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England - Premier League

Chelsea
10 Nov 2024 10:30
Arsenal

Prediction :

Over 2.5

$200 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

 by Kennedy Kechula | in Premier League Predictions

Right from defeat in Italy, Arsenal will be seeking to end a tough run of results with a win when they travel to Chelsea for their next match in the Premier League. In this preview, we will go through a few stats and team news for both sides before offering two predictions for the match. 

Both teams are bumper to bumper in the standings and after 10 rounds of play are tied on 18 points. The Blues have the slight goals advantage and therefore take up fourth place with Arsenal dropping to fifth. 

Despite their recent struggles, the visitors are favoured by the bookies to win. Victory for Mikel Arteta’s men will see them leapfrog their London rivals and also could send them to within three points of top spot. Chelsea haven’t won in this fixture since August 2021. They have lost five of the last six meetings with Arsenal including exhibition games.

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The Best Betting Odds for Chelsea v Arsenal Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.8 3.4 2.45
Ladbrokes
2.9 2.5 2.62
1xbet
2.92 3.71 2.42
22bet
2.92 3.71 2.42
Betobet
2.8 3.45 2.4
Stake
2.85 3.5 2.47
Melbet
2.84 3.6 2.36
Tonybet
2.85 3.5 2.47
Check all Chelsea vs Arsenal odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Arsenal?

Our prediction for the Chelsea vs Arsenal match is: Over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/11/2024 between Chelsea and Arsenal in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.57% for a win of Chelsea against Arsenal with odds of 2.92 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Arsenal is 25.76% with odds of 3.71 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 25.68% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Chelsea with odds of 2.62 at Ladbrokes.

Chelsea vs Arsenal Form

Chelsea and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4
Chelsea
Chelsea
18 10 5 3 2 8
5
Arsenal
Arsenal
18 10 5 3 2 6

Chelsea and Arsenal Last Matches

Chelsea
Chelsea Last matches
L W W L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

7 Nov 2024 - Conference League

Chelsea
8 :  0
FC Noah Yerevan

3 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Chelsea

30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
2 :  0
Chelsea

27 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
Newcastle

24 Oct 2024 - Conference League

Panathinaikos Athens
1 :  4
Chelsea

20 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Chelsea
W W W D W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5 Total goals
67% BTTS
4 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

7 Nov 2024 - Conference League

Chelsea
8 :  0
FC Noah Yerevan

27 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
Newcastle

6 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Nottingham Forest

3 Oct 2024 - Conference League

Chelsea
4 :  2
Gent

28 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
4 :  2
Brighton

24 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
5 :  0
Barrow
W W L W L D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Chelsea

30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
2 :  0
Chelsea

24 Oct 2024 - Conference League

Panathinaikos Athens
1 :  4
Chelsea

20 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Chelsea

21 Sep 2024 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  3
Chelsea

14 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  1
Chelsea
Arsenal
Arsenal Last matches
L W D W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

6 Nov 2024 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  0
Arsenal

2 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  0
Arsenal

30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup

Preston North End
0 :  3
Arsenal

27 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  2
Liverpool

22 Oct 2024 - Champions League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Shakhtar Donetsk

19 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  0
Arsenal
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

27 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  2
Liverpool

22 Oct 2024 - Champions League

Arsenal
1 :  0
Shakhtar Donetsk

5 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  1
Southampton

1 Oct 2024 - Champions League

Arsenal
2 :  0
PSG

28 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
4 :  2
Leicester

25 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup

Arsenal
5 :  1
Bolton
D D L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

6 Nov 2024 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  0
Arsenal

2 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  0
Arsenal

30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup

Preston North End
0 :  3
Arsenal

19 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  0
Arsenal

22 Sep 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  2
Arsenal

19 Sep 2024 - Champions League

Atalanta
0 :  0
Arsenal

Chelsea vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Chelsea

0 %

Draw

17 %

Arsenal

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
3.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

23 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
5 :  0
Chelsea

21 Oct 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Arsenal

2 May 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  1
Chelsea

6 Nov 2022 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  1
Arsenal

23 Jul 2022 - Florida Cup

Arsenal
4 :  0
Chelsea

20 Apr 2022 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  4
Arsenal
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Chelsea - Arsenal: Form Analysis

Chelsea are coming off an exceptional performance in the Conference League. Enzo Maresca’s side, though much changed from the usual league starting line-up, pummeled visiting Noah 8-0.

Six players were on target at Stamford Bridge with Joao Felix and Christopher Nkunku scoring twice. The Blues, who top the Conference League after three rounds, will hope for a decisive assured performance against Arsenal.

It was the perfect way to end a run of two matches without a win. Chelsea, who have won five league games, were held to a 1-1 draw away to Manchester United last time in the league.

The last time these two teams clashed, Arsenal won 5-0!

Arsenal are witnessing a dip in form and will be eager to arrest this slump here to avoid dropping further from top spot. Mikel Arteta’s men haven’t won in three league games and have lost their last two fixtures across all competitions.

Since suffering a shock 2-0 defeat at Bournemouth to see their unbeaten start to the season ended, Arsenal haven’t been the same. After that Match Day 8 loss, they have drawn with Liverpool and lost to Newcastle and Inter Milan.

This slump has seen them fall seven points adrift of top spot in the league. The visitors, who have finished second in each of the last two PL seasons, cannot therefore afford to slip any further down. Arsenal were defeated 1-0 by Inter in midweek.

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Chelsea vs Arsenal last Lineups

Chelsea

Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1

12
F. Jorgensen
2
A. Disasi
5
B. Badiashile
4
T. Adarabioyo
40
R. Veiga
8
E. Fernandez
32
T. George
18
C. Nkunku
14
J. Felix
10
M. Mudryk
38
M. Guiu
11
G. Martinelli
19
L. Trossard
7
B. Saka
23
M. Merino
5
T. Partey
29
K. Havertz
12
J. Timber
6
G. Magalhaes
2
W. Saliba
4
B. White
22
D. Raya

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Arsenal

Missing players

Chelsea
Chelsea
Forward

O. Kellyman

J. Sancho

Arsenal
Arsenal
Defender

K. Tierney

T. Tomiyasu

R. Calafiori

Midfielder

M. Odegaard

Chelsea & Arsenal Squad Analysis

Chelsea are likely to be without one of the main components for their resurgence this season. Cole Palmer, scorer of seven league goals, is nursing a knee injury, though the extent isnt shared yet. Another of their offensive weapons, Jadon Sancho, is also an injury doubt. Sancho has missed the last two league games.

Martin Odegaard is back for Arsenal after two months out.

Arsenal are also dealing with injuries to key men. Declan Rice was not involved against Inter as he is said to have broken a toe against Newcastle last weekend. The midfielder is, therefore, a huge doubt to feature against Chelsea.

Riccardo Calafiori is still sidelined and so too are Takehiro Tomiyasu and Kieran Tierney. It isn’t all gloom and doom though for the Gunners. Captain Martin Odegaard is back fit and available and will be expected to feature here. Arsenal’s creative midfielder was introduced against Inter for the final minutes after being out for two months.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Chelsea
CD Huachipato Arsenal
Top Goalscorer
France C. Nkunku (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Germany K. Havertz (7 Goals)
Best assists
England C. Palmer (5 Assists)
Best assists
England B. Saka (7 Assists)

Chelsea and Arsenal Stats in Premier League

Chelsea
Chelsea
Arsenal
Arsenal
50%
Victories
50%
30%
Draw
30%
20%
Defeats
20%
3.2
Total goals per match
2.8
2
Goals scored per match
1.7
1.2
Goals conceded per match
1.1
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
Under 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%
20%
No goals conceded
30%

Chelsea - Arsenal Key Points

  1. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in four of the last five meetings between Arsenal and Chelsea.
  2. Four of Chelsea’s last six matches across all competitions have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
  3. Arsenal have seen four of their last six matches result in an over 2.5 goals outcome.
  4. Chelsea have conceded in six straight league matches at home with half of those producing over 2.5 goals.
  5. Both Arsenal and Chelsea have scored at least 17 goals in the league.
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Our Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction

Our prediction for Chelsea v Arsenal is for this match to see an over 2.5 goals outcome. This is one of the sought-after fixtures in the EPL and as a London derby, we should see an entertaining fixture.

Both teams are above-average goal-scoring sides and sit in the top five for goals scored in the league this season. In recent meetings, we've seen at least four goals scored in this fixture. A similar outcome is likely to be the case here given both teams’ desire to return to winning ways in the league.

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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Chelsea vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Predictions

Arsenal to win

Odds 2.55

For our second prediction, we pick Arsenal to secure victory. Though they have struggled in their recent fixtures, Arsenal have dominated this fixture in recent meetings. They have won their last five league meetings with Chelsea with two of their wins coming with them as the visitors.

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Chelsea vs Arsenal match : Frequently asked questions

This match will be played on Sunday 10 November.

This match will be played at Chelsea’s Stamford Bridge in London.

This match will be live for TV viewing on Sky Sports for audiences in the UK. Updates for this match can also be accessed on Sportytrader’s Premier League Livescores page.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction
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