premier League
7 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
4 Feb 2024 - Premier League
31 Jan 2024 - Premier League
26 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Feb 2024 - Premier League
26 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
23 Jan 2024 - Carabao Cup
13 Jan 2024 - Premier League
6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
27 Dec 2023 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
12 Feb 2024 - Premier League
7 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
31 Jan 2024 - Premier League
9 Jan 2024 - Carabao Cup
30 Dec 2023 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2024 - Premier League
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
10 Feb 2024 - Premier League
4 Feb 2024 - Premier League
31 Jan 2024 - Premier League
28 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2024 - Premier League
10 Feb 2024 - Premier League
31 Jan 2024 - Premier League
28 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
10 Jan 2024 - Carabao Cup
1 Jan 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
4 Feb 2024 - Premier League
24 Jan 2024 - Carabao Cup
21 Jan 2024 - Premier League
7 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
26 Dec 2023 - Premier League
Chelsea vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
83 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Jan 2024 - Premier League
13 Aug 2023 - Premier League
4 Apr 2023 - Premier League
21 Jan 2023 - Premier League
14 May 2022 - FA Cup
27 Feb 2022 - Carabao Cup
Chelsea - Liverpool: Form Analysis
Chelsea come into this game on the back of three games unbeaten, including creditable wins at Aston Villa and Crystal Palace, plus a battling 1-1 draw at Manchester City last weekend. Prior to those three games, the Londoners had suffered two heavy defeats, losing 4-2 at home to Wolves and prior to that they were soundly beaten 4-1 by today's opponents Liverpool at Anfield. Overall, Chelsea's results have been trending more positively over the last couple of months or so, especially in the cup competitions. Mauricio Pochettino will want to tighten things up defensively. The Londoners have shipped 11 goals in their last five games, scoring 10 in reply.
Liverpool come into this game with a chance still of winning four trophies in what will be Jurgen Klopp's final year with the club. The Reds, like Chelsea, remain in the FA Cup, where they face a 5th Round tie with Southampton next week, they are also in the Round of 16 in the Europa League and are of course top of the Premier League, as well as contesting Sunday's final. Despite the lengthy injury list, Liverpool have kept winning despite several players being injured or missing time over the last few weeks. Much will depend on whether Mo Salah and Darwin Nunez are fit as to the team that Klopp will select but with just one defeat in their last 10 Premier League games, whoever the Reds pick should be confident that they can get the job done against a team they beat 4-1 just a few weeks ago.
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Chelsea against Liverpool Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
W. Fofana
M. Cucurella
R. James
B. Badiashile
MidfielderR. Lavia
C. Chukwuemeka
T. Alexander-Arnold
MidfielderD. Szoboszlai
Chelsea & Liverpool Squad Analysis
Chelsea will be hoping that Thiago Silva can make a return from an injury that saw him miss the draw with Manchester City last week. The experienced Brazilian centre back is back in training and manager Mauricio Pochettino said that he had "a chance" of being fit for the final. Marc Cucurella is also back in training after missing a lengthy spell out, but he is unlikely to be risked from the start. The Londoners will be without several long-term injury absentees though in Wesley Fofana, Reece James, Carney Chukwumeka, Benoit Badiashile, Romeo Lavia and Lesley Ugochukwu. Robert Sanchez is back in training but it is expected Pochettino will keep faith with young keeper Petrovic for the final after he deputised well for the ex-Brighton man. Cole Palmer will be fit and likely to start with the ex-Manchester City man being Chelsea's best player this season, while Raheem Sterling will be hoping to keep his place in the team to face one of his former teams.
Liverpool's injury list for the final is a lengthy one and it is one that will make manager Jurgen Klopp more than a little concerned as the Reds chase trophies on four fronts over the coming months. Long term absentees definitely out include Joel Matip, Stefan Bajcetic, Ben Doak and Thiago, while they have been joined on the sidelines and unable to start at the weekend by Diogo Jota, Alisson, Trent Alexander-Arnold and Curtis Jones. Midfielder Dominiki Szoboszlai is rated touch and go to be fit for the game. Liverpool are hopeful that the injuries sustained by Mo Salah and Darwin Nunez, who both missed the midweek 4-1 home win over Luton, won't be enough to rule them out of the final. Salah in particular would be a big miss for the Reds given his excellent form once again this season both as a scorer and as an assist-maker.
Most goals and assists
Chelsea
Liverpool
C. Palmer
(24 Goals)
M. Salah
(24 Goals)
C. Palmer
(12 Assists)
M. Salah
(14 Assists)
Chelsea - Liverpool Key Points
- In the two Premier League games between the two this season, the teams drew 1-1 on the opening day of the season, Axel Disasi's goal cancelling out Luis Diaz early strike for Liverpool. At Anfield, Liverpool ran out comfortable 4-1 winners a few weeks back, Jota, Bradley, Szoboszlai and Diaz scoring, with Nkunku getting Chelsea's lone reply.
- Six of the last seven games between the teams have finished as draws (if you include Liverpool's wins on penalties in the 2022 League Cup and FA Cup Finals). Four of those games have finished goalless.
- Over their last ten games in all competitions, Chelsea have won five, drawn two and lost three. Liverpool have won eight, drawn one and lost once in that period.
- All of Liverpool's last seven games have seen both teams score at least one goal. Seven of their last eight have seen over 2.5 goals scored. Both teams have scored in all of Chelsea's last five games too.
- Chelsea have won one of the last 11 games between the two teams. Liverpool have won five and there have been five draws.
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Our Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction
Chelsea vs Liverpool - Other Interesting Predictions
Team to Score First - No Goals
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Chelsea vs Liverpool match : Frequently asked questions
Liverpool are the most successful team in the history of the Football League Cup (now called the Carabao Cup). The Reds have won the trophy nine times, finishing as runner's up on four occasions.
Chelsea have won the trophy five times in their history, but have also finished as a runner up on four occasions.
This will be the third Football League Cup Final contested between the two teams. in 2005, Chelsea defeated Liverpool 3-2 at the Millennium Stadium to claim the win and then the teams met once again in 2022 where after a 0-0 draw, Liverpool claimed their most recent League Cup victory with an 11-10 win on penalties. The Reds have won the trophy three times via penalties (in 2001, 2012 and 2022) and lost the 2016 final on penalties (to Manchester City).
Chelsea have lost two penalty shoot outs in the final of this competition, against Liverpool in 2022 and Man City in 2019.
Chelsea have played six games to reach the Carabao Cup Final.
The Blues defeated AFC Wimbledon 2-1 in the Third Round of the competition in August, then defeated Brighton 1-0 in the Fourth and earned a 2-0 win over Blackburn Rovers in the fifth, all at home.
Also at home, they snatched a late equaliser in injury time to hold Newcastle to a 1-1 draw before beating the Magpies on penalties.
In the Semi Final they lost the first leg at the Riverside losing 1-0 to Middlesbrough, but thrashed Boro 6-1 in the home leg to reach the final. Chelsea have scored 12 goals and conceded four en-route to the final.
Liverpool started in the Fourth Round of the competition having qualified for European Football this season. They defeated Championship leaders Leicester City 3-1 in the Fourth Round and followed that up with a 2-1 away win at Bournemouth in the fifth.
The Reds then swept West Ham aside 5-1 in the quarterfinal at Anfield, before beating Fulham 2-1 in the semi final first leg and then earning a 1-1 draw in the second leg at Craven Cottage to earn a place in the final.
The Carabao Cup Final between Chelsea and Liverpool, kicking off at 3pm on Sunday 25th February from Wembley, will be shown live by Sky Sports.
However, if you do not have a Sky Sports subscription service, or won't be able to catch the game live, check out our Chelsea v Liverpool Carabao Cup Final Livescore page for up the minute stats and text commentary on the game as it progresses.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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