England - Carabao Cup
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Chelsea vs Barrow Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
by Ian John | in Carabao Cup Predictions
The Blues of Chelsea will host the Bluebirds of Barrow in what looks like a one-sided Carabao Cup Third-round match at Stamford Bridge this week. Will our prediction see us back the hot-favorite home team, or could the League Two leaders pull off what would be a stunning cup upset?
Chelsea boss Enzo Maresca will likely shuffle his team for this fixture against the Cumbrians. With plenty of Premier League fixtures coming up and the Europa Conference League starting soon, the Blues boss is likely to use the full depth of his squad over the coming weeks.
That gives a number of players, who as yet may not have had much of a chance to shine for Chelsea over the opening weeks of the season, an opportunity to do so here against their League Two opposition.
The Londoners warmed up for this game with a comfortable 3-0 win at West Ham at the weekend.
Bluebirds boss Stephen Clemence will be delighted with his team's start to the new campaign. Barrow not only reached the Third round of the Carabao Cup, beating Port Vale 3-2, and then Derby 3-2 on penalties after a 0-0 draw, but they also sat top of League Two after their weekend 2-0 win over Newport County.
However, a trip to Stamford Bridge is an incredibly difficult challenge against a Chelsea team who seem to be hitting some consistent form over the last few weeks. On paper at least, the gulf in class and quality between the two teams will be huge.
The question is, will Chelsea make it pay against their opponents on the night?
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The Best Betting Odds for Chelsea v Barrow Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.04 | 15 | 41 |
|
|
1.13 | 5.75 | 21 |
|
|
1.04 | 15.5 | 42 |
|
|
1.04 | 15.5 | 42 |
|
|
1.02 | 17 | 42 |
|
|
1.04 | 14.5 | 40 |
|
|
1.04 | 14.5 | 40 |
|
|
1.04 | 12 | 30 |
|
|
1.03 | 17 | 42 |
|
|
1.03 | 15 | 45 |
|
|
1.03 | 15 | 34 |
|
|
1.04 | 14 | 34 |
|
|
1.06 | 16 | 31 |
|
|
1.04 | 17 | 62 |
|
|
1.02 | 12 | 34 |
|
|
1.05 | 17 | 41 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Barrow?
Our prediction for the Chelsea vs Barrow match is: Chelsea to win and Over 3.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/09/2024 between Chelsea and Barrow in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.51% for a win of Chelsea against Barrow with odds of 1.13 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Barrow is 14.13% with odds of 17 at Betobet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.35% chance ⭐ for a win of Barrow vs Chelsea with odds of 62 at Betsson.
Chelsea - Barrow Prediction and Best Odds:
| Chelsea Barrow Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 48.51% | 1.13 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.7% | 1.22 at William Hill |
| Both Team To Score | 42.86% | |
| Half-time: Barrow / Full-time: Chelsea | 19.28% | 34 at Betsson |
Chelsea vs Barrow Form
Chelsea and Barrow Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
29 Aug 2024 - Conference League
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
22 Aug 2024 - Conference League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
22 Aug 2024 - Conference League
18 Aug 2024 - Premier League
11 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
29 Aug 2024 - Conference League
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
15 May 2024 - Premier League
11 May 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - League Two
14 Sep 2024 - League Two
7 Sep 2024 - League Two
3 Sep 2024 - EFL Trophy
31 Aug 2024 - League Two
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - League Two
7 Sep 2024 - League Two
3 Sep 2024 - EFL Trophy
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - League Two
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - League Two
31 Aug 2024 - League Two
17 Aug 2024 - League Two
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Players list
F. Jorgensen
DefenderB. Chilwell
B. Badiashile
R. Veiga
A. Disasi
MidfielderK. Dewsbury Hall
C. Casadei
ForwardM. Guiu
C. Chukwuemeka
T. George
M. Mudryk
P. Farman
DefenderK. Spence
T. Vassell
D. Worrall
N. Eccleston
MidfielderS. Foley
D. Campbell
B. Jackson
ForwardJ. Tiensia
M. Kouyate
D. Telford
Substitutes
M. Bettinelli
DefenderB. Chilwell
L. Colwill
MidfielderC. Chukwuemeka
T. George
E. Fernandez
ForwardM. Guiu
Deivid Washington
W. Stanway
DefenderN. Eccleston
N. Canavan
J. Tiensia
C. Weston
D. Worrall
M. Kouyate
D. Telford
A. Dallas
Missing players
R. James
W. Fofana
MidfielderR. Lavia
ForwardO. Kellyman
Most goals and assists
Chelsea
Barrow
C. Palmer
(11 Goals)
T. Vassell
(4 Goals)
,
G. Garner
(4 Goals)
,
E. Acquah
(4 Goals)
E. Fernandez
(7 Assists)
Chelsea - Barrow Key Points
- Chelsea are joint-top scorers in the Premier League (albeit Man City have a game in hand) with 11 goals.
- Chelsea have won four of their last six and are unbeaten in their last three.
- Barrow's most recent result against an EPL team was a 6-0 home defeat to Aston Villa in the Carabao Cup in 2021/22.
- Chelsea won the only previous fixture between the two 5-0.
- Barrow are the joint-third highest scorers in League Two with 11 goals.
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Our Chelsea vs Barrow Prediction
Our prediction for Chelsea vs. Barrow in the Carabao Cup is: Chelsea to win and Over 3.5 Goals.
Barrow may be flying high in League Two this season, but a trip to face an in-form Chelsea from the Premier League is a massive step up in class. Several of their most recent games against Premier League teams have ended in heavy defeats for the League Two side. The data suggests that this could be another good night for the home team, given Chelsea's excellent goalscoring form and squad depth.
Prediction :
Chelsea To Win And Over 3.5 Goals to be Scored.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Chelsea Barrow
| Chelsea vs Barrow | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 1.07 | 1.04 | -2.8% |
| Draw | 10 | 15 | +50.0% |
| Barrow wins | 29 | 41 | +41.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Chelsea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 93.5% and is now 96.2% (2.7%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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