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Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions
Chelsea are third in the Premier League and host Aston Villa on Sunday. Their opponents are eighth in the table but only three points behind them. The Blues have shown better form this season and are also going well in the Conference League with their 100% record maintained on Thursday at Heidenheim. Their aim will be at least a top four finish this season. Home form could do with being improved on though with only a couple of wins in the Premier League this season.
Aston Villa are only outside the top six on goal difference and three points behind the Champions League places. They have won five league games this season but while scoring 19 goals have conceded the same number. Three of their six away league games have been won so the Villains some confidence of being able to get something from this game though they are on a winless run at present. Here’s our match prediction.
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The Best Betting Odds for Chelsea v Aston Villa Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.67 | 4.1 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.7 | 4 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.76 | 4.33 | 4.42 |
|
|
1.76 | 4.33 | 4.42 |
|
|
1.69 | 4.1 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.73 | 4.3 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.68 | 4.26 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.69 | 4.3 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.75 | 4.05 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.7 | 4 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.73 | 4.1 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.73 | 4 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.66 | 4.2 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.9 | 4.75 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Aston Villa?
Our prediction for the Chelsea vs Aston Villa match is: Chelsea to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/12/2024 between Chelsea and Aston Villa in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.15% for a win of Chelsea against Aston Villa with odds of 1.76 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Aston Villa is 28.64% with odds of 4.33 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.21% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Chelsea with odds of 4.8 at Betobet.
Chelsea - Aston Villa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Chelsea Aston Villa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 53.15% | 1.76 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.53% | 1.57 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 69.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Chelsea | 25.52% | 5 at Bet365 |
Chelsea vs Aston Villa Form
Chelsea and Aston Villa's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
43 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 12 |
|
8
|
42 | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | -2 |
Chelsea and Aston Villa Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Nov 2024 - Conference League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
10 Nov 2024 - Premier League
7 Nov 2024 - Conference League
3 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Nov 2024 - Premier League
7 Nov 2024 - Conference League
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
6 Oct 2024 - Premier League
3 Oct 2024 - Conference League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Nov 2024 - Conference League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
3 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Oct 2024 - Conference League
20 Oct 2024 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
3 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
23 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
6 Oct 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
3 Nov 2024 - Premier League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
29 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
Chelsea vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
7 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
26 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
24 Sep 2023 - Premier League
1 Apr 2023 - Premier League
16 Oct 2022 - Premier League
Chelsea - Aston Villa: Form Analysis
Chelsea have already won six Premier League games this season. Only a couple have been lost and one of those was in their opening game at home to Manchester City. They have scored 23 league goals this season but 14 of those have come on the road.
Home form has only seen two of their six league games being won with three of the last five being drawn. They come into this match unbeaten in their last five league and cup games and won 2-0 at Heidenheim on Thursday in the Conference League.
Villa are looking to end their poor run of form.
Aston Villa have gone seven league and cup matches without a win. Their last victory in the Premier League was in late October. Midweek saw them held to a goalless home draw by Juventus in the Champions League.
The Villains have only earned two points from their last four Premier League matches. The last two away fixtures have both ended in defeat with losses at Tottenham and Liverpool with six goals being conceded.
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Chelsea against Aston Villa Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
O. Kellyman
M. Guiu
A. Disasi
MidfielderA. Onana
Chelsea & Aston Villa Squad Analysis
Chelsea won in the Conference League on Thursday despite making plenty of changes for the game in Heidenheim. Their top players are all expected to make their return as several aren't even in the Conference League squad.
Cole Palmer, Romeo Lavia, Wesley Fofana, Nicolas Jackson, Malo Gusta and Moises Caicedo are among those who will be back in contention to start against Aston Villa on Sunday afternoon.
Nkunku is doubtful for this match.
Christopher Nkunku played against Heidenheim but was substituted after getting injury. He'll be checked before this match but may play some part. Out of this game though is their captaini Reece James who has a hamstring injury.
Aston Villa didn't rest players for their Champions League game against Juventus. They have injury doubts over Amadou Onana and Jacob Ramsey. One player who will be looking forward to this match is former Chelsea player Ross Barkley and makes his return to Stamford Bridge.
Most goals and assists
Chelsea
Aston Villa
C. Palmer
(14 Goals)
O. Watkins
(13 Goals)
E. Fernandez
(7 Assists)
O. Watkins
(9 Assists)
Chelsea - Aston Villa Key Points
- Chelsea are unbeaten in their last five matches.
- Chelsea are unbeaten in their last nine home league and cup games.
- Aston Villa have gone seven games without a win.
- Aston Villa have lost their last two away league games, conceding six goals.
- Aston Villa haven't won in the Premier League since October and a form guide for the last five league games has them in 18th place.
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Our Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction
Chelsea had another good week in Europe though it was with a much changed side. That does help them though and they are yet to lose their Premier League match played the weekend after a game in Europe. They are unbeaten in their last five league and cup matches.
Aston Villa are struggling for wins at present. Not since October have they won in the Premier League and are 18th in a form guide for the last five games. Our main Chelsea v Aston Villa prediction is Chelsea to win.
Chelsea vs Aston Villa - Other Interesting Predictions
Chelsea to win and both teams to score
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Chelsea Aston Villa
| Chelsea vs Aston Villa | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 1.69 | 1.67 | -1.2% |
| Draw | 4.2 | 4.1 | -2.4% |
| Aston Villa wins | 4.33 | 4.5 | +3.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Chelsea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.2% and is now 59.9% (0.7%)
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Chelsea vs Aston Villa match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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