England - FA Cup
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Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
by Devesh Jaganath | in FA Cup Predictions
The pick of Friday’s fourth-round FA Cup fixtures will see Chelsea take on Aston Villa at Stamford Bridge. The hosts are currently in ninth place in the Premier League table with 31 points, while the visitors are in fourth place and 12 points ahead of their opponents.
The fourth round of the FA Cup has several tantalizing fixtures lined up, headlined by Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester City, so be sure to check out all our FA Cup predictions when you’re done here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Chelsea v Aston Villa Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.91 | 4 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.8 | 3.75 |
|
|
2 | 4.04 | 3.54 |
|
|
2 | 4.04 | 3.54 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.9 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.9 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.55 | 3.65 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.9 | 3.66 |
|
|
1.9 | 4 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.9 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.75 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.89 | 3.9 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.92 | 4 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.6 | 3.75 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Aston Villa?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/01/2024 between Chelsea and Aston Villa in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.45% for a win of Chelsea against Aston Villa with odds of 2 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Aston Villa is 28.61% with odds of 4.04 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.94% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Chelsea with odds of 4.1 at Vbet.
Chelsea - Aston Villa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Chelsea Aston Villa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 45.45% | 2 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 56.34% | 2.5 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 57.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Chelsea | 23.63% | 5.2 at Stake |
Chelsea vs Aston Villa Form
Chelsea and Aston Villa Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jan 2024 - Carabao Cup
13 Jan 2024 - Premier League
9 Jan 2024 - Carabao Cup
6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
30 Dec 2023 - Premier League
27 Dec 2023 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jan 2024 - Carabao Cup
13 Jan 2024 - Premier League
6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
27 Dec 2023 - Premier League
19 Dec 2023 - Carabao Cup
16 Dec 2023 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jan 2024 - Carabao Cup
30 Dec 2023 - Premier League
24 Dec 2023 - Premier League
10 Dec 2023 - Premier League
6 Dec 2023 - Premier League
25 Nov 2023 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2024 - Premier League
6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
30 Dec 2023 - Premier League
26 Dec 2023 - Premier League
22 Dec 2023 - Premier League
17 Dec 2023 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2023 - Premier League
22 Dec 2023 - Premier League
9 Dec 2023 - Premier League
6 Dec 2023 - Premier League
30 Nov 2023 - Conference League
12 Nov 2023 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2024 - Premier League
6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
26 Dec 2023 - Premier League
17 Dec 2023 - Premier League
14 Dec 2023 - Conference League
3 Dec 2023 - Premier League
Chelsea vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Sep 2023 - Premier League
1 Apr 2023 - Premier League
16 Oct 2022 - Premier League
26 Dec 2021 - Premier League
22 Sep 2021 - Carabao Cup
11 Sep 2021 - Premier League
Chelsea - Aston Villa: Form Analysis
Chelsea have had another mixed season but will come into this match in good spirits after beating Middlesbrough 6-1 in the semi-final of the EFL Cup in midweek and followed that with a 4-0 victory over Preston North End in the last round. That result also took them to five wins in their last six matches, with the only defeat in that time coming against Boro in the first leg of the semi-final. In league terms, The Blues are on a three-match winning run, beating Crystal Palace (2-1), Luton Town (3-2) and Fulham (1-0) in that time. They are also unbeaten in their last five home league games and have won each of their last four. With no European football at Stamford Bridge this season, Chelsea will see the domestic cups as major priorities this season and are likely to go all out for the win in this one.
Meanwhile, while Chelsea sent Boro packing from the FA Cup in midweek, Aston Villa were the ones that knocked them out of this competition in the last round. They are now unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions, winning two and drawing the most recent 0-0 against Everton last week. While the Villans have enjoyed a solid season to this point, they have struggled to maintain a run of results in away matches. In fact, they have only won back-to-back matches on the road once in all competitions and have not won two league matches in a row as yet this term. However, they do have a good record against this opponent and come into this match having won each of the last three encounters between the sides.
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Players list
D. Petrovic
DefenderA. Disasi
B. Badiashile
T. Silva
B. Chilwell
MidfielderC. Chukwuemeka
C. Palmer
C. Gallagher
M. Caicedo
ForwardM. Mudryk
A. Broja
E. Martinez
DefenderC. Lenglet
E. Konsa
D. Carlos
MidfielderN. Zaniolo
D. Luiz
J. McGinn
B. Kamara
ForwardA. Moreno
O. Watkins
L. Bailey
Substitutes
M. Merrick
L. Bergstrom
DefenderB. Chilwell
D. Williams
MidfielderC. Chukwuemeka
L. Castledine
ForwardM. Mudryk
Deivid Washington
A. Broja
R. Olsen
J. Wright
DefenderF. Munroe
C. Chambers
D. Carlos
N. Zaniolo
L. Bailey
T. Iroegbunam
ForwardO. Kellyman
Missing players
W. Fofana
MidfielderR. Lavia
T. Mings
MidfielderE. Buendia
J. Ramsey
ForwardM. Rogers
Chelsea & Aston Villa Squad Analysis
Chelsea have a host of players missing for this match. Wesley Fofana (cruciate ligament tear), Reece James (hamstring), Marc Cucurella (ankle), Lesley Ugochukwu (hamstring) and Romeo Lavia (knock) have all been ruled out of action for the foreseeable future due to injury. Robert Sanchez and Christopher Nkunku are reportedly in training and could be in contention for selection. Nicolas Jackson is likely to be away for a while longer, with Senegal qualifying for the knock-out stages at the Africa Cup of Nations.
Aston Villa also have a few notable absentees, though not as many as their opponents. Tyrone Mings remains on the sidelines with a cruciate ligament tear and is expected to miss the remainder of the season. Emiliano Buendia is also out with the same injury as Mings, though he is expected to return by March. Lucas Digne is a doubt for the match due to a hamstring strain while Bertrand Traore will also be heading to the AFCON last 16 with Burkina Faso.
Most goals and assists
Chelsea
Aston Villa
C. Palmer
(24 Goals)
O. Watkins
(24 Goals)
C. Palmer
(12 Assists)
L. Bailey
(14 Assists)
Chelsea - Aston Villa Key Points
- Five of Chelsea’s last eight home games have ended with both teams scoring
- Chelsea have scored in nine consecutive home games
- Chelsea have scored two or more goals in seven of their last ten home matches
- Eight of Aston Villa’s last ten away games have ended with both teams scoring
- Aston Villa have only kept one clean sheet in their last seven away league games
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Our Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction
While Aston Villa have had the better season to this point, Chelsea have found a bit of form of late and look a lot better going forward. Villa carry excellent goal threat, but they’ve not been as successful at getting results on the road as they do at home. No solid confidence in either side here, but we do fancy both to find the net. Therefore, our Chelsea vs Aston Villa prediction: Both teams to score.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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