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Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Kennedy Kechula in Premier League Predictions
Right from defeat in Italy, Arsenal will be seeking to end a tough run of results with a win when they travel to Chelsea for their next match in the Premier League. In this preview, we will go through a few stats and team news for both sides before offering two predictions for the match.
Both teams are bumper to bumper in the standings and after 10 rounds of play are tied on 18 points. The Blues have the slight goals advantage and therefore take up fourth place with Arsenal dropping to fifth.
Despite their recent struggles, the visitors are favoured by the bookies to win. Victory for Mikel Arteta’s men will see them leapfrog their London rivals and also could send them to within three points of top spot. Chelsea haven’t won in this fixture since August 2021. They have lost five of the last six meetings with Arsenal including exhibition games.
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The Best Betting Odds for Chelsea v Arsenal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.8 | 3.4 | 2.5 |
|
|
3 | 3.3 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.14 | 3.44 | 2.38 |
|
|
3.14 | 3.44 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.45 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.5 | 2.47 |
|
|
2.84 | 3.6 | 2.36 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.5 | 2.47 |
|
|
3.02 | 3.35 | 2.55 |
|
|
3 | 3.25 | 2.38 |
|
|
3 | 3.5 | 2.4 |
|
|
3 | 3.25 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.45 | 2.5 |
|
|
3 | 3.25 | 2.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the Chelsea vs Arsenal match is: Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/11/2024 between Chelsea and Arsenal in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.22% for a win of Chelsea against Arsenal with odds of 3.14 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Arsenal is 25.86% with odds of 3.6 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.92% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Chelsea with odds of 2.55 at Vbet.
Chelsea - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Chelsea Arsenal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 48.22% | 3.14 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.64% | 1.89 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 44.58% | 1.65 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time : Chelsea/Chelsea | 18.98% | 5.2 at Betsson |
Chelsea vs Arsenal Form
Chelsea and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
19 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
|
4
|
19 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Chelsea and Arsenal Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Nov 2024 - Conference League
3 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
24 Oct 2024 - Conference League
20 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Nov 2024 - Conference League
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
6 Oct 2024 - Premier League
3 Oct 2024 - Conference League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Oct 2024 - Conference League
20 Oct 2024 - Premier League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
25 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
22 Sep 2024 - Premier League
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
Chelsea vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Apr 2024 - Premier League
21 Oct 2023 - Premier League
2 May 2023 - Premier League
6 Nov 2022 - Premier League
23 Jul 2022 - Florida Cup
20 Apr 2022 - Premier League
Chelsea - Arsenal: Form Analysis
Chelsea are coming off an exceptional performance in the Conference League. Enzo Maresca’s side, though much changed from the usual league starting line-up, pummeled visiting Noah 8-0.
Six players were on target at Stamford Bridge with Joao Felix and Christopher Nkunku scoring twice. The Blues, who top the Conference League after three rounds, will hope for a decisive assured performance against Arsenal.
It was the perfect way to end a run of two matches without a win. Chelsea, who have won five league games, were held to a 1-1 draw away to Manchester United last time in the league.
The last time these two teams clashed, Arsenal won 5-0!
Arsenal are witnessing a dip in form and will be eager to arrest this slump here to avoid dropping further from top spot. Mikel Arteta’s men haven’t won in three league games and have lost their last two fixtures across all competitions.
Since suffering a shock 2-0 defeat at Bournemouth to see their unbeaten start to the season ended, Arsenal haven’t been the same. After that Match Day 8 loss, they have drawn with Liverpool and lost to Newcastle and Inter Milan.
This slump has seen them fall seven points adrift of top spot in the league. The visitors, who have finished second in each of the last two PL seasons, cannot therefore afford to slip any further down. Arsenal were defeated 1-0 by Inter in midweek.
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Chelsea against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
O. Kellyman
J. Sancho
K. Tierney
T. Tomiyasu
R. Calafiori
ForwardR. Sterling
Chelsea & Arsenal Squad Analysis
Chelsea are likely to be without one of the main components for their resurgence this season. Cole Palmer, scorer of seven league goals, is nursing a knee injury, though the extent isn't shared yet. he also has five assists and should he miss, it will be a blow for the Blues.
Another of their offensive weapons, Jadon Sancho, is also an injury doubt. Sancho has missed the last two league games.
Martin Odegaard is back for Arsenal after two months out.
Arsenal are also dealing with injuries to key men. Declan Rice was not involved against Inter as he is said to have broken a toe against Newcastle last weekend. The midfielder is, therefore, a huge doubt to feature against Chelsea. One player sure to miss the game is winger Raheem Sterling as his loan terms to Arsenal dictate he can't face his parent club.
Riccardo Calafiori is still sidelined and so too are Takehiro Tomiyasu and Kieran Tierney. It isn’t all gloom and doom though for the Gunners. Captain Martin Odegaard is back fit and available and will be expected to feature here. Arsenal’s creative midfielder was introduced against Inter for the final minutes after being out for two months.
Most goals and assists
Chelsea
Arsenal
C. Nkunku
(8 Goals)
K. Havertz
(7 Goals)
C. Palmer
(5 Assists)
B. Saka
(7 Assists)
Chelsea - Arsenal Key Points
- Over 2.5 goals have been scored in four of the last five meetings between Arsenal and Chelsea.
- Four of Chelsea’s last six matches across all competitions have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
- Arsenal have seen four of their last six matches result in an over 2.5 goals outcome.
- Chelsea have conceded in six straight league matches at home with half of those producing over 2.5 goals.
- Both Arsenal and Chelsea have scored at least 17 goals in the league.
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Our Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction
Our prediction for Chelsea v Arsenal is for this match to see an over 2.5 goals outcome. This is one of the sought-after fixtures in the EPL and as a London derby, we should see an entertaining fixture.
Both teams are above-average goal-scoring sides and sit in the top five for goals scored in the league this season. In recent meetings, we've seen at least four goals scored in this fixture. A similar outcome is likely to be the case here given both teams’ desire to return to winning ways in the league.
Chelsea vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Predictions
Arsenal to win
For our second prediction, we pick Arsenal to secure victory. Though they have struggled in their recent fixtures, Arsenal have dominated this fixture in recent meetings. They have won their last five league meetings with Chelsea with two of their wins coming with them as the visitors.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Chelsea Arsenal
| Chelsea vs Arsenal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 3 | 2.8 | -6.7% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.4 | -5.6% |
| Arsenal wins | 2.2 | 2.5 | +13.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Chelsea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 33.3% and is now 35.7% (2.4%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
Chelsea vs Arsenal match : Frequently asked questions
This match will be played on Sunday 10 November.
This match will be played at Chelsea’s Stamford Bridge in London.
This match will be live for TV viewing on Sky Sports for audiences in the UK. Updates for this match can also be accessed on Sportytrader’s Premier League Livescores page.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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