England - Championship
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Cardiff vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Matthew Newman in Championship Predictions
Watford will head to South Wales on Saturday afternoon for a match in the Championship with Cardiff. The Bluebirds are 20th with the Hornets 6th leading up to our prediction on the contest.
Both of these teams are far stronger at home than they are on the road which is a big plus for Cardiff who won four straight at the Cardiff City Stadium from October 1 to November 2. That form has slipped away, losing to Blackburn and QPR on their own patch since.
The latter of those will have been particularly disappointing given the R's are below them in the league table. They failed to score there but this looks a good opportunity to get back in the goals.
There is not another team in the top 18 in the league who have conceded more times than Watford. Nor is there a team in the top half who have picked up fewer points on the road this season, yet they have seven wins and two draws in nine at home.
Watford really needs to find a level of form away from Vicarage Road that approaches their home form to keep their playoff challenge going.
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The Best Betting Odds for Cardiff v Watford Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.2 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.5 | 3 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.58 | 3.04 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.58 | 3.04 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.45 | 3 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.5 | 3 |
|
|
2.22 | 3.62 | 3.07 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.5 | 3 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.27 | 3.53 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.59 | 3.14 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.4 | 3 |
|
|
2.14 | 3.5 | 3.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Cardiff and Watford?
Our prediction for the Cardiff vs Watford match is: over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/12/2024 between Cardiff and Watford in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.6% for a win of Cardiff against Watford with odds of 2.3 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Cardiff vs Watford is 15.37% with odds of 3.62 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Watford vs Cardiff with odds of 3.2 at Unibet.
Cardiff - Watford Prediction and Best Odds:
| Cardiff Watford Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff wins | 52.6% | 2.3 at William Hill |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.67% | 1.99 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 42.92% | 1.67 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Cardiff/Cardiff | 21.4% | 3.75 at Betsson |
Cardiff vs Watford Form
Cardiff and Watford's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
34 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
|
22
|
18 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -15 |
Cardiff and Watford Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2024 - Championship
27 Nov 2024 - Championship
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
9 Nov 2024 - Championship
6 Nov 2024 - Championship
2 Nov 2024 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Nov 2024 - Championship
9 Nov 2024 - Championship
2 Nov 2024 - Championship
22 Oct 2024 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
1 Oct 2024 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2024 - Championship
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
6 Nov 2024 - Championship
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
6 Oct 2024 - Championship
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2024 - Championship
26 Nov 2024 - Championship
22 Nov 2024 - Championship
8 Nov 2024 - Championship
5 Nov 2024 - Championship
2 Nov 2024 - Championship
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2024 - Championship
26 Nov 2024 - Championship
8 Nov 2024 - Championship
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2024 - Championship
5 Nov 2024 - Championship
2 Nov 2024 - Championship
22 Oct 2024 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
2 Oct 2024 - Championship
Cardiff vs Watford Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
0 %
60 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Feb 2024 - Championship
13 Mar 2021 - Championship
5 Dec 2020 - Championship
22 Feb 2019 - Premier League
15 Dec 2018 - Premier League
Most goals and assists
Cardiff
Watford
C. Robinson
(5 Goals)
V. Bayo
(9 Goals)
R. Colwill
(4 Assists)
G. Chakvetadze
(5 Assists)
Cardiff - Watford Key Points
- Three of Cardiff’s last five at home have seen over 2.5 goals.
- Watford have conceded 20 times away from home this season.
- Only three teams have a higher xGF at home than Cardiff.
- In seven of Watford’s last eight away games in all competitions, there have been over 2.5 goals.
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Our Cardiff vs Watford Prediction
This is a tricky one. Cardiff have been in and out at home, but the visiting team have one of the worst defences in the entire division when they are away from home. That should help give Cardiff plenty of chances to net at home.
Despite their poor work at the back, Watford have netted 13 times away from home. Only five teams have conceded more at home than Cardiff so that should give Watford opportunities. As such, our Cardiff vs Watford prediction is for over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Cardiff Watford
| Cardiff vs Watford | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff wins | 2.25 | 2.2 | -2.2% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.5 | 0% |
| Watford wins | 3 | 3.1 | +3.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Cardiff is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.4% and is now 45.5% (1.0%)
Use £30 free bets for the Cardiff vs. Watford game!
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Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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