England - FA Cup
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Carlisle United vs Wigan Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
by Ian John in FA Cup Predictions
FA Cup First Round weekend is always a big deal for lower league teams, who want to progress into the third round to earn a chance of a draw against the big boys. Carlisle United and Wigan Athletic will battle it out for a spot in the Second Round this weekend. Does our prediction foretell a shock win for the Blues, or will the Latics take victory in the match?
The Cumbrians have lost 10 of their 14 matches played this season, winning just two. That record means they sit 23rd in the table and battling against the drop into the National League.
Without a win in seven, Carlisle lost 3-1 at Walsall and then were beaten 1-0 at home by Cheltenham last weekend.
Wigan lie 19th in League One. Defensively, they are solid with only Wrexham conceding fewer than their eleven goals in 13 games this season. However, scoring goals remains a problem with just a dozen goals.
However, after a slow start where they lost three of their first four, they have since lost just two of their next nine. Although they have had four 0-0 draws in that run. They warmed up for this game with a 2-2 draw at Blackpool last weekend.
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The Best Betting Odds for Carlisle United v Wigan Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.1 | 3.4 | 1.91 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.5 | 1.91 |
|
|
4.06 | 3.6 | 1.9 |
|
|
4.06 | 3.6 | 1.9 |
|
|
4.6 | 3.5 | 1.76 |
|
|
3.64 | 3.66 | 1.97 |
|
|
3.64 | 3.66 | 1.97 |
|
|
3.95 | 3.45 | 1.93 |
|
|
4.04 | 3.58 | 1.9 |
|
|
4 | 3.55 | 1.96 |
|
|
4.7 | 3.69 | 1.82 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.4 | 1.91 |
|
|
3.95 | 3.3 | 1.85 |
|
|
4 | 3.3 | 1.8 |
|
|
4.2 | 3.6 | 1.8 |
|
|
4.5 | 3.6 | 1.78 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Carlisle United and Wigan?
Our prediction for the Carlisle United vs Wigan match is: Wigan Athletic to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/11/2024 between Carlisle United and Wigan in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 11.34% for a win of Carlisle United against Wigan with odds of 4.7 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Carlisle United vs Wigan is 28.7% with odds of 3.69 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 59.96% chance ⭐ for a win of Wigan vs Carlisle United with odds of 1.97 at Betwinner.
Carlisle United - Wigan Prediction and Best Odds:
| Carlisle United Wigan Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Wigan wins | 59.96% | 1.97 at Betwinner |
| Under 2.5 | 63.33% | 1.98 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 29.17% | 1.87 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time: Wigan/Wigan | 34.41% | 3.1 at Bet365 |
Carlisle United vs Wigan Form
Carlisle United and Wigan Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - League Two
22 Oct 2024 - League Two
19 Oct 2024 - League Two
12 Oct 2024 - League Two
8 Oct 2024 - EFL Trophy
5 Oct 2024 - League Two
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - League Two
19 Oct 2024 - League Two
8 Oct 2024 - EFL Trophy
1 Oct 2024 - League Two
28 Sep 2024 - League Two
14 Sep 2024 - League Two
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2024 - League Two
12 Oct 2024 - League Two
5 Oct 2024 - League Two
21 Sep 2024 - League Two
7 Sep 2024 - League Two
24 Aug 2024 - League Two
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Oct 2024 - League One
22 Oct 2024 - League One
19 Oct 2024 - League One
8 Oct 2024 - EFL Trophy
5 Oct 2024 - League One
1 Oct 2024 - League One
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2024 - League One
1 Oct 2024 - League One
28 Sep 2024 - League One
24 Sep 2024 - League One
3 Sep 2024 - EFL Trophy
24 Aug 2024 - League One
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Oct 2024 - League One
19 Oct 2024 - League One
8 Oct 2024 - EFL Trophy
5 Oct 2024 - League One
21 Sep 2024 - League One
14 Sep 2024 - League One
Carlisle United vs Wigan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Oct 2024 - EFL Trophy
29 Dec 2023 - League One
Most goals and assists
Carlisle United
Wigan
J. Mellish
(2 Goals)
,
D. Adu-Adjei
(2 Goals)
,
C. Wyke
(2 Goals)
, 
S. Lavelle
(2 Goals)
,
L. Armstrong
(2 Goals)
T. Aasgaard
(4 Goals)
Carlisle United - Wigan Key Points
- No team has conceded more than Carlisle's 28 goals in 14 games in League Two.
- Wigan have lost just one of their last five away games in League One.
- Carlisle have lost five of their seven home games and five of their last seven in the league.
- Only Wrexham have conceded fewer goals than Wigan's 11 in the league this season.
- WIgan have won three of the last five games between the two teams.
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Our Carlisle United vs Wigan Prediction
Our prediction for the Carlisle United vs. Wigan Athletic FA Cup First Round tie is: Wigan Athletic to win.
This season has been a struggle for Carlisle United who sit 91st out of the 92 teams in the Football League and Premier League. Wigan have not been the most freescoring team, but they are very solid defensively and they seem perfectly set up to put the home side to the sword here and claim the win that will earn them a place in the second round of the competition.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Carlisle United Wigan
| Carlisle United vs Wigan | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle United wins | 3.9 | 4.1 | +5.1% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.4 | 0% |
| Wigan wins | 2 | 1.91 | -4.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Wigan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.0% and is now 52.4% (2.4%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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