England - Championship
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by Steve Ashfield in Championship Predictions
Both of these clubs are battling to stay in the Championship. Cardiff City are 21st in the table and are home to Luton Town who only have Plymouth below them in the table. Can the Bluebirds get a vital home victory? Read our match prediction.
Cardiff are just a place above the relegation zone but a win here will take them seven points clear of the bottom three. Saturday saw them lose 2-1 at fourth-placed Sunderland, their third loss in a row after also being beaten by Burnley and Aston Villa.
Before those losses, City had been unbeaten in three league games, earning five points. Their last home league game was lost but that ended a run of five in the Championship without defeat.
Luton Town lost 4-0 at Burnley on Saturday and are now five points from safety. A second successive relegation is looking likely unless they can somehow find some form. That's particularly so on the road as the Hatters have only earned five points from 18 in the Championship this season.
Just one point has been earned in their last 15 away league fixtures. They have failed to score in their last three away league fixtures with eight goals conceded. We tip Cardiff to get the win in this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Cardiff v Luton Town Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.3 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
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2.3 | 3.2 | 3.3 |
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2.3 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
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2.38 | 3.36 | 3.21 |
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2.38 | 3.36 | 3.21 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Cardiff and Luton Town?
Our prediction for the Cardiff vs Luton Town match is: Cardiff to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/03/2025 between Cardiff and Luton Town in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.75% for a win of Cardiff against Luton Town with odds of 2.38 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Cardiff vs Luton Town is 24.41% with odds of 3.36 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.84% chance ⭐ for a win of Luton Town vs Cardiff with odds of 3.35 at Tonybet.
Cardiff - Luton Town Prediction and Best Odds:
Cardiff Luton Town Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Cardiff wins | 49.75% | 2.38 at 1xbet |
Under 2.5 | 64% | 2.2 at 1xbet |
Both Team To Score | 43.75% | |
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Cardiff | 25.37% | 5.6 at Unibet |
Cardiff vs Luton Town Form
Cardiff and Luton Town's standings in the Championship
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
21
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49 | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | -22 |
24
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44 | 45 | 9 | 17 | 19 | -23 |
Cardiff and Luton Town Last Matches

1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
4 Mar 2025 - Championship
28 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
25 Feb 2025 - Championship
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2025 - Championship
25 Feb 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
25 Jan 2025 - Championship
18 Jan 2025 - Championship
14 Jan 2025 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
28 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
11 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Championship

1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
23 Feb 2025 - Championship
19 Feb 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
12 Feb 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
19 Feb 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
25 Jan 2025 - Championship
18 Jan 2025 - Championship
1 Jan 2025 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
23 Feb 2025 - Championship
12 Feb 2025 - Championship
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
21 Jan 2025 - Championship
11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
Cardiff vs Luton Town Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Nov 2024 - Championship
31 Jan 2023 - Championship
Players list

E. Horvath
DefenderP. Ng
Y. Meite
W. Fish
C. Chambers
MidfielderC. O'Dowda
S. Mannsverk
I. Davies
C. Robinson
C. Willock
ForwardY. Salech

T. Kaminski
DefenderC. Makosso
M. McGuinness
A. Bell
MidfielderI. Jones
J. Clark
Z. Nelson
R. Burke
M. Alli
ForwardJ. Bowler
J. Brown
Substitutes

M. Turner
DefenderJ. Bagan
J. Daland
MidfielderC. Ashford
S. Mannsverk
C. Willock
I. Davies
C. Robinson
Y. Meite

T. Krul
DefenderM. Alli
M. Andersen
R. Burke
M. Fanne Dabo
J. Bowler
Z. Nelson
J. Brown
L. Nordas
Most goals and assists







Cardiff - Luton Town Key Points
- Luton have only earned one point from their last 15 away league games.
- Luton have failed to score in their last three away league fixtures.
- Cardiff have only lost one of their last six home league matches.
- Only one of Luton's last 15 league matches has been won.
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Our Cardiff vs Luton Town Prediction
Cardiff City have lost three successive games but it's been a tough run of fixtures. Two were lost to sides in the top four of the Championship and the other to Premier League Aston Villa in the FA Cup. With respect to Luton, this is a far more winnable fixture.
City had been in good home form before losing to Burnley. They now host Luton Town who have won just one of their last 15 league games and have earned only five away points all season. Our Cardiff v Luton Town prediction is Cardiff to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Cardiff Luton Town
Cardiff vs Luton Town | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Cardiff wins | 2.63 | 2.3 | -12.5% |
Draw | 3.3 | 3.2 | -3.0% |
Luton Town wins | 2.63 | 3.2 | +21.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Cardiff is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 12.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 38.0% and is now 43.5% (5.5%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Cardiff vs. Luton Town game!
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Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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