Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Daniel Ngulu in Liga Portugal Predictions
Sporting Lisbon will hope to strengthen their title bid with a win away to struggling Estrela in the Primeira Liga. Estrela start the week placed in the relegation playoff position while Sporting lead by three points. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Estrela are set to meet Sporting for the fourth time in their history. They lost each of the earlier three, and conceded at least twice in each, though they scored in all three.
The hosts are on a winless run of four matches coming here. Half of their last 10 matches ended in defeat, the most recent, 2-0 to Vitoria Guimaraes.
Sporting Lisbon are under pressure from second placed Benfica and will be looking at this as a chance at adding three points to their tally.
The league leaders are coming into this game off the back of four straight wins. In their most recent outing, against Famalicao, Sporting had to do it the hard way, winning 3-1.
They needed two second half goals to confirm the win but had Maximiliano Araujo sent off late. Rui Borges’ side is on back-to-back away wins, after beating Casa Pia and Gil Vicente. Two of their last three away matches had over 2.5 goals.
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The Best Betting Odds for Estrela Amadora v Sporting Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10 | 5 | 1.33 |
|
|
8.5 | 5 | 1.3 |
|
|
6.5 | 3 | 1.6 |
|
|
10.8 | 4.93 | 1.36 |
|
|
10.8 | 4.93 | 1.36 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Estrela Amadora and Sporting Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Lisbon match is: Sporting to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/03/2025 between Estrela Amadora and Sporting Lisbon in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 13.54% for a win of Estrela Amadora against Sporting Lisbon with odds of 12 at Betfair.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Lisbon is 32.42% with odds of 5.5 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 54.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Sporting Lisbon vs Estrela Amadora with odds of 1.6 at Ladbrokes.
Estrela Amadora - Sporting Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Estrela Amadora Sporting Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 54.04% | 1.6 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.98% | 1.98 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 64.58% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Sporting Lisbon/Sporting Lisbon | 26.25% | 1.95 at Ladbrokes |
Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Lisbon Form
Estrela Amadora and Sporting Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
65 | 27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 50 |
|
15
|
23 | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -20 |
Estrela Amadora and Sporting Lisbon Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
7 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
2 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
14 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
2 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
5 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
2 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
14 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
25 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
28 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Feb 2025 - Taca de Portugal
23 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
2 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Feb 2025 - Taca de Portugal
23 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
7 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
29 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal
5 Nov 2023 - Liga Portugal
Estrela Amadora against Sporting Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Most goals and assists
Estrela Amadora
Sporting Lisbon
Kikas
(5 Goals)
, 
R. Pinho
(5 Goals)
V. Gyokeres
(38 Goals)
A. Ruiz
(3 Assists)
F. Trincao
(12 Assists)
Estrela Amadora - Sporting Lisbon Key Points
- An average of 2.8 goals were scored in Estrela’s last five matches.
- Sporting scored three in each of their last three matches.
- 17 goals were scored in Sporting’s last five matches.
- Sporting are coming from four straight wins.
- Estrela are winless in their last four matches.
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Our Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction
Estrela’s chances of survival are about to take a hit. In their earlier three competitive meetings with Sporting, they suffered straight defeats. Those losses were also accompanied with high scores. We could be getting into a similar scenario here, going by the two teams’ recent performances.
An average of 2.8 goals were scored in Estrela’s last five outings while Sporting scored three goals in each of their last three matches. Our prediction for Estrela v Sporting is for Sporting to win and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Estrela Amadora Sporting Lisbon
| Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela Amadora wins | 9 | 10 | +11.1% |
| Draw | 5 | 5 | 0% |
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 1.33 | 1.33 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sporting Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 75.2% and is now 75.2% (0.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Estrela Amadora vs. Sporting Lisbon game!
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Try your luck on this year's Liga Portugal! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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