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Chelsea vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
Chelsea will face a stern test to extend their current unbeaten run in the Premier League this weekend when they welcome Brighton & Hove Albion to Stamford Bridge on Saturday afternoon. The Blues will enter this match in fifth place in the league standings after the first five gameweeks, while the Seagulls are seventh, just one point behind their opponents. To the prediction!
The hosts appear to have awoken from their lull over the past few seasons and are looking like a side that can genuinely compete for a Champions League qualification spot this term. The visitors, meanwhile, have shown glimpses of the type of form they produced in 2022-23 when they qualified for Europe and have solid momentum behind them entering this contest.
As it stands, Chelsea are the current bookmakers’ favourite to win the match, but Brighton have yet to come away from a top-flight match empty-handed this season. Let’s run through the key stats in this intriguing encounter.
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The Best Betting Odds for Chelsea v Brighton Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.75 | 4.2 | 4 |
|
|
1.7 | 4 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.75 | 4.38 | 4.41 |
|
|
1.75 | 4.38 | 4.41 |
|
|
1.85 | 4.1 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.72 | 4.2 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.72 | 4.2 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.72 | 4.3 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.72 | 4.2 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.72 | 4.3 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.83 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.75 | 4.2 | 4 |
|
|
1.76 | 4.35 | 4.35 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.2 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.45 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.2 | 4.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Brighton?
Our prediction for the Chelsea vs Brighton match is: Both teams to score!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/09/2024 between Chelsea and Brighton in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.28% for a win of Chelsea against Brighton with odds of 1.85 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Brighton is 22.93% with odds of 4.45 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Chelsea with odds of 4.6 at Betsson.
Chelsea - Brighton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Chelsea Brighton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins | 41.78% | 4.6 at Betsson |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.33% | 1.79 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 60% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Brighton/Brighton | 16.75% | 8 at Betfair |
Chelsea vs Brighton Form
Chelsea and Brighton's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
19 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
|
6
|
19 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Chelsea and Brighton Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
29 Aug 2024 - Conference League
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
22 Aug 2024 - Conference League
18 Aug 2024 - Premier League
11 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
29 Aug 2024 - Conference League
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
15 May 2024 - Premier League
11 May 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - Premier League
18 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - Premier League
18 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Chelsea vs Brighton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 May 2024 - Premier League
3 Dec 2023 - Premier League
27 Sep 2023 - Carabao Cup
15 Apr 2023 - Premier League
29 Oct 2022 - Premier League
18 Jan 2022 - Premier League
Chelsea - Brighton: Form Analysis
Chelsea will come into this match with their tails up after putting in a commanding performance in midweek to beat League Two leaders Barrow 5-0 in the third round of the EFL Cup. That result also marked their third consecutive clean sheet in all competitions.
In league terms, the Blues are unbeaten in their last four matches, winning three and drawing one. The only smudge on their record to date was their opening-round defeat to defending champions Manchester City.
The hosts have played twice at home this season, and are still looking for their first win, though they have only suffered one defeat at Stamford Bridge since the start of February.
Notably, Chelsea are the joint second-highest-scoring team in the league this season with 11 goals so far!
However, despite the Blues’ impressive start to the season, it will take a brave soul to write off Brighton without a chance here. Currently, the Seagulls are one of only four teams in the top flight that are yet to taste defeat this term.
Their most recent outing ended in a fiery 2-2 draw against Nottingham Forest at the Amex, which took their record this season to two wins and three draws after the first five.
It should be noted, though, that while the visitors are unbeaten on the road in this campaign, they have only notched up a single win in their last eight away league games dating back to the start of March.
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Chelsea against Brighton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
O. Kellyman
S. March
J. Milner
Chelsea & Brighton Squad Analysis
Enzo Maresca will be unable to call upon two first-team starters for this match, including club captain Reece James and midfielder Romeo Lavia due to injury. Lavia, though, is reported to be days away from returning to training.
The Blues received a few significant injury boosts ahead of their EFL match in midweek with Malo Gusto, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall and Enzo Fernandez all making it back onto the teamsheet.
Cole Palmer has contributed to six of Chelsea’s 11 goals this season, scoring two and assisting four!
Fabian Hurzeler, on the other hand, will have to make do without the services of Joao Pedro, who he confirmed picked up a knock in the closing moments of their draw against Forest last week.
Joining the Brazilian on the sidelines this weekend will be Matt O'Riley (ankle), Solly March (knee) and veteran James Milner (thigh), all of whom are also nursing injuries at present. On a positive note, Yasin Ayari has been cleared fit for this match.
Given Pedro’s absence, the Seagulls' record signing Georginio Rutter is expected to partner Danny Welbeck, who has already notched up three goals in five league games this term.
Most goals and assists
Chelsea
Brighton
C. Nkunku
(8 Goals)
D. Welbeck
(6 Goals)
C. Palmer
(5 Assists)
G. Rutter
(3 Assists)
Chelsea - Brighton Key Points
- Chelsea have scored in each of their last four league games this season.
- Chelsea have scored 19 goals in their last seven matches in all competitions.
- Four of Brighton’s five league games this season have ended with both teams scoring.
- Brighton have only kept one clean sheet in their last five away league games.
- Both teams have scored in five of the last six matches between these sides.
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Our Chelsea vs Brighton Prediction
Both of these sides have been impressive in the early stages of the season, particularly in attack. Chelsea enter this match having scored eight goals in their last two outings, while Brighton have netted five times over the same period.
It’s fairly evident that Plan A this season for these two teams is to outscore their opponents, and given their recent form, we are expecting loads of chances to be created in this one. Therefore, our Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction: Both teams to score!
Chelsea vs Brighton - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5
Four of both these sides' last six matches in all competitions have ended with over 2.5 goals scored. Additionally, three or more goals were scored in all but one of the last six matches between them.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Chelsea Brighton
| Chelsea vs Brighton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 1.67 | 1.75 | +4.8% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 4.2 | +12.0% |
| Brighton wins | 5 | 4 | -20.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brighton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 20.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 20.0% and is now 25.0% (5.0%)
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Chelsea vs Brighton match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Chelsea and Brighton & Hove Albion will be played on September 28 at 15:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Chelsea and Brighton & Hove Albion will take place at Stamford Bridge in London.
The Premier League match between Chelsea and Brighton & Hove Albion will not be televised in the UK.
However, you can stay up to the minute with all the Premier League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Peter Bankes will take charge of this match with the assistance of Edward Smart, Nick Greenhalgh and David Webb as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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