South America - Copa Libertadores
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CA Penarol Montevideo vs The Strongest Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Libertadores
by Devesh Jaganath in Copa Libertadores Predictions
The Round of 16 in the Copa Libertadores will continue on Wednesday night with Penarol taking on The Strongest at Estadio Campeon del Siglo. The winner of this two-legged tie will face either Flamengo or Bolivar in the quarter-final. Check out our match prediction below.
Penarol have got the 2024 season off to a positive start, currently leading the Uruguayan Primera Division in the intermediate round after finishing atop the standings in the Apertura.
Decano finished second in Group G of this competition behind Atletico Mineiro with a record of four wins and two losses but wrapped up the group stage with three consecutive victories.
In their last six matches in all competitions, Penarol have lost only once, which was against Nacional on penalties last weekend, while they won four and drew one of the preceding five games.
The hosts won all three of their home matches in the group stage of this competition and scored two or more goals in each of those games.
Meanwhile, The Strongest are currently in second place in the Bolivian Primera Division, trailing Bolivar by two points after 10 games in Clausura.
However, Tigre were impressive in the group stage of the Copa Libertadores, as they claimed the top spot in their group ahead of Gremio with 10 points and a record of (W3 D1 L2).
The visitors failed to win any of their three away games in this competition so far and are massive outsiders at the books in this one.
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The Best Betting Odds for CA Penarol Montevideo v The Strongest Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1 | 51 | 126 |
|
|
1.28 | 4.8 | 8 |
|
|
1.01 | 23 | 51 |
|
|
1.01 | 23 | 51 |
|
|
1.34 | 4.9 | 9 |
|
|
1.35 | 5 | 8.8 |
|
|
1.35 | 5 | 8.8 |
|
|
1.01 | 29 | 100 |
|
|
1.31 | 5.3 | 9.7 |
|
|
1.37 | 5.2 | 8.6 |
|
|
1.01 | 23 | 101 |
|
|
1.33 | 5 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.29 | 5 | 12 |
|
|
1.35 | 4.7 | 8.9 |
|
|
1.32 | 4.33 | 9 |
|
|
1.01 | 17 | 44 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between CA Penarol Montevideo and The Strongest?
Our prediction for the CA Penarol Montevideo vs The Strongest match is: Penarol wins!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/08/2024 between CA Penarol Montevideo and The Strongest in Copa Libertadores :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.08% for a win of CA Penarol Montevideo against The Strongest with odds of 1.37 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between CA Penarol Montevideo vs The Strongest is 30.02% with odds of 51 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.9% chance ⭐ for a win of The Strongest vs CA Penarol Montevideo with odds of 126 at Bet365.
CA Penarol Montevideo - The Strongest Prediction and Best Odds:
| CA Penarol Montevideo The Strongest Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| CA Penarol Montevideo wins | 48.08% | 1.37 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 61.27% | 2.13 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 42.86% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: CA Penarol Montevideo | 22.77% | 4.2 at Unibet |
CA Penarol Montevideo vs The Strongest Form
CA Penarol Montevideo and The Strongest Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Aug 2024 - Primera Division
27 Jul 2024 - Primera Division
21 Jul 2024 - Primera Division
14 Jul 2024 - Primera Division
9 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Jul 2024 - Primera Division
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jul 2024 - Primera Division
21 Jul 2024 - Primera Division
9 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Jul 2024 - Primera Division
16 Jun 2024 - Primera Division
28 May 2024 - Copa Libertadores
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Aug 2024 - Primera Division
14 Jul 2024 - Primera Division
22 Jun 2024 - Primera Division
8 Jun 2024 - Primera Division
2 Jun 2024 - Primera Division
18 May 2024 - Primera Division
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
4 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
1 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
27 Jul 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
20 Jul 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
13 Jul 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
27 Jul 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
13 Jul 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
23 May 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
15 May 2024 - Copa Libertadores
11 May 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
1 Aug 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
20 Jul 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
29 May 2024 - Copa Libertadores
26 May 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
19 May 2024 - Liga Profesional Boliviano
CA Penarol Montevideo against The Strongest Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
CA Penarol Montevideo
The Strongest
L. Fernandez
(19 Goals)
E. Triverio
(3 Goals)
L. Fernandez
(6 Assists)
E. Amoroso
(3 Assists)
CA Penarol Montevideo - The Strongest Key Points
- Penarol won their last two home games against this opponent.
- Penarol are on a three-match home winning streak in this competition.
- Penarol are unbeaten in their last nine home matches in all competitions.
- The Strongest have only won one of their last four away games in all competitions.
- The Strongest drew one and lost two of their three away games in the Copa Libertadores this year.
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Our CA Penarol Montevideo vs The Strongest Prediction
While The Strongest claimed the top spot in their group in this competition, their away form left little to be admired as they failed to score in two of the three games and conceded six goals in total.
In contrast, Penarol only managed second place in their group, but their home record was sensational, with nine goals scored in three games, while they conceded just once. Next week’s encounter is likely to have a significantly different complexion but we feel the hosts will be carrying a lead into the second leg. Our Penarol vs The Strongest prediction: Penarol wins!
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis CA Penarol Montevideo The Strongest
| CA Penarol Montevideo vs The Strongest | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| CA Penarol Montevideo wins | 1.25 | 1 | -20.0% |
| Draw | 5.5 | 51 | +827.3% |
| The Strongest wins | 12 | 126 | +950.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- CA Penarol Montevideo is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 20.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 80.0% and is now 100.0% (20.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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