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Burundi vs Gambia Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
by Daniel Ngulu in World Cup Predictions
Burundi will open their quest for a 2026 World Cup slot with a home game against Gambia in the CAF qualifiers. These two nations clash in Group F of the competition, which also has Kenya, Ivory Coast, Gabon and Seychelles. A 3-0 away loss to Cameroon in September marks Burundi’s last action as they missed out on an AFCON 2023 place. That match also marked the sixth straight game in which they conceded more than a goal. All of the six matches have had over 2.5 goals with Burundi winning just once. In each of their last 17 matches, Burundi have conceded at least a goal. Burundi haven't managed a win in their last four matches in World Cup qualification. Meanwhile, both teams have scored in three of their four World Cup qualification matches.
Gambia’s last action was also in September as they drew 2-2 with Congo in an AFCON 2023 qualifier. That result marked their third unbeaten outing, a run in which they have two wins. Going into this game, Gambia are in much better shape compared to Burundi. They have lost just once in their last five matches and have two clean sheets in the five games. Both teams scored in Gambia’s last two matches, and these two also produced over 2.5 goals. Gambia have however failed to score twice in the last five matches. Heading into this game an area to address will be their away form in World Cup qualification. Gambia have lost each of their last five away matches in World Cup qualification. They have no win in 10 away matches in World Cup qualifiers, losing eight.
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The Best Betting Odds for Burundi v Gambia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.4 | 3.1 | 2.3 |
|
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3.8 | 2.72 | 1.93 |
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4.01 | 3.08 | 2.02 |
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|
4.01 | 3.08 | 2.02 |
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|
4.72 | 2.93 | 1.98 |
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|
4.72 | 2.93 | 1.98 |
|
|
4.2 | 2.95 | 1.99 |
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|
4.52 | 2.92 | 2.02 |
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4.2 | 2.9 | 2.05 |
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4.2 | 2.8 | 2.05 |
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4.25 | 2.9 | 2.05 |
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3.75 | 2.95 | 2.15 |
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4.2 | 2.8 | 2.05 |
|
|
4.4 | 2.83 | 2.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Burundi and Gambia?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/11/2023 between Burundi and Gambia in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.95% for a win of Burundi against Gambia with odds of 4.72 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burundi vs Gambia is 21.65% with odds of 3.1 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.4% chance ⭐ for a win of Gambia vs Burundi with odds of 2.3 at Bet365.
Burundi - Gambia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Burundi Gambia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Gambia wins | 46.4% | 2.3 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 61.82% | 1.36 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 42.86% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Gambia | 20.71% | 5 at Bet365 |
Burundi vs Gambia Form
Burundi and Gambia's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
|
5
|
3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Burundi and Gambia Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sep 2023 - AFCON
20 Jun 2023 - AFCON
9 Jun 2022 - AFCON
4 Jun 2022 - AFCON
30 Mar 2021 - AFCON
26 Mar 2021 - AFCON
2/5 (40%)
1/5 (20%)
2/5 (40%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jun 2023 - AFCON
9 Jun 2022 - AFCON
26 Mar 2021 - AFCON
15 Nov 2020 - AFCON
30 Jun 2019 - AFCON
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sep 2023 - AFCON
4 Jun 2022 - AFCON
30 Mar 2021 - AFCON
11 Nov 2020 - AFCON
27 Jun 2019 - AFCON
22 Jun 2019 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2023 - AFCON
14 Jun 2023 - AFCON
28 Mar 2023 - AFCON
24 Mar 2023 - AFCON
8 Jun 2022 - AFCON
4 Jun 2022 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2023 - AFCON
28 Mar 2023 - AFCON
4 Jun 2022 - AFCON
29 Jan 2022 - AFCON
20 Jan 2022 - AFCON
16 Jan 2022 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jun 2023 - AFCON
24 Mar 2023 - AFCON
8 Jun 2022 - AFCON
24 Jan 2022 - AFCON
12 Jan 2022 - AFCON
29 Mar 2021 - AFCON
Burundi vs Gambia last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
Y. Ndayishimiye
Burundi - Gambia Key Points
- Four of Gambia’s last five away matches in World Cup qualifiers had over 2.5 goals
- Both teams have scored in three of Burundi’s last four World Cup qualification matches
- Burundi’s last seven matches across all competitions have had over 2.5 goals
- Gambia’s last two matches produced over 2.5 goals with both teams scoring
- Both teams scored in three of Gambia’s last four World Cup qualification matches
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Our Burundi vs Gambia Prediction
Gambia will have the feeling of being the favorites here but hosts Burundi will not be easy opposition. While odds favor Gambia, their away form doesn’t, and neither does Burundi’s home form. An outstanding stat for these teams is the high scoring nature of their recent matches. Our prediction for Burundi v Gambia is over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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