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Chelsea vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
by Ian John in FA Cup Predictions
Chelsea face Leeds United in the FA Cup Fifth Round on Wednesday Night (kick off 7.30pm) with the Londoners having to bounce back from their 1-0 Carabao Cup Final defeat to Liverpool after extra time. Mauricio Pochettino's team were exhausted and devastated by the loss, so it will be a task for the manager to get his team ready within three days for an FA Cup tie. Especially against one of their great rivals from the 1970s and a team like Leeds who have won all of their last nine Championship games and who are unbeaten in 12 matches heading into this fixture.Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Chelsea v Leeds Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.53 | 4.5 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.5 | 6 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.33 | 6 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.4 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.65 | 5.59 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.65 | 5.59 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.62 | 5.55 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.62 | 5.55 |
|
|
1.47 | 4.9 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.43 | 4.92 | 6.75 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.9 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.33 | 5 |
|
|
1.49 | 4.5 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.47 | 4.6 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.75 | 6 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.33 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.54 | 4.7 | 5.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Leeds?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/02/2024 between Chelsea and Leeds in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.55% for a win of Chelsea against Leeds with odds of 1.57 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Leeds is 14.4% with odds of 4.92 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 48.05% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs Chelsea with odds of 6.75 at Melbet.
Chelsea - Leeds Prediction and Best Odds:
| Chelsea Leeds Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins | 48.05% | 6.75 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.28% | 1.61 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 31.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Leeds | 18.31% | 71 at Unibet |
Chelsea vs Leeds Form
Chelsea and Leeds Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2024 - Carabao Cup
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
12 Feb 2024 - Premier League
7 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
4 Feb 2024 - Premier League
31 Jan 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2024 - Carabao Cup
4 Feb 2024 - Premier League
26 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
23 Jan 2024 - Carabao Cup
13 Jan 2024 - Premier League
6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
12 Feb 2024 - Premier League
7 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
31 Jan 2024 - Premier League
9 Jan 2024 - Carabao Cup
30 Dec 2023 - Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2024 - Championship
17 Feb 2024 - Championship
13 Feb 2024 - Championship
10 Feb 2024 - Championship
6 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
2 Feb 2024 - Championship
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2024 - Championship
10 Feb 2024 - Championship
27 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
24 Jan 2024 - Championship
21 Jan 2024 - Championship
1 Jan 2024 - Championship
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2024 - Championship
13 Feb 2024 - Championship
6 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
2 Feb 2024 - Championship
13 Jan 2024 - Championship
7 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
Chelsea vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Mar 2023 - Premier League
21 Aug 2022 - Premier League
11 May 2022 - Premier League
11 Dec 2021 - Premier League
13 Mar 2021 - Premier League
5 Dec 2020 - Premier League
Chelsea - Leeds: Form Analysis
It will be interesting to see what team Mauricio Pochettino puts out for the game in midweek. With several of his team having played 120 minutes against Liverpool on Sunday, and the physical and emotional effects of that game, it is hard to see all of those players featuring here. However, Pochettino will also know that this is a game the Londoners cannot afford to lose as it is their last chance of silverware this season. Heading into the Carabao Cup Final, Chelsea had been unbeaten in three games, winning two and earning a creditable 1-1 draw away at Manchester City the weekend before. Goalscoring has been a problem for the Blues all season long, with midfielder Cole Palmer their top scorer with 12 goals and also creating more than any other player with nine assists. It was also very notable that all of Liverpool's best chances in the game on Sunday, and the Reds winning goal, came either from set piece crosses, or crosses into the box.
I have no doubt that Daniel Farke will have noted this and informed his Leeds United team that this is an area of potential weakness for the Premier League team. His team comes into this fixture bridging with confidence after an exceptional run of form in the Championship has seen them move up to second in the table - that run has included big home wins over their nearest rivals Leicester (3-1 at the weekend) and a 4-0 win over Ipswich a short time ago. In a side that is packed with players who have plenty of Premier League experience, Leeds should be confident of giving their London rivals a real test on Wednesday night. The question is whether they can take advantage of their good form and Chelsea's predicament, to land a shock win.
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Chelsea against Leeds Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
W. Fofana
MidfielderR. Lavia
Chelsea & Leeds Squad Analysis
Chelsea will be without several players for the game with Leeds. Benoit Badiashile, Carney Chukwumeka, Lesley Ugochukwu, Reece James, Romeo Lavia and Wesley Fofana are all ruled out of the game. Robert Sanchez is fit again, but seems to have lost his place to Dorde Petrovic in goal for the first team. Marc Cucurella and Thiago Silva are both thought to be closed to a return for the Londoners, and it will be interesting to see if they play given the drain on energy caused by Sunday's extra time loss. Conor Gallagher was arguably Chelsea's best player at the weekend and the England midfielder has been one of their more consistent performers alongside Enzo Fernandez and Cole Palmer this season.
Despite their excellent run of form, Leeds United have also been dealing with a number of injuries to key players, which makes that run all the most impressive. Patrick Bamford and Daniel James returned earlier than expected from their recent injuries and both came off the bench at the weekend in their 3-1 win over Leicester, with Bamford netting the third goal for the home side. However Leeds will be without defender Sam Byram, goalkeeper Karl Darlow, defender Pascal Struijk and wideman Stuart Dallas with all four scheduled to make their returns from injury in either early to mid March. Crysencio Summerville has been one of Leeds top performers this season, netting 15 goals in 31 games from the right wing. Daniel James has added a further ten from the left wing showing how dangerous the Yorkshire side are down the flanks.
Most goals and assists
Chelsea
Leeds
C. Palmer
(24 Goals)
C. Summerville
(20 Goals)
C. Palmer
(12 Assists)
G. Rutter
(14 Assists)
Chelsea - Leeds Key Points
- Six of Chelsea's last eight games had seen both teams score. Five of those games had also seen over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams have scored in just two of Leeds' last six games. However, over 2.5 goals has been achieved in four of those matches.
- Leeds have failed to score in just 5 games this season.
- Prior to their 4-2 home defeat by Wolves at the start of February, Chelsea had gone 10 games unbeaten at home in all competitions.
- Leeds have won just one of their last 10 games against Chelsea, a 3-0 home win in the Premier League in August 2022. Chelsea have won seven of those ten matches with two draws in that period. The Londoners have not lost at home to Leeds since December 1999.
- Chelsea have never lost to Leeds in eight previous FA Cup ties against the Yorkshire side, winning five and drawing three.
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Our Chelsea vs Leeds Prediction
Chelsea vs Leeds - Other Interesting Predictions
Christopher Nkunku (Chelsea) to score at Anytime
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Chelsea vs Leeds match : Frequently asked questions
David Coote will be the official in the middle as fierce rivals Chelsea and Leeds renew their FA Cup rivalry on Wednesday evening at Stamford Bridge (7.30pm Kick Off).
He has refereed 15 games in total this season, 11 in the Premier League, 3 in the Championship and one League Cup tie. He has taken charge of two Chelsea fixtures already this season, a 0-0 draw away at Bournemouth and a 2-1 defeat also on the road at Wolves. He has not yet refereed a Leeds game this season.
He has awarded 75 yellow cards this season, an average of five per game, while also handing out three red cards. In the two games he has refereed Chelsea he has handed out 11 yellow cards to the London side.
Mr Coote's assistants will be Timothy Wood and Craig Taylor, while Dean Whitestone has been appointed the fourth official. Graham Scott will take care of VAR duties supported by Peter Bankes and assisted by Edward Smart.
The Chelsea v Leeds United FA Cup 5th Round clash will be shown live on ITV 4 across the United Kingdom on Wednesday night. It will be the first FA Cup tie between the two teams since the infamous 1970 final.
If you cannot tune in to the game live, then you can follow all the real-time action, data and statistics on the Chelsea v Leeds Livescore page .
The teams have met 108 times in total and it is Leeds United that have the slight advantage in games with Chelsea.
The Yorkshire team have won 40 of the games between the two teams, with Chelsea winning 38. 30 other games have finished as draws.
Despite being two behind in the overall record between the two, Chelsea have much the better recent record between the two teams, winning seven of the last ten and losing just once in that period. The London side have also never lost an FA Cup tie to Leeds in their history.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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