England - Carabao Cup
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Carlisle United vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
by Sridhar in Carabao Cup Predictions
Championship side Stoke City will hope to continue their good start with a win against League Two team Carlisle United as they aim for progression in the EFL Cup. This first-round Northern Section match will be played at Brunton Park in Carlisle on Tuesday, with the likely prediction of a tight game.
After getting demoted to League Two this season, Carlisle United started their season with a 4-1 loss to Gillingham on the opening matchday. That continued their poor recent form, losing three of the last four matches. They did score in three of those matches, so they will look to at least find a goal in this match.
Carlisle struggled at home last season and will be hard-pressed here to find some form. They have lost nine of their last ten competitive matches at this venue, and that form could come back to haunt them here. Stoke started their Championship campaign with a narrow 1-0 win over Coventry City over the weekend.
That result made it a fourth straight result in matches involving the Potters to have ended with a 1-0 scoreline. Stoke ended last season with a slightly better record away from home, winning three and drawing one of their last five competitive matches on the road.
The visitors are likely to make some changes to their playing XI to accommodate new signings, but that’s unlikely to put them at a disadvantage.
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The Best Betting Odds for Carlisle United v Stoke Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
451 | 41 | 1 |
|
|
4.6 | 2.7 | 1.85 |
|
|
89 | 17.7 | 1.01 |
|
|
89 | 17.7 | 1.01 |
|
|
4.9 | 3.7 | 1.69 |
|
|
4.46 | 3.92 | 1.74 |
|
|
4.46 | 3.92 | 1.74 |
|
|
37 | 5.25 | 1.16 |
|
|
5.25 | 4.18 | 1.6 |
|
|
5.4 | 4.1 | 1.58 |
|
|
151 | 29 | 1 |
|
|
5.5 | 4 | 1.55 |
|
|
5.5 | 4.1 | 1.55 |
|
|
4.75 | 3.75 | 1.78 |
|
|
5.25 | 3.8 | 1.55 |
|
|
77 | 17 | 1.01 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Carlisle United and Stoke?
Our prediction for the Carlisle United vs Stoke match is: Both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/08/2024 between Carlisle United and Stoke in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 16.77% for a win of Carlisle United against Stoke with odds of 451 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Carlisle United vs Stoke is 11.09% with odds of 41 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 72.13% chance ⭐ for a win of Stoke vs Carlisle United with odds of 1.85 at Ladbrokes.
Carlisle United - Stoke Prediction and Best Odds:
| Carlisle United Stoke Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke wins | 72.13% | 1.85 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.9% | 12 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 47.62% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Stoke/Stoke | 35.08% | 2.75 at Bet365 |
Carlisle United vs Stoke Form
Carlisle United and Stoke Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - League Two
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Apr 2024 - League One
13 Apr 2024 - League One
1 Apr 2024 - League One
23 Mar 2024 - League One
12 Mar 2024 - League One
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - League Two
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 May 2024 - Championship
20 Apr 2024 - Championship
6 Apr 2024 - Championship
1 Apr 2024 - Championship
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Apr 2024 - Championship
Players list
H. Lewis
DefenderA. Davies
T. Thomas
B. Barclay
A. Hayden
J. Mellish
MidfielderJ. Ellis
J. Vela
H. Neal
ForwardD. Adu-Adjei
C. Wyke
F. Fielding
DefenderB. Wilmot
J. Dixon
F. Anderson
MidfielderL. Baker
W. Burger
L. Koumas
S. Sidibe
D. Johnson
ForwardN. Ennis
M. Manhoef
Substitutes
G. Breeze
DefenderS. Lavelle
B. Williams
MidfielderJ. Allan
S. Hetherington
ForwardD. Butterworth
G. Kelly
L. Armstrong
V. Johansson
DefenderB. Gibson
E. Bocat
J. Tchamadeu
MidfielderL. Gooch
J. Thompson
J. Laurent
ForwardE. Tezgel
N. Lowe
Most goals and assists
Carlisle United
Stoke
C. Wyke
(2 Goals)
, 
S. Lavelle
(2 Goals)
,
L. Armstrong
(2 Goals)
,
D. Sadi
(2 Goals)
,
J. Mellish
(2 Goals)
,
D. Adu-Adjei
(2 Goals)
T. Cannon
(9 Goals)
B. Joon-ho
(4 Assists)
,
A. Moran
(4 Assists)
Carlisle United - Stoke Key Points
- Three of Carlisle United’s last four matches have seen goals from both teams
- Carlisle United have scored in three of their last four matches
- Stoke conceded exactly one goal in two of their last four matches
- In five of their last seven matches including friendlies, Stoke have scored at least once
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Our Carlisle United vs Stoke Prediction
Stoke started their Championship campaign on a positive note, although their 1-0 win on matchday one was too close to comfort. They are likely to rotate the squad for this Cup game, which should give some hope for Carlisle United. The home team didn’t quite start their League Two campaign on a positive note and will hope to push their higher-ranked opponents deep. They are likely to find at least one goal, and that’s why our Carlisle United v Stoke City prediction is for both teams to score goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Carlisle United Stoke
| Carlisle United vs Stoke | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle United wins | 5 | 451 | +8,920.0% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 41 | +993.3% |
| Stoke wins | 1.67 | 1 | -40.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Stoke is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 40.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.9% and is now 100.0% (40.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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