England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
Sunday’s Premier League action is set to get underway at Stamford Bridge, with Chelsea playing host to a stuttering Leicester City. The Blues have slipped out of the Champions League qualification spots in recent weeks, now fifth in the league standings, while the Foxes are second-bottom after 27 games. Check out our match prediction below!
After failing to win six games against this opponent between 2018 and 2021 (W0 D4 L2), Chelsea will enter this fixture unbeaten in their last six versus Leicester City, with five of those matches ending in victory (D1). The Foxes have won only one of their last 11 Premier League games at Stamford Bridge (W1 D4 L6) and did not score more than a single goal in any of the matches during that period.
Given the gap between these sides in the league standings, it comes as little surprise to see the hosts as one of the shortest-priced favourites on matchday 28 of the campaign. Let’s get into the key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Chelsea v Leicester Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.22 | 7 | 11 |
|
|
1.22 | 7 | 12 |
|
|
1.22 | 6.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.24 | 7.48 | 11.1 |
|
|
1.24 | 7.48 | 11.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Leicester?
Our prediction for the Chelsea vs Leicester match is: Chelsea -1.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/03/2025 between Chelsea and Leicester in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 75.16% for a win of Chelsea against Leicester with odds of 1.26 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Leicester is 9.86% with odds of 7.8 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.99% chance ⭐ for a win of Leicester vs Chelsea with odds of 14 at Melbet.
Chelsea - Leicester Prediction and Best Odds:
| Chelsea Leicester Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 75.16% | 1.26 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83.66% | 1.37 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 66.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Chelsea/Chelsea | 41.98% | 1.73 at Bet365 |
Chelsea vs Leicester Form
Chelsea and Leicester's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
53 | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 17 |
|
19
|
17 | 31 | 4 | 5 | 22 | -45 |
Chelsea and Leicester Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Mar 2025 - Conference League
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
14 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
3 Feb 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
3 Feb 2025 - Premier League
20 Jan 2025 - Premier League
14 Jan 2025 - Premier League
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Mar 2025 - Conference League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
14 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2025 - Premier League
21 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
7 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
26 Jan 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
15 Jan 2025 - Premier League
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2025 - Premier League
7 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
26 Jan 2025 - Premier League
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
Chelsea vs Leicester Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
17 Mar 2024 - FA Cup
11 Mar 2023 - Premier League
27 Aug 2022 - Premier League
19 May 2022 - Premier League
20 Nov 2021 - Premier League
Chelsea - Leicester: Form Analysis
After an excellent start to the season, Chelsea have experienced a notable downturn in form over the last couple of months, taking just 11 points from the last 24 on offer in the top flight.
The Blues secured a 4-0 victory over Southampton in their last match, but that was only their third victory in 11 Premier League games, while they drew three and lost five of the remaining eight.
However, the hosts have maintained an impressive record on their home patch, currently riding a three-match win streak, while they’ve only been beaten once in their last 12 games at this venue.
Leicester City have failed to score in four consecutive Premier League games!
Indeed, Ruud van Nistelrooy’s side have endured a torrid run of results since the start of February and are now five points behind Wolves, who are the first side above the dotted line.
The Foxes lost 2-0 to West Ham United last time out, marking their fourth Premier League defeat in a row, while they also conceded two or more goals in each of the matches in that time.
On the road, the visitors have lost seven of their last eight league matches and also shipped two or more goals in each defeat, with the exception being a 2-1 victory over Spurs at the end of January.
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Chelsea against Leicester Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
O. Kellyman
M. Mudryk
N. Jackson
M. Guiu
N. Madueke
I. Fatawu
Chelsea & Leicester Squad Analysis
Reece James scored Chelsea’s opening goal in the 2-1 win over Copenhagen in the Conference League in midweek and could start this match after Malo Gusto was withdrawn with an injury at Parken.
Given Leicester’s defensive struggles of late, Cole Palmer will be looking to get back on the scoresheet, having failed to do so in his last six league games after scoring 14 in his preceding 21.
With Nicolas Jackson and Marc Guiu both sidelined through injury until next month, Christopher Nkunku will likely lead the line after scoring the first goal against the Saints last time out.
Romeo Lavia could feature in the matchday squad this week after two months out with injury!
With 38-year-old Jamie Vardy scoring only one goal in his last 11 Premier League starts, pressure is mounting on Van Nistelrooy to consider giving Patson Daka a start up front for the Foxes.
Jordan Ayew was an unused substitute in the loss to West Ham last time out, but he has scored four goals this season and could replace Bobby De Cordova-Reid in the starting 11 this week.
Most goals and assists
Chelsea
Leicester
C. Palmer
(14 Goals)
J. Vardy
(7 Goals)
J. Sancho
(8 Assists)
, 
E. Fernandez
(8 Assists)
W. Ndidi
(4 Assists)
Chelsea - Leicester Key Points
- Chelsea have scored two or more goals in each of their last four home league games.
- Chelsea have won two or their last three home league matches by two clear goals.
- Leicester City have failed to score in their last four league games.
- Leicester City have conceded two or more goals in nine of their last 10 games across all competitions.
- Leicester City have lost eight of their last 10 league games by two clear goals.
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Our Chelsea vs Leicester Prediction
While Chelsea have experienced a notable dip in form since the start of 2025, this is a match that they will be expecting to win, and win well, given the dismal form of their upcoming opponents.
Leicester City have failed to score a league goal in over 400 minutes of game time, and to make matters worse, their defence has been struggling to keep goals out at the other end, shipping 12 in their last four games alone. Our Chelsea vs Leicester City prediction is Chelsea -1.
Chelsea vs Leicester - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score (NO)
Leicester City have failed to score in any of their last four league games and have only netted once in their last three on the road.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Chelsea Leicester
| Chelsea vs Leicester | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 1.2 | 1.22 | +1.7% |
| Draw | 7.5 | 7 | -6.7% |
| Leicester wins | 11 | 11 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Chelsea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 83.3% and is now 82.0% (-1.4%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Chelsea vs. Leicester game!
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Chelsea vs Leicester match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Chelsea and Leicester City will be played on March 9 at 15:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Chelsea and Leicester City will take place at Stamford Bridge in London.
The Premier League match between Chelsea and Leicester City will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can keep up to the minute with all the action using our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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