England - Carabao Cup
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Cardiff vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
by Kennedy Kechula in Carabao Cup Predictions
After the tensions of the South Wales derby, Cardiff City will switch gears to the second round of the League Cup. Hosting Premier League side Southampton, Cardiff head into the game seeking their season’s second win. Read on for our prediction of this match.
This will be Cardiff City’s third home match this early in the season. They won one and lost the other but will want to build on their gains from the last game. Playing away to Swansea, The Bluebirds rallied late to secure a point in a 1-1 draw.
That result presented their first point in the Championship this season and it was the second time in four games that they avoided defeat. The first was in the initial round of this competition, when they blanked Bristol Rovers 2-0 at home.
Southampton haven't had a dream start to the season. After two rounds on their Premier League return, The Saints are yet to score a goal. They lost both matches by 1-0 score lines, most recently at home to Nottingham Forest.
In their last season in the Premier League, Southampton had a great run in the League Cup. They went all the way to the semi-finals before falling to Newcastle United in January 2023. They couldn’t, however, replicate this run last season, as they were dumped out in the first round by Gillingham.
The visitors haven't won a cup game away from home in the last four attempts and any jitters here will be justified. In the four matches, they lost three times. They scored only once in their last three away competitive matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Cardiff v Southampton Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15 | 1.17 | 7 |
|
|
4.8 | 3.8 | 1.7 |
|
|
15.9 | 1.2 | 7.42 |
|
|
15.9 | 1.2 | 7.42 |
|
|
5.5 | 4.1 | 1.58 |
|
|
4.68 | 3.96 | 1.7 |
|
|
4.68 | 3.96 | 1.7 |
|
|
13.5 | 1.15 | 6.25 |
|
|
4.68 | 3.96 | 1.7 |
|
|
4.8 | 3.95 | 1.67 |
|
|
201 | 19 | 1.01 |
|
|
4.75 | 4 | 1.66 |
|
|
501 | 501 | 1 |
|
|
5.5 | 4.33 | 1.6 |
|
|
4.6 | 3.6 | 1.65 |
|
|
6.4 | 1.8 | 2.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Cardiff and Southampton?
Our prediction for the Cardiff vs Southampton match is: Under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/08/2024 between Cardiff and Southampton in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.8% for a win of Cardiff against Southampton with odds of 501 at Betfair.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Cardiff vs Southampton is 14.84% with odds of 501 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.37% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Cardiff with odds of 7.42 at 1xbet.
Cardiff - Southampton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Cardiff Southampton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff wins | 44.8% | 501 at Betfair |
| Under 2.5 | 53.26% | 2.1 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 54.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Cardiff | 21.5% | 126 at Betfair |
Cardiff vs Southampton Form
Cardiff and Southampton Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 May 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2024 - Championship
27 Apr 2024 - Championship
16 Apr 2024 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Cardiff vs Southampton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
0 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Apr 2024 - Championship
2 Dec 2023 - Championship
9 Feb 2019 - Premier League
8 Dec 2018 - Premier League
Players list
J. Alnwick
DefenderD. Goutas
I. Jefferies
J. Bagan
M. Fagan-Walcott
MidfielderA. Rinomhota
C. Twose
M. Reindorf
R. Conte
C. Ashford
A. Robertson
J. Lumley
DefenderN. Wood
J. Bree
C. Taylor
R. Akachukwu
MidfielderA. Lallana
A. Bella-Kotchap
J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
ForwardC. Archer
S. Edozie
Substitutes
M. Turner
DefenderT. Davies
L. Giles
MidfielderC. Twose
A. Robertson
D. Mafico
T. Nyakuhwa
ForwardM. Wigley
I. Jefferies
A. McCarthy
DefenderA. Bella-Kotchap
J. Larios
MidfielderA. Lallana
J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
R. Manning
R. Akachukwu
J. Moore
ForwardJ. Robinson
Most goals and assists
Cardiff
Southampton
C. Robinson
(5 Goals)
C. Archer
(5 Goals)
R. Colwill
(4 Assists)
M. Fernandes
(4 Assists)
Cardiff - Southampton Key Points
- Southampton haven't scored a goal so far this season.
- Cardiff City failed to score in two of their four matches so far.
- The last five meetings between these teams produced 10 goals.
- Three of Cardiff City’s four matches this season had under 2.5 goals.
- Southampton’s last five competitive matches saw seven goals scored.
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Our Cardiff vs Southampton Prediction
Both Southampton and Cardiff City will welcome the distraction from their respective leagues, following poor starts. In four matches across all competitions, Cardiff’s only win was in the League Cup.
Meanwhile, Southampton come into their first League Cup game having lost both opening league matches and failed to score. Cardiff, like their visitors, haven't had a great scoring run. They failed to score in two of their four matches while Southampton are still in search of their first goal this season.
It is these numbers that have rendered the two teams’ matches low-scoring. Our prediction for Cardiff City v Southampton is for the game to have under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Cardiff Southampton
| Cardiff vs Southampton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff wins | 4.2 | 15 | +257.1% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 1.17 | -68.8% |
| Southampton wins | 1.8 | 7 | +288.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Cardiff is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 257.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 23.8% and is now 6.7% (-17.1%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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