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09 September 2024 - 09:00 

- Day 2

Africa - AFCON

Burundi
VS
Senegal

Prediction :

Senegal -1 European handicap

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Burundi vs Senegal Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON

 by Devesh Jaganath in AFCON Predictions

Burundi will look to maintain their perfect record in the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers when they take on Senegal on Monday afternoon. The Swallows currently lead Group L in this competition while the Lions of Teranga are in third place. Let’s get into the match prediction.

Burundi got off to an impressive start to their 2025 AFCON qualifying campaign, securing all three points in their opening match against Malawi with a 3-2 victory on the road. 

That result extended the Swallows' unbeaten run to four matches in all competitions, including two wins and two draws. They are also having a positive World Cup qualification campaign, currently in third place in their group.

At home, Burundi have a record of two wins, two losses and one draw in their last five matches. The hosts are aiming to return to the AFCON for the first time since the 2018-19 season. 

Meanwhile, Senegal saw an opening match victory snatched from their grasp when Burkina Faso found a goal in stoppage time to cancel out what looked like it would be a winning goal by Sadio Mane in the first half.

Still, the 1-1 draw represents the Lions of Teranga’s fifth consecutive match without defeat, including three wins and two draws, dating back to their defeat to the Ivory Coast in the previous edition of the AFCON earlier this year. 

Senegal have faced Burundi twice in the past, both times during qualifying for AFCON in 2015-16, and they won on both occasions, overcoming the Swallows 2-0 on the road and 3-1 at home. 

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The Best Betting Odds for Burundi v Senegal Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Ladbrokes
8.5 2.87 1.55
1xbet
13.9 5.31 1.27
22bet
13.9 5.31 1.27
Betobet
16 5 1.24
Betwinner
12 5.35 1.26
Stake
11 5 1.27
Melbet
9.4 5 1.26
Check all Burundi vs Senegal odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Burundi and Senegal?

Our prediction for the Burundi vs Senegal match is: Senegal -1 European handicap!

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2024 between Burundi and Senegal in AFCON :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 16.82% for a win of Burundi against Senegal with odds of 16 at Betobet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burundi vs Senegal is 26.93% with odds of 5.35 at Betwinner.
  • Our prediction model gives a 56.25% chance ⭐ for a win of Senegal vs Burundi with odds of 1.55 at Ladbrokes.

Burundi - Senegal Prediction and Best Odds:

Burundi Senegal Prediction Probability Odds
Senegal wins 56.25% 1.55 at Ladbrokes
Under 2.5 57.07% 2.05 at Melbet
Both Team To Score 47.62% 2.6 at Ladbrokes
Half-time / Full-time: Senegal/Senegal 27.23% 1.85 at Ladbrokes

Burundi vs Senegal Form

Burundi and Senegal's standings in the AFCON

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Senegal
Senegal
4 2 1 1 0 1
3
Burundi
Burundi
3 2 1 0 1 0

Burundi and Senegal Last Matches

Burundi
Burundi Last matches
L L D D W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.67
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
1.5
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

5 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Malawi
2 :  3
Burundi

11 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Seychelles
1 :  3
Burundi

7 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Kenya
1 :  1
Burundi

25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Burundi
0 :  0
Botswana

22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Madagascar
1 :  0
Burundi

9 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies

Burundi
0 :  4
Algeria
Senegal
Senegal Last matches
D W W D W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
1.83
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
0.5
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%

6 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Senegal
1 :  1
Burkina Faso

9 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Mauritania
0 :  1
Senegal

6 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Senegal
1 :  1
DR Congo

26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Senegal
1 :  0
Benin

22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Senegal
3 :  0
Gabon

29 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Senegal
1 :  1
Ivory Coast
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Burundi vs Senegal last Lineups

Burundi

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
J Nahimana
6
K Nizigiyimana
14
O Ngando
19
F. Nsabiyumva
22
C. Nduwarugira
5
G Bigirimana
4
P Kwizera
12
H Shabani
20
F Mustafa
21
M. Amissi
7
F Abdul Razak
10
S. Mane
20
H. Diallo
18
I. Sarr
14
I. Jakobs
17
P. Sarr
25
L. Camara
15
K. Diatta
19
M. Niakhate
22
A. Diallo
3
K. Koulibaly
16
E. Mendy

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Senegal

Burundi - Senegal Key Points

  1. Burundi have failed to win any of their last three home games.
  2. Burundi have not qualified for the AFCON since 2018-19.
  3. Burundi have never beaten Senegal in a competitive match.
  4. Senegal are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.
  5. Senegal are unbeaten in their last seven away matches in all competitions.
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Our Burundi vs Senegal Prediction

While Burundi made a very impressive start to their AFCON qualification campaign against Malawi, they now face a massive step up in class of opponent against a Senegal side bursting with talent. 

The Lions of Teranga would have been gutted to drop two points in their last match, but we fancy they will bounce back to victory in this one. Our Burundi vs Senegal prediction: Senegal -1 European handicap!

Prediction :

Senegal -1 European handicap

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burundi Senegal

Burundi vs Senegal Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Burundi wins 7 8.5 +21.4%
Draw 2.8 2.87 +2.5%
Senegal wins 1.61 1.55 -3.7%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Senegal is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.7% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 62.1% and is now 64.5% (2.4%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Burundi vs Senegal Prediction
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