Africa - AFCON
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Burundi vs Burkina Faso Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Daniel Ngulu in AFCON Predictions
Burkina Faso will be sure to go into Match Day 4 of the 2025 AFCON qualifiers leading the standings in Group L. The Stallions will stay in Abidjan for their match against the Swallows of Burundi. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Burundi do not have capacity to host this game in Bujumbura and will take it in Ivory Coast. The Stade Felix Houphouët-Boigny is not too far from where they were hosted by Burkina Faso on Thursday.
They lost 4-1 in that match and will be hoping to rise here. Bienvenue Kanakimana’s early goal gave Burundi the lead in that game but they found themselves trailing 3-1 at half time.
It was, in the end, their second straight defeat in the group after earlier losing 1-0 to Senegal.
Burkina Faso opened a three-point lead at the summit of this group courtesy of the win against Burundi. That may, however, be slashed by the time they play, as Senegal are scheduled to face Malawi in the other group match.
There has been a marked improvement for the visitors in attack in recent matches. They scored seven times in the last two matches and will only be concerned at the difficulty to keep clean sheets.
In 10 straight matches ahead of this one, Burkina Faso failed to keep a clean sheet. They actually have just two in their last 15 matches but in that run, they only failed to score once.
In AFCON qualification, Burkina Faso are unbeaten in the last four matches and will come here very confident.
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The Best Betting Odds for Burundi v Burkina Faso Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.5 | 3.9 | 1.4 |
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7.1 | 3.95 | 1.49 |
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7.1 | 3.95 | 1.49 |
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|
7 | 3.8 | 1.47 |
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6.65 | 4.1 | 1.49 |
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6.65 | 4.1 | 1.49 |
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6.4 | 3.85 | 1.51 |
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7.1 | 3.95 | 1.49 |
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6.6 | 3.85 | 1.49 |
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6 | 4.2 | 1.44 |
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6.5 | 3.7 | 1.4 |
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6 | 4 | 1.53 |
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7 | 3.77 | 1.56 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Burundi and Burkina Faso?
Our prediction for the Burundi vs Burkina Faso match is: Both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/10/2024 between Burundi and Burkina Faso in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.76% for a win of Burundi against Burkina Faso with odds of 7.1 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burundi vs Burkina Faso is 21.53% with odds of 4.2 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.71% chance ⭐ for a win of Burkina Faso vs Burundi with odds of 1.56 at Vbet.
Burundi - Burkina Faso Prediction and Best Odds:
| Burundi Burkina Faso Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Burkina Faso wins | 47.71% | 1.56 at Vbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.16% | 2.16 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 75% | 2.37 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time: Burkina Faso/Burkina Faso | 21.86% | 2.3 at Betsson |
Burundi vs Burkina Faso Form
Burundi and Burkina Faso's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
|
3
|
4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 |
Burundi and Burkina Faso Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
9 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - World Cup
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - AFCON
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
12 Sep 2023 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
30 Jan 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
16 Jan 2024 - AFCON
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
8 Sep 2023 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
30 Jan 2024 - AFCON
23 Jan 2024 - AFCON
20 Jan 2024 - AFCON
10 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
Burundi vs Burkina Faso Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
10 Oct 2024 - AFCON
Burundi vs Burkina Faso last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
Y. Ndayishimiye
Most goals and assists
Burundi
Burkina Faso
Burundi - Burkina Faso Key Points
- Burundi have one clean sheet in their last 10 matches.
- In four of Burundi’ last five matches, both teams scored.
- In four of Burkina Faso’s last five AFCON qualification matches, both teams scored.
- Burkina Faso have a clean sheet in five matches, and both teams scored in the remaining.
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Our Burundi vs Burkina Faso Prediction
These two nations are distant, as far as the FIFA rankings are concerned. The higher ranked Burkina Faso will rightly go into the game as favorites, having had a superior run. However, they haven’t done well defensively the same way they’ve done in attack.
Burundi, who have rarely gone without scoring, will see an opportunity here though they are on a poor run. We still expect them to at least hit the back of the net. Our prediction for Burundi v Burkina Faso is for both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burundi Burkina Faso
| Burundi vs Burkina Faso | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burundi wins | 6 | 6.5 | +8.3% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.9 | +4.0% |
| Burkina Faso wins | 1.44 | 1.4 | -2.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Burkina Faso is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 69.4% and is now 71.4% (2.0%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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