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Caernarfon Town FC vs Crusaders FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
by Ian John in Conference League Predictions
Welsh and Irish fans will tune in to S4C on Thursday night, as the channel will show live coverage of the Conference League 1st Round Qualifier match between Caernarfon Town and Crusaders. Caernarfon Town qualified for the Conference League through the playoffs in the Welsh Premier League end-of-season mix. The Canaries face a relatively short trip across the North Sea for the second leg of this tie with The Hatchetmen, who finished fourth in the NIFL Premiership last season.
The Welsh side are very inexperienced in Europe, with this being their first European campaign. Contrastingly, Crusaders have a wealth of European experience, going back to the 1967/68 season when they first qualified for the European Cup Winners Cup. That said, it took the Northern Irish side a long time to win their first European tie against Ekranas in 2014/15. Since then, they have won their first qualifying round games in the Europa League in 2019/20 and the Conference League in the past two seasons. However, their interest has ended at the second qualifying round in all three past campaigns.
This will be a brand new adventure for Caernarfon Town and their fans, and it will be one that the Welsh club will cherish. They finished the Welsh season in fifth place in the table, but their playoff heroics earned them a first-ever spot in Europe. That said, they have struggled against better-quality teams, losing 8-1 and then 7-1 to Welsh Champions The New Saints, which does not bode well for the visit of Crusaders to The Oval.
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The Best Betting Odds for Caernarfon Town FC v Crusaders FC Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1 | 41 | 101 |
|
|
4 | 3.9 | 1.73 |
|
|
2.46 | 4.68 | 2.14 |
|
|
2.46 | 4.68 | 2.14 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.7 | 1.87 |
|
|
4.87 | 4.05 | 1.64 |
|
|
4.87 | 4.05 | 1.64 |
|
|
1.01 | 21 | 100 |
|
|
3.78 | 3.68 | 1.89 |
|
|
3.65 | 3.8 | 1.89 |
|
|
1 | 32 | 81 |
|
|
1 | 23 | 101 |
|
|
1.01 | 19 | 81 |
|
|
1.01 | 21 | 276 |
|
|
4 | 4.2 | 1.7 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.5 | 1.78 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Caernarfon Town FC and Crusaders FC?
Our prediction for the Caernarfon Town FC vs Crusaders FC match is: Crusaders to win and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/07/2024 between Caernarfon Town FC and Crusaders FC in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.52% for a win of Caernarfon Town FC against Crusaders FC with odds of 4.87 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Caernarfon Town FC vs Crusaders FC is 15.99% with odds of 41 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 48.48% chance ⭐ for a win of Crusaders FC vs Caernarfon Town FC with odds of 276 at Betfair.
Caernarfon Town FC - Crusaders FC Prediction and Best Odds:
| Caernarfon Town FC Crusaders FC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Crusaders FC wins | 48.48% | 276 at Betfair |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.15% | 14 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.38% | 7 at Unibet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Crusaders FC | 20.5% | 276 at Unibet |
Caernarfon Town FC vs Crusaders FC Form
Caernarfon Town FC and Crusaders FC Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 May 2024 - Cymru Premier
10 May 2024 - Cymru Premier
21 Apr 2024 - Cymru Premier
13 Apr 2024 - Cymru Premier
5 Apr 2024 - Cymru Premier
23 Mar 2024 - Cymru Premier
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 May 2024 - Cymru Premier
10 May 2024 - Cymru Premier
21 Apr 2024 - Cymru Premier
23 Mar 2024 - Cymru Premier
15 Mar 2024 - Cymru Premier
1 Mar 2024 - Cymru Premier
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2024 - Cymru Premier
5 Apr 2024 - Cymru Premier
8 Mar 2024 - Cymru Premier
10 Feb 2024 - Cymru Premier
2 Feb 2024 - Cymru Premier
13 Jan 2024 - Cymru Premier
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jun 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jun 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 May 2024 - Premiership
1 May 2024 - Premiership
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jun 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 May 2024 - Premiership
1 May 2024 - Premiership
16 Apr 2024 - Premiership
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Jun 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Apr 2024 - Premiership
20 Apr 2024 - Premiership
6 Apr 2024 - Premiership
23 Mar 2024 - Premiership
9 Mar 2024 - Premiership
Caernarfon Town FC - Crusaders FC Key Points
- Both teams have scored in 12 of Caernarfon Town's last 14 league games.
- Crusaders have won nine of their last 12 league games.
- Both teams scored in four of Crusaders last six league games.
- Crusaders have won their last three European competition 1st Qualifying Round ties (5-2, 4-3 and 3-2 on aggregate)
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Our Caernarfon Town FC vs Crusaders FC Prediction
Our Caernarfon Town vs Crusaders Prediction is: Crusaders to win and both teams to score.
Crusaders' mix of better-quality league opponents and lengthy history in European competition means that they start this game as the favourites with the bookmakers, and it is not difficult to see why.
Wins in all of their last three 1st Qualifying Round ties in Europe means that Crusaders have plenty of the experience required at this level, which their Welsh opponents simply do not possess.
Caenarfon’s form is such that the data suggests that they will score a goal, but Crusaders should still take the lead with them back for the second leg in Belfast in a week’s time.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Caernarfon Town FC Crusaders FC
| Caernarfon Town FC vs Crusaders FC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town FC wins | 4 | 1 | -75.0% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 41 | +978.9% |
| Crusaders FC wins | 1.67 | 101 | +5,947.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Crusaders FC is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5,947.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.9% and is now 1.0% (-58.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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