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England - Championship

Cardiff
21 Sep 2024 10:00
Leeds

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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Cardiff vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

 by Matthew Newman in Championship Predictions

A potentially feisty affair on Saturday in the Championship as bottom-of-the-league Cardiff take on 9th-placed Leeds. Leeds won this fixture last season 3-0 and will be hoping to heap on the misery for the home side as we look to make a prediction on the game. 

Cardiff have a single point so far this season, which came on the road at their big rivals Swansea. That also saw them score the only goal of the campaign to this point. Two games at home have seen a pair of 0-2 defeats at the hands of Sunderland and Middlesbrough.

They are both solid sides and their visitors on Saturday are the same. Cardiff did manage to score three times in a home League Cup game against Southampton but they shipped five at the other end. Five was also the number against away at Burnley so defensively they are struggling as much as they are to find the net.

Leeds have been a little inconsistent themselves. They have kept three clean sheets in their last four games but have only managed to pick up two wins in those outings. A 2-0 win at Sheffield Wednesday in their last away league game was a game that they were dominant in.

A loss at home to Burnley last time out is probably not a bad result given that their visitors are a smart team but it will not have been a result taken well by the home fans. They will be expecting three points from a trip to Cardiff so the lesser pressure of being on their travels should be a help to them.

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The Best Betting Odds for Cardiff v Leeds Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
4.5 3.6 1.75
Ladbrokes
5 3.9 1.65
1xbet
5.2 4.05 1.64
22bet
5.2 4.05 1.64
Betobet
5 4 1.62
Betwinner
5.2 3.98 1.64
LSbet
5.2 3.98 1.64
Stake
5 3.9 1.65
Melbet
5.25 3.98 1.63
Tonybet
5 3.9 1.65
Betway
4.33 3.6 1.75
Unibet
5 3.85 1.66
Betfair
5 3.9 1.62
Betsson
4.46 3.72 1.79
William Hill
4.8 3.5 1.73
Vbet
4.7 3.86 1.78
Check all Cardiff vs Leeds odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Cardiff and Leeds?

Our prediction for the Cardiff vs Leeds match is: Under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/09/2024 between Cardiff and Leeds in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.77% for a win of Cardiff against Leeds with odds of 5.25 at Melbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Cardiff vs Leeds is 25.7% with odds of 4.05 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 50.53% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs Cardiff with odds of 1.79 at Betsson.

Cardiff - Leeds Prediction and Best Odds:

Cardiff Leeds Prediction Probability Odds
Leeds wins 50.53% 1.79 at Betsson
Under 2.5 53.22% 1.93 at Melbet
Both Team To Score 34.58%
Half-time / Full-time: Leeds/Leeds 21.27% 2.85 at Betsson

Cardiff vs Leeds Form

Cardiff and Leeds's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Leeds
Leeds
29 15 8 5 2 15
22
Cardiff
Cardiff
15 15 4 3 8 -9

Cardiff and Leeds Last Matches

Cardiff
Cardiff Last matches
W L D L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

14 Sep 2024 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
Cardiff

31 Aug 2024 - Championship

Cardiff
0 :  2
Middlesbrough

28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Cardiff
3 :  5
Southampton

25 Aug 2024 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  1
Cardiff

17 Aug 2024 - Championship

Burnley
5 :  0
Cardiff

13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Cardiff
2 :  0
Bristol Rovers
D W L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

31 Aug 2024 - Championship

Cardiff
0 :  2
Middlesbrough

28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Cardiff
3 :  5
Southampton

13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Cardiff
2 :  0
Bristol Rovers

10 Aug 2024 - Championship

Cardiff
0 :  2
Sunderland

31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Cardiff
2 :  1
Reading

23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Cardiff
1 :  1
Mamelodi Sundowns
W D W L D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

14 Sep 2024 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  0
Cardiff

25 Aug 2024 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  1
Cardiff

17 Aug 2024 - Championship

Burnley
5 :  0
Cardiff

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Bristol Rovers
0 :  2
Cardiff

25 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Hertha Berlin
1 :  1
Cardiff

21 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Hamburg
0 :  3
Cardiff
Leeds
Leeds Last matches
D L D W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

14 Sep 2024 - Championship

Leeds
0 :  1
Burnley

31 Aug 2024 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  0
Hull

23 Aug 2024 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
0 :  2
Leeds

17 Aug 2024 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  0
Leeds

14 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Leeds
0 :  3
Middlesbrough

10 Aug 2024 - Championship

Leeds
3 :  3
Portsmouth
L W D L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Sep 2024 - Championship

Leeds
0 :  1
Burnley

31 Aug 2024 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  0
Hull

14 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Leeds
0 :  3
Middlesbrough

10 Aug 2024 - Championship

Leeds
3 :  3
Portsmouth

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
2 :  1
Valencia

26 May 2024 - Championship

Leeds
0 :  1
Southampton
W L D W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

23 Aug 2024 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
0 :  2
Leeds

17 Aug 2024 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  0
Leeds

19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Harrogate Town
0 :  3
Leeds

12 May 2024 - Championship

Norwich
0 :  0
Leeds

26 Apr 2024 - Championship

QPR
4 :  0
Leeds

22 Apr 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
3 :  4
Leeds

Cardiff vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Cardiff

33 %

Draw

33 %

Leeds

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

13 Jan 2024 - Championship

Cardiff
0 :  3
Leeds

6 Aug 2023 - Championship

Leeds
2 :  2
Cardiff

18 Jan 2023 - FA Cup

Leeds
5 :  2
Cardiff

8 Jan 2023 - FA Cup

Cardiff
2 :  2
Leeds

21 Jun 2020 - Championship

Cardiff
2 :  0
Leeds

26 Sep 2017 - Championship

Cardiff
3 :  1
Leeds
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Players list

Cardiff
Cardiff
Goalkeeper

J. Alnwick

Defender

P. Ng

C. Chambers

W. Fish

J. Bagan

Midfielder

C. Ashford

A. Robertson

R. Colwill

C. Willock

Forward

A. El Ghazi

J. Collins

Leeds
Leeds
Goalkeeper

I. Meslier

Defender

S. Byram

J. Rodon

P. Struijk

J. Firpo

E. Ampadu

Midfielder

J. Rothwell

B. Aaronson

Forward

J. Piroe

I. Schmidt

A. Tanaka

Substitutes

Cardiff
Cardiff
Goalkeeper

E. Horvath

Defender

D. Goutas

J. Collins

W. Kanga

Midfielder

A. Robertson

J. Ralls

C. Ashford

M. Siopis

A. Rinomhota

C. Willock

C. O'Dowda

A. El Ghazi

O. Tanner

Forward

D. Turnbull

Leeds
Leeds
Goalkeeper

K. Darlow

Defender

J. Debayo

S. Byram

J. Bogle

Midfielder

A. Tanaka

M. Fernandez

I. Schmidt

D. Gnonto

C. Crewe

J. Rothwell

I. Gruev

Forward

J. Piroe

L. Ramazani

P. Bamford

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Cardiff
CD Huachipato Leeds
Top Goalscorer
Rep. of Ireland C. Robinson (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands J. Piroe (6 Goals)
Best assists
Wales R. Colwill (3 Assists)
Best assists
Italy D. Gnonto (5 Assists)

Cardiff - Leeds Key Points

  1. Cardiff has one point and one goal this season.
  2. Leeds are yet to concede away from home in the league.
  3. Both Cardiff home games have been defeats where they have been shut out.
  4. Leeds kept a clean sheet in this game last year, a 3-0 win.
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Our Cardiff vs Leeds Prediction

Neither team is where they want to be even at this early stage of the season. Leeds would have been expecting to be further up the table but this looks a decent opportunity to get points on the board. There are probably not going to be many goals in this one, Leeds have only managed two in total away from home and Cardiff are yet to score at the Cardiff City Stadium. As such, our Cardiff vs Leeds prediction is for under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Cardiff Leeds

Cardiff vs Leeds Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Cardiff wins 4.75 4.5 -5.3%
Draw 3.8 3.6 -5.3%
Leeds wins 1.7 1.75 +2.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Leeds is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 2.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 58.8% and is now 57.1% (-1.7%)

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Cardiff vs Leeds Prediction
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