England - Carabao Cup
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Charlton Athletic vs Birmingham Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
by Kennedy Kechula in Carabao Cup Predictions
Charlton Athletic will be at home against Birmingham in the first round of the League Cup, a match scheduled for this Tuesday. Who will emerge tops in this battle of League One sides? Read on for our prediction.
Hosts Charlton left it late to see off Wigan Athletic 1-0 in their opening game of the season. Lloyd Jones scored the lone goal in the 81st minute, and returning at home, they will be keen to build on that.
The Addicks have suffered only one loss in the last 16 matches, picking up from last season. In that run, they failed to score three times but managed more than a goal in just six matches. Most of Charlton’s outings in that period produced under 2.5 goals – 10 to be precise.
With just three clean sheets in 33 matches, Charlton Athletic will know they have a weakness to address.
Birmingham started life in the third tier with a 1-1 draw at home to Reading. It needed a late Alfie May penalty to secure a point for The Blues after conceding in the first half.
Following their relegation from the Championship last season, Birmingham will hope for a stable run as they seek an immediate impact. Like Charlton, they’ve also struggled in attack and have managed more than a goal in just one of their last 13 competitive matches.
Birmingham actually failed to score in five of their last 12 matches and all their most recent four games had under 2.5 goals. Coming into this clash, the visitors are winless in the last 10 away encounters, going without a goal in half of the matches. In their last 12 meetings with Charlton, only one had at least three goals.
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The Best Betting Odds for Charlton Athletic v Birmingham Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
151 | 6.5 | 1.11 |
|
|
3.3 | 2.5 | 2.37 |
|
|
145 | 7 | 1.1 |
|
|
145 | 7 | 1.1 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.35 | 2.45 |
|
|
3.36 | 3.62 | 2.08 |
|
|
3.36 | 3.62 | 2.08 |
|
|
24 | 4.55 | 1.2 |
|
|
3.32 | 3.62 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.5 | 2.12 |
|
|
32 | 4.8 | 1.2 |
|
|
201 | 19 | 1.01 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.4 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.5 | 2.15 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.4 | 2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Charlton Athletic and Birmingham?
Our prediction for the Charlton Athletic vs Birmingham match is: Under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/08/2024 between Charlton Athletic and Birmingham in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.05% for a win of Charlton Athletic against Birmingham with odds of 201 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Charlton Athletic vs Birmingham is 37.71% with odds of 19 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.23% chance ⭐ for a win of Birmingham vs Charlton Athletic with odds of 2.5 at Betsson.
Charlton Athletic - Birmingham Prediction and Best Odds:
| Charlton Athletic Birmingham Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 37.71% | 19 at Betway |
| Under 2.5 | 50.48% | 2.1 at Betfair |
| Both Team To Score | 52.38% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 13.93% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Charlton Athletic vs Birmingham Form
Charlton Athletic and Birmingham Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - League One
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Apr 2024 - League One
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Apr 2024 - League One
9 Apr 2024 - League One
6 Apr 2024 - League One
1 Apr 2024 - League One
9 Mar 2024 - League One
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - League One
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Apr 2024 - League One
13 Apr 2024 - League One
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - League One
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - League One
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 May 2024 - Championship
13 Apr 2024 - Championship
10 Apr 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Apr 2024 - Championship
20 Apr 2024 - Championship
6 Apr 2024 - Championship
Players list
W. Mannion
DefenderL. Jones
T. Watson
R. Edmonds-Green
T. Small
M. Gillesphey
MidfielderC. Coventry
L. Berry
K. Anderson
ForwardD. Kanu
T. Campbell
R. Allsop
DefenderD. Sanderson
C. Klarer
E. Laird
MidfielderK. Anderson
M. Leonard
B. Khela
L. Harris
ForwardL. Jutkiewicz
T. Roberts
E. Hansson
Substitutes
A. Maynard-Brewer
DefenderJ. Edwards
A. Mitchell
Z. Mitchell
K. Ramsay
MidfielderG. Docherty
T. Edun
ForwardG. Ahadme
C. Aneke
B. Peacock-Farrell
DefenderA. Cochrane
A. Sampsted
MidfielderK. Bielik
S. Paik
S. Dembele
K. Miyoshi
A. Yokoyama
ForwardA. May
Most goals and assists
Charlton Athletic
Birmingham
L. Berry
(4 Goals)
J. Stansfield
(5 Goals)
,
A. May
(5 Goals)
Charlton Athletic - Birmingham Key Points
- Only one of 12 meetings between these teams had over 2.5 goals.
- Birmingham haven't managed more than a goal in seven meetings with Charlton.
- Birmingham failed to score in half of their last 10 matches away from home.
- All of Birmingham’s last four matches produced under 2.5 goals.
- Seven of Charlton’s last nine matches had under 2.5 goals.
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Our Charlton Athletic vs Birmingham Prediction
These two teams cannot point to attack as their strongest departments. As they come face to face, their recent meetings have been conspicuous for low scores. Only one of their past 12 matchups has produced over 2.5 goals and we might see the same trend here.
This could pass, as their matches in the past few months regularly returned less than three goals. Our prediction for Charlton Athletic v Birmingham City is for the game to have under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Charlton Athletic Birmingham
| Charlton Athletic vs Birmingham | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton Athletic wins | 3.1 | 151 | +4,771.0% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 6.5 | +91.2% |
| Birmingham wins | 2.25 | 1.11 | -50.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 91.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 29.4% and is now 15.4% (-14.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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