Africa - AFCON
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Burundi vs Senegal Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Devesh Jaganath in AFCON Predictions
Burundi will look to maintain their perfect record in the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers when they take on Senegal on Monday afternoon. The Swallows currently lead Group L in this competition while the Lions of Teranga are in third place. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Burundi got off to an impressive start to their 2025 AFCON qualifying campaign, securing all three points in their opening match against Malawi with a 3-2 victory on the road.
That result extended the Swallows' unbeaten run to four matches in all competitions, including two wins and two draws. They are also having a positive World Cup qualification campaign, currently in third place in their group.
At home, Burundi have a record of two wins, two losses and one draw in their last five matches. The hosts are aiming to return to the AFCON for the first time since the 2018-19 season.
Meanwhile, Senegal saw an opening match victory snatched from their grasp when Burkina Faso found a goal in stoppage time to cancel out what looked like it would be a winning goal by Sadio Mane in the first half.
Still, the 1-1 draw represents the Lions of Teranga’s fifth consecutive match without defeat, including three wins and two draws, dating back to their defeat to the Ivory Coast in the previous edition of the AFCON earlier this year.
Senegal have faced Burundi twice in the past, both times during qualifying for AFCON in 2015-16, and they won on both occasions, overcoming the Swallows 2-0 on the road and 3-1 at home.
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The Best Betting Odds for Burundi v Senegal Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
|
8.5 | 2.87 | 1.55 |
|
|
13.9 | 5.31 | 1.27 |
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13.9 | 5.31 | 1.27 |
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|
16 | 5 | 1.24 |
|
|
12 | 5.35 | 1.26 |
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|
12 | 5.35 | 1.26 |
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|
11 | 5 | 1.27 |
|
|
9.4 | 5 | 1.26 |
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|
12 | 5 | 1.15 |
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12 | 5 | 1.28 |
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|
15 | 5.2 | 1.26 |
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|
11 | 5.25 | 1.22 |
|
|
9.5 | 4.5 | 1.3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Burundi and Senegal?
Our prediction for the Burundi vs Senegal match is: Senegal -1 European handicap!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2024 between Burundi and Senegal in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 16.82% for a win of Burundi against Senegal with odds of 16 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burundi vs Senegal is 26.93% with odds of 5.35 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 56.25% chance ⭐ for a win of Senegal vs Burundi with odds of 1.55 at Ladbrokes.
Burundi - Senegal Prediction and Best Odds:
Burundi Senegal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Senegal wins | 56.25% | 1.55 at Ladbrokes |
Under 2.5 | 57.07% | 2.1 at Unibet |
Both Team To Score | 47.62% | 2.63 at Betway |
Half-time / Full-time: Senegal/Senegal | 27.23% | 1.97 at Unibet |
Burundi vs Senegal Form
Burundi and Senegal's standings in the AFCON
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
3
|
4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 |
Burundi and Senegal Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
9 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
9 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - World Cup
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - AFCON
9 Jun 2022 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
12 Sep 2023 - AFCON
4 Jun 2022 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
29 Jan 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
29 Jan 2024 - AFCON
19 Jan 2024 - AFCON
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
23 Jan 2024 - AFCON
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
17 Jun 2023 - AFCON
28 Mar 2023 - AFCON
Burundi vs Senegal last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Missing players
Y. Ndayishimiye
K. Diatta
Most goals and assists
Burundi - Senegal Key Points
- Burundi have failed to win any of their last three home games.
- Burundi have not qualified for the AFCON since 2018-19.
- Burundi have never beaten Senegal in a competitive match.
- Senegal are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.
- Senegal are unbeaten in their last seven away matches in all competitions.
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Our Burundi vs Senegal Prediction
While Burundi made a very impressive start to their AFCON qualification campaign against Malawi, they now face a massive step up in class of opponent against a Senegal side bursting with talent.
The Lions of Teranga would have been gutted to drop two points in their last match, but we fancy they will bounce back to victory in this one. Our Burundi vs Senegal prediction: Senegal -1 European handicap!
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burundi Senegal
Burundi vs Senegal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Burundi wins | 7 | 8.5 | +21.4% |
Draw | 2.8 | 2.87 | +2.5% |
Senegal wins | 1.61 | 1.55 | -3.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Senegal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 62.1% and is now 64.5% (2.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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