Portugal - Liga Portugal
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Casa Pia Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
by Sridhar in Liga Portugal Predictions
Sporting Lisbon faces a tricky away game at improving Casa Pia Lisbon in a matchday 25 meeting of Liga Portugal on Sunday. This match at the Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior between the sixth-placed Gansos and the league-leading Lions comes with our prediction of the home team winning at least one point.
Ahead of this weekend, Casa Pia's tally of 36 points puts them 11 points outside the top four positions. Sporting's 56 points give them a three-point lead over Benfica, although they have played one game extra.
Casa Pia lost 1-0 away at Vitoria last weekend, which extends their indifferent recent form, winning and losing three games each. Those stats don't represent their real strength, which lies in playing at this venue.
The Gansos have avoided defeat in their last ten home league games, which included winning their last three games in a row. Sporting won 3-1 on Monday at home against Estoril, which gave them back-to-back wins for the first time since mid-December.
The Lions have been struggling for consistency even in the league, drawing three of their last four matches. Worse still, they failed to win five of their last six league trips, giving Casa Pia a slight hope.
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The Best Betting Odds for Casa Pia Lisbon v Sporting Lisbon Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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6 | 4.5 | 1.48 |
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6.5 | 4 | 1.5 |
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6 | 4.33 | 1.5 |
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6.86 | 4.5 | 1.46 |
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6.86 | 4.5 | 1.46 |
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6.25 | 4.3 | 1.51 |
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6.55 | 4.44 | 1.48 |
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6.55 | 4.44 | 1.48 |
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6.2 | 4.3 | 1.49 |
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6.55 | 4.44 | 1.48 |
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6.6 | 4.4 | 1.51 |
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6.6 | 4.5 | 1.51 |
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6 | 4.2 | 1.48 |
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6.1 | 4.35 | 1.48 |
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6 | 4 | 1.44 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Casa Pia Lisbon and Sporting Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Casa Pia Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon match is: Casa Pia Lisbon wins or draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/03/2025 between Casa Pia Lisbon and Sporting Lisbon in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.49% for a win of Casa Pia Lisbon against Sporting Lisbon with odds of 6.86 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Casa Pia Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon is 26.07% with odds of 4.5 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.44% chance ⭐ for a win of Sporting Lisbon vs Casa Pia Lisbon with odds of 1.51 at Betobet.
Casa Pia Lisbon - Sporting Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
Casa Pia Lisbon Sporting Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Sporting Lisbon wins | 44.44% | 1.51 at Betobet |
Over 2.5 goals | 56.33% | 1.84 at Betobet |
Both Team To Score | 59.58% | 2 at Bet365 |
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Sporting Lisbon | 17.06% | 4.1 at Unibet |
Casa Pia Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon Form
Casa Pia Lisbon and Sporting Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
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1
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56 | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 43 |
6
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36 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 1 |
Casa Pia Lisbon and Sporting Lisbon Last Matches

3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
25 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
25 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
12 Jan 2025 - Taca de Portugal
5 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
20 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
20 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
15 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Feb 2025 - Taca de Portugal
23 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
15 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
2 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
25 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2025 - Taca de Portugal
23 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
7 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
Casa Pia Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
29 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal
18 Aug 2023 - Liga Portugal
9 Apr 2023 - Liga Portugal
22 Oct 2022 - Liga Portugal
22 Dec 2021 - Taca de Portugal
Casa Pia Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Most goals and assists






Casa Pia Lisbon and Sporting Lisbon Stats in Liga Portugal


Casa Pia Lisbon - Sporting Lisbon Key Points
- Casa Pia picked up points in nine of their last 12 league matches, winning seven and drawing two.
- At home, Casa Pia are unbeaten in their last ten league matches, winning six and drawing four.
- Sporting haven’t won five of their last seven league matches, drawing four and losing one.
- Sporting have failed to win five of their last six away league matches, drawing four and losing one.
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Our Casa Pia Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction
Casa Pia have made things tougher for visiting teams, and no away team could win in the last ten league matches played here. Not just that, the hosts have done well in the recent weeks. The reverse fixture also saw Casa Pia running Sporting close, although in the end, they ran out 2-0 winners. The visitors come here on the back of some troubling results, though. They have been dropping points regularly in the recent weeks, and that could once again be the case here. Our Casa Pia Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon prediction is Casa Pia Lisbon wins or draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Casa Pia Lisbon Sporting Lisbon
Casa Pia Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Casa Pia Lisbon wins | 9.5 | 6 | -36.8% |
Draw | 4.5 | 4.5 | 0% |
Sporting Lisbon wins | 1.36 | 1.48 | +8.8% |
At 2 hours before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sporting Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 73.5% and is now 67.6% (-6.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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